1. #1
    Goat Milk
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    French Open Discussion

    Going with TSONGA +420 after consideration.

    Only play so far.
    Last edited by Goat Milk; 05-31-21 at 03:10 AM.

  2. #2
    sunshineSpecial
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    Mikael Ymer @ 2.5 maybe. Medvedev won't go far, but I'm not sure if Bublik @ 3.0 will do it.

  3. #3
    degennn
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    Fade all the guys you mentioned.

  4. #4
    leovegas
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    Sabalenka looked good in the first match. Konjuh is no walkover.

    Kudermetova could win the quarter which I think is very wide open. Osaka looked ok but I think she has mental issues that will prevent her from going deep. Andreescu is in this (4th) quarter too and I can't wait to see her play. Could be a contender, could be out in 6 hours.

  5. #5
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by leovegas View Post
    Sabalenka looked good in the first match. Konjuh is no walkover.

    Kudermetova could win the quarter which I think is very wide open. Osaka looked ok but I think she has mental issues that will prevent her from going deep. Andreescu is in this (4th) quarter too and I can't wait to see her play. Could be a contender, could be out in 6 hours.
    Andreescu lfg

  6. #6
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by degennn View Post
    Fade all the guys you mentioned.
    Can't really fade Tsonga when the other guy is like -700.

    You don't think Goffin at +145 is worth a shot vs. a young teenager? Goffin is a very experienced vet who is arguably in the prime of his career. Sure the Italian kid is good but is this really a +145 situation?

  7. #7
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Can't really fade Tsonga when the other guy is like -700.

    You don't think Goffin at +145 is worth a shot vs. a young teenager? Goffin is a very experienced vet who is arguably in the prime of his career. Sure the Italian kid is good but is this really a +145 situation?
    Musetti
    Rindernech
    Bublik
    Cazaux
    Basil

  8. #8
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Can't really fade Tsonga when the other guy is like -700.

    You don't think Goffin at +145 is worth a shot vs. a young teenager? Goffin is a very experienced vet who is arguably in the prime of his career. Sure the Italian kid is good but is this really a +145 situation?
    Actually....nishioka being such a huge fave is weird to me.

  9. #9
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by degennn View Post
    Actually....nishioka being such a huge fave is weird to me.
    Tsonga is no where near the player he once was, not because of age, but a bad injury ruined him. I wonder though, if he's decently healthy, he can pull out a good performance on his home turf.

  10. #10
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Tsonga is no where near the player he once was, not because of age, but a bad injury ruined him. I wonder though, if he's decently healthy, he can pull out a good performance on his home turf.
    Nishioka is not very good...looks like anhalf unit stab all day

  11. #11
    degennn
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    Tsonga +2.5 sets -130

  12. #12
    Goat Milk
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    Gonna take Tsonga ML.

    GL.

  13. #13
    stepaside777
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    tsonga and goffin with pouille to grab a set or two is very likely

  14. #14
    thezbar
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    Naomi Osaka has withdrawn from the French Open. There goes a ten dollar future bet. Its probably for the best she takes some time to think about the future. Clay isn't her cup of tea anyway. Get well kid.

  15. #15
    leovegas
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    Quote Originally Posted by thezbar View Post
    Naomi Osaka has withdrawn from the French Open. There goes a ten dollar future bet. Its probably for the best she takes some time to think about the future. Clay isn't her cup of tea anyway. Get well kid.
    Does anyone remember this Colombian soccer player who got assassinated after this World Cup circa 1994, after scoring an own goal that took his National team out of the contention?

    Osaka should choose her words, and her actions, very wisely. Not everyone bets ten dollars, you know wum sayin

  16. #16
    thezbar
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    Andres Escobar. Espn did a touching documentary of that story.

  17. #17
    Goat Milk
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    Fukk. I should have went with Cilic, more proven player.

    Tsonga kept it close but maybe he's just about done on the tour if he can't even win at home.

    Will look for some value picks tonight.

    Let's all throw in our 2 cents of what we're thinking and why.

  18. #18
    degennn
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    Bedene line looks short....

  19. #19
    degennn
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    Rublev loves to drop first set to struffy

  20. #20
    degennn
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    Poppy to take a set off nadal at +425 presents value

  21. #21
    Goat Milk
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    Nadal to lose a set in the first round? Doesn't happen often at the French. I think the odds are about right.

  22. #22
    degennn
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    Brady looks like she will lose.

    Ons jabeur is short

  23. #23
    Goat Milk
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    I think Mannarino is better than Bedene, no? Bedene has no offensive game. Mannarino has the home crowd. I got +285 here at my book. Thoughts?

  24. #24
    degennn
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    Kontaveit only -250ish against golubic?!

    Mannarino has been trash. Lost in first round of last 6. I watched him against the kid cazaux and they both played amazing tennis. I had cazaux in that match and won but I liked how mannarino looked and took him in next match and verdasco bageled him in the second set.

    With that being said bedene is theoretically in better form and an "up and coming" kid. The line looks to be baity given mannarinos recent record and I will probably be taking a 1u stab at mannarino.

  25. #25
    Goat Milk
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    Yeah I'm taking Mannarino. Line should be a PK. Mannarino has more offensive weapons than Bedene. Guess he could penetrate himself.

    I also like Struff and Rublev OVER 32.5 games. I think it's a 4 setter here at least.

    Can Struff beat him? I don't even think Rublev is that great of a player. He's overrated.

  26. #26
    degennn
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    Yeah I'm taking Mannarino. Line should be a PK. Mannarino has more offensive weapons than Bedene. Guess he could penetrate himself.

    I also like Struff and Rublev OVER 32.5 games. I think it's a 4 setter here at least.

    Can Struff beat him? I don't even think Rublev is that great of a player. He's overrated.
    I like rublev alot but hes better on hard. Struff not beating him though but rublev does like to drop sets to struff as well as struggle a bit in round 1

  27. #27
    degennn
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    Mannarino +2.5 sets at home against the kid bedene at -160 sounds good.

  28. #28
    degennn
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    I'm taking putinseva +3.5

  29. #29
    degennn
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    And taking a stab at golubic to upset kontaveir

  30. #30
    degennn
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    And also 1u on humbert to continue to suck

  31. #31
    stepaside777
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    got ymer expecting nothing as he got bagelled and then 6-4 lol

  32. #32
    Goat Milk
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    If struff wins you're finished Degenn. Could have got +775.

  33. #33
    degennn
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    [QUOTE=Goat Milk;30306487]Nadal to lose a set in the first round? Doesn't happen often at the French. I think the odds are about right.[/QUOTE

    We are almost even lol.

  34. #34
    degennn
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    Lol uh oh...

  35. #35
    degennn
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    Looks like I owe you a 5 second car

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