[flabrah5]

AKA - the kiss of death. Oh well, maybe we can keep the heater going. Not going to count any previous wins, such as yesterdays. It starts here.

First up:
Gasparyan +1.5 sets @ +110 (2u to win 2.2u)

More to come.

[flabrah5]

Nice start to the morning:
WIN Gasparyan +1.5 sets @ +110 (2u to win 2.2u)
PS -cCant believe i didnt throw a unit on her +315, or even those +4.5 games (Gasp too kit 6-2 . Was so tempted, but didnt want to throw 3 bets on the first match which makes no sense at all as I loved all of it. Hindsight is 20/20, this could have easily gone 0-3 then Id be kicking myself.

Overall:
1-0 (+2.2 units)

More to come...give me a thumbs up if you want me to continue this or even would love to know if you tailed. Good vibes always!

And this does take time, if no one see value, then I'd rather just hold off.

[Miguelon]

[flabrah5]

I posted it in another thread, but said and had Harris +247 ML and the over 23 games. Even said 2 tiebreakers .The heater is going.

Should I count these? New to threads. Was going to put 1unit on Harris ML and 2 units on the over.

LMK doesnt matter either way

[flabrah5]

Rublev v Karatsev o22.5 games @ +107 (1u to win 1.07u)
Karatsev ML @ +340 (1u to win 3.4u)

BOL to all

PS - 1238pm EST and was working to go bet Karatzev live ML again and hes only +130 now?!) What int he ehll. Anyone know what happened? Big money come in right before match or after watching some easy holds?

Overall:
1-0 (+2.2 units)

[Conqueror]

Congrats on Karatsev!

[degennn]

Nice work

[flabrah5]

Adding:
Sorribes Tormo - 1.5 sets @ +111 (2u to win 2.22u)

WIN Rublev v Karatsev o22.5 games @ +107 (1u to win 1.07u)
WIN Karatsev ML @ +340 (1u to win 3.4u)


Overall:
3-0 (+6.7 units)

BOL to all

[flabrah5]

Adding:

LIVE Koepfer to win 2nd Set @ +273 (1u to win 2.73u)

Zverev 64% serve % in the 1st - I expect some double faults to come for this Koepfer value play.

BOL to all.

[flabrah5]

BOL to all.

[flabrah5]

WIN Sorribes Tormo - 1.5 sets @ +111 (2u to win 2.22u)
LOSS Koepfer to win 2nd Set @ +273 (1u to win 2.73u)
+ this stings, Koep was serving for the 2nd at 5-3, 15-0 and hits 2 double faults to follow. Then loses in the TB because he double faulted again. I thought Zverev would be doing the DFs. This would have been a great hit, dang.


Overall:
4-1 (+7.9 units)

[Maizey]

Thought I saw Schiemdlova won the second set but when I checked back they were tied and still playing the second set. Was there an overrule on set point or was the scoreboard just wrong? I needed Sorribes Tormo as the final leg of a parlay, so I was happy to win without hanging to sweat out a third set.

[flabrah5]

Musetti has made me money, but Im rolling with a Tsitsipas bashing.

Tsitsi -5.5 games @147 (2u to win 2.94 units)

Value here is great in my opinion. BOL to all.


Edit - added another unit to this play > Tsitsi -5.5 games @105 (1u to win 1.05u)

[flabrah5]

Man, Tsitsi was an all in play. Almost even did the -7.5 and odds we outrageous.. A win is a wine (praying for a no jinx since I just said that).

[flabrah5]

Thought I saw Schiemdlova won the second set but when I checked back they were tied and still playing the second set. Was there an overrule on set point or was the scoreboard just wrong? I needed Sorribes Tormo as the final leg of a parlay, so I was happy to win without hanging to sweat out a third set.

Scoreboard was wrong it seems. it was 4-4 and Tormo was sering / got broke to 4-5. Schmie was serving for the set and saved break point at 30-40, got it to deuce and Ad in, then Tormo took ti away to break and win 7-5.

Glad we pulled this one out. Schmie had many 0/15-40 and held. I think she saved 6/11 on that. Would of been a tough loss to swallow. Im still mad Koepfer went up 5-2, served for set at 5-3, go up 15-0, then followed with 2 straight double faults to make it 15-30, loses the next piont, then double faulted again at 30-40. 3 double faults to cost me $25k.

[flabrah5]

Gasparyan ML @ +137 (1u to win 1.37u)

Woke up late so this is the live line I got after they flipped the coin and Zvonareva served first. Does that make odds go down?

[flabrah5]

New Play:
Gasparyan ML @ +222 (2u to win 4.44u)

Updates:
WIN Tsitsi -5.5 games @147 (2u to win 2.94 units)
WIN (Live Play) Tsitsi -5.5 games @105 (1u to win 1.05u)
WIN Gasparyan ML @ +137 (1u to win 1.37u)

Overall:
7-1 (+13.26 units)

BOL to all, I think Gas brings some extra Gas today to take down the fellow Russian.

[flabrah5]

Well gas can't hit a ahot. Unforced errors everywhere. Sucks my gut said Kas in straights at +105, did research, reason articles and changed my mind. Hate that so much.

[PharaohUB]

Well gas can't hit a ahot. Unforced errors everywhere. Sucks my gut said Kas in straights at +105, did research, reason articles and changed my mind. Hate that so much.

She retired. Might have been injured

[flabrah5]

She retired. Might have been injured

Saw that, she was way off. Props to not doing a walkover and giving a set or two. Got lucky on this one, but nothing worst than a hurt player finishing the match and losing your bet when they should just let it go.

[flabrah5]

Adding:
LIVE Golubic ML +346 (2u to win 6.92u)

[flabrah5]

Adding:
Ivo Karlovic ML @ +105 v Tatsuma Ito (3u to win 3.15u)

Very big on this play at these odds. See a 7-6, 7-6 type win. Tempted to take Ivo straights at +247, but will stick with the above.


LOSS LIVE Golubic ML +346 (2u to win 6.92u)

Overall:
7-2 (+11.26 units)

[flabrah5]

PS - Anyone following? If not, Imma end the thread and not worry about posting. I missed a few bets bc I went to post as I usually cut it super close on when i bet for line movements.

BOL to you all

[Miguelon]

[flabrah5]

WIN Ivo Karlovic ML @ +105 v Tatsuma Ito (3u to win 3.15u)

Adding:
Fratangelo v Popko over 22 games @ -113 (1.13u to win 1u)
Fratangelo v Popko over 22.5 games @ +105 (1u to win 1.05u)

Overall:
8-2 (+14.41 units)

[flabrah5]

[Conqueror]

Great job!!!

[flabrah5]

Thanks, man! I hate taking over / unders. Should have stuck with Popko at + money.

[flabrah5]

Adding:
Ivashka ML @ +139 (2u to win 2.78u)


LOSS Fratangelo v Popko over 22 games @ -113 (1.13u to win 1u)
LOSS Fratangelo v Popko over 22.5 games @ +105 (1u to win 1.05u)

Overall:
8-3 (+13.28 units)

[flabrah5]

Wish I posted the prematch or live Kulda +300 live bet, but hey , Im usually a one play at a time guy.

WIN Ivashka ML @ +139 (2u to win 2.78u)
- also hit Ivashka +350 live twice when down 15-40 saving two match points. He was the better player today, never should have came to three tiebreakers.

Overall:
9-3 (+16.06 units)

[flabrah5]

Adding:
Broady ML @ +265 (1u to win 2.65u)
Kecmanovic v Broady o21.5 games @ -112 (1.12u to win 1u)
Kecmanovic v Broady o22 games @ -104 (1.04u to win 1u)

3 setter IMO, lets see who takes it.

BOL, hope we keep it rolling

Overall:
9-3 (+16.06 units)

[The Expert]

Great picks! Appreciate your work.
However one bet at a time is a strange attitude, value is value 😉

[flabrah5]

Hope you tailed, thanks for the kind words.

Yea, would have hit all 3 today, but lot of live betting involved. I post the prematch ones that I think will start strong (i.e. Ivashka was no where close to that line in the 1st set, especially after winning it).

Would you all like for me to post my "leans?" The ones I plan to watch and hit a live value bet? Kudla would have been one today and did hit.

[The Expert]

Of course 😉

[Miguelon]