[ProDane]

Hi guys

Quite a while since I last posted something here, but I might have a gift of a pick.

Bolelli Simone - Lu Yen-hsun
Line: 1.40 - 2.75

Bolelli has been out for quite a while, and he is a natural clay courter. On the other hand grass suits the asian very well (though he has not played since French Open). I know Bolelli made it through the quallies, but beating two clay courters and then Sam Groth, who has turned absolute shite is nothing that impresses me much. Lu was 15/2 on grass last season (only losing to Murray and Dustin Brown)

Please tell me why the line is in quite a big favour for the italian?

[SBRMAN23]

Taking a shot myself like this play

Wager Type : Parlay (2 team)
Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 95.00 / 475.00(USD)
Accepted : 7/2/2017 6:30PM - PST

#1) Wager Type :	Money Line	Outcome :	Pending
Sport / Period :	ATP Grand Slams Tennis / Game
Selection :	D. Shapovalov	Time :	7/3/2017 6:35:01AM - (EST)
Line :	+100	Result :	Pending ( D. Shapovalov | J. Janowicz )
Game Notes : MATCH WAGERING - A full set must be completed for money line wagers to have action. The spread and total are based on sets and the full match must be completed for action. On first set betting, 1st set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid.

#2) Wager Type :	Money Line	Outcome :	Pending
Sport / Period :	ATP Grand Slams Tennis / Game
Selection :	Y. Lu	Time :	7/3/2017 6:35:01AM - (EST)
Line :	+200	Result :	Pending ( S. Bolelli | Y. Lu )
Game Notes : MATCH WAGERING - A full set must be completed for money line wagers to have action. The spread and total are based on sets and the full match must be completed for action. On first set betting, 1st set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid.

[Conqueror]

I also like Shapovalov but can't pull the trigger. Will definitely tail you on Lu.

[gambleForLife]

Yeah I saw that line and thought it was too good to be true. But then I said to myself "**** it" and grabbed Lu +3.5. I think the line is set that way because Bolelli played a great qualifying and Lu withdrew from Halle, so he might have some physical issues. But still, +3.5 is too much of a gift to pass.

Played the over on the Shapovalov match.

[jtoler]

Price is high I agree. Cuz he's got some matches in, still seem high though.

[SBRMAN23]

Nothing weird about it Simon should be favored by more.

That's crazy but we agree to disagree bol J

[jtoler]

That's crazy but we agree to disagree bol J

I edited because I saw 1.40, thinking -140, wasnt thinking decimal odds. I see Bolleli is -230 at my book, yea that does seem high, based on him already having matches in Id pick him to win, but wouldnt pay flat -230 though. Who knows how prepared Lu will be.

[ProDane]

I am glad that you can see the same value as I can. At the moment odds for Lu has rised to 3.15 at my bookie, which is quite insane in my eyes. I hope they don't know anything that I havent registered.

[Blackballer]

I am glad that you can see the same value as I can. At the moment odds for Lu has rised to 3.15 at my bookie, which is quite insane in my eyes. I hope they don't know anything that I havent registered.

How can we know whether the book adjusted the line according to cirumstances that can influence the game (Lu's condition) or some person dumping big money on this game?

[Tboonepickem]

Watched the game - it was like LU wasn't even there.