should you bite on the -300/-295 future or parlay his ML at -515 (hopefully we get something better) with whatever his ML is in the next round?
if it's tsonga he will be around -800(at worst?) and even that would get you slightly better odds than -295... but if and when stan dominates him friday and has some hype behind him (maybe nove struggles a bit with andy) his line will be around -350/-400 no doubt and that parlay would pay out MUCH better than the -295 future
using $100
-515/-800 tsonga wins parlay-34.34
-515/-400 stan wins parlay- 49.27
-295 future- $33.90
I was going to do this last round (start parlaying Nove's ML) against nadal but held off because I already have a future pending on him and I tend to get greedy while overconfident and I was admittedly a little bit nervous about king rafa. Putting more on him because I'm extremely confident that he is taking this slam... He might not even drop a set this whole tourney! when's the last time that was done at a grand slam?
regardless go big on Nove against Andy and parlay it with Nove against stan/tsonga.
open parlays in general tend to wind up paying better than futures (there are of course exceptions, due to all the different possibilities that can occur).