Wanted to get on this one early because I think there's some great value for it.
ATP Madrid Masters 1000: Futures/Outright Betting
To win tournament outright: Rafael Nadal @ 2.80 (William Hill)
Risking 5.xx u to return 15u
So the draw is a pretty sweet spot for Nadal, no one he cannot beat at the momentum. No Djokovic. I think it's a little disrespectful to offer him such high odds. I think it should be closer to 2.20.
But ignoring all the diplomatic press conferences where Nadal talks himself down he knows he needs to defend this title to keep points and also playing at home will help his causes too. It'll be his token 'confidence boosting' tournament heading into the French.