1. #1
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Capitala World Tennis Championship - Round 1

    Put up a blog here about the first round action in Abu Dhabi. The existence of lines is piss poor. Bodog has ML on the matches but no other options.

    I like Soderling -275 (or in straight sets if it comes up) and the over in Ferrer v. Davydenko.

  2. #2
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    Nice writeup, I would like to see these guys play a match or two before betting.

  3. #3
    Jrod124
    Update your status
    Jrod124's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-31-09
    Posts: 5,622
    Betpoints: 535

    Boner, do u know if this event is going to be on Tennis Channel?

  4. #4
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Jrod. I don't know. I have purchased Tennis Channel for the year. I kind of doubt it will be but will update tomorrow when I know for sure.

  5. #5
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    a quick look at the website indicates that they wont show it. However, they sometimes pick up (and to my dismay lose) coverage at the last minute.

  6. #6
    Fthenorm
    Fthenorm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-07
    Posts: 712
    Betpoints: 795

    dangerous laying heavy chalk in exhibitions, that's for sure

  7. #7
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    i decided to go small on Ferrer at +250

  8. #8
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Quote Originally Posted by ji03 View Post
    i decided to go small on Ferrer at +250
    Good work on this pick.

  9. #9
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    thanks, but I figured as Fthenorm said I certainly didn't want to lay -350 for Davydenko not knowing the form they were going to come out in.

  10. #10
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Oh definitely. I wrote I like Ferrer b/c of the closeness of the match (or the over if I could find it). Plus Davydenko has a history of taking a dive.

    On the other hand I think Soderling is worth laying the fave b/c of his ability to break and Stan's propensity for allowing break chances. I also feel that Soderling is still trying to climb the respect ladder on tour and wants every win he can get (even exhibition).

  11. #11
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    Oh yeah I definitely agree with the Soderling pick at that price. Did you end up taking Ferrer?

  12. #12
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    I didn't. Was looking for an over but never found it.

  13. #13
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Soderling def Wawrinka 7-6 (4) 7-6 (2).

    Glad to go 2-0 on my predictions but thought the Soderling win would be on breaks not tie-breakers.

  14. #14
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    Yeah nice win for Soderling to start the year.

  15. #15
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    Ferrer is +275 vs. Nadal at Bodog, I'm thinking about a small play on Ferrer considering Nadal was having trouble at the end of last year.

  16. #16
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Definitely, I haven't capped it yet but I can see Nadal not wanting to expend the energy in this tourney... I noticed somewhere that he declared that he was feeling somewhat less prepared for this upcoming ATP season.... Just have to make sure that Ferrer can beat him even on his worst day...

  17. #17
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    ok, I think I'll give it a go. Another small play on Ferrer at +275.

  18. #18
    RobbReport
    RobbReport's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-22-09
    Posts: 2,042

    yay tennis!

  19. #19
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Ji,

    I agree. I didn't have time to do a full work up but I am playing small same size amounts on the two dogs. One hits and I am in the black.

    Nadal is off form.
    Soderling is rolling.

    GL and Happy New Year!

  20. #20
    ji03
    ji03's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-27-09
    Posts: 1,144
    Betpoints: 315

    I like Soderling also, but that 12-0 mark Federer has over him just looms there. Granted, it is just an exhibition, so Roger probably doesn't care too much about the match.

  21. #21
    andrewaxia
    andrewaxia's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-11-08
    Posts: 1,419

    Never ever touch exhibition tennis unless you are backing a nice dog

  22. #22
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Ferrer saves a deuce in the third game to stay on serve.

  23. #23
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Two break chances for Ferrer.

  24. #24
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Rafa saves one.

  25. #25
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Saves the other, duece

  26. #26
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Another chance on duece.

  27. #27
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Rafa pulls through, on serve 2-2 in the first set.

  28. #28
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Ferrer gets two set points at 5-4.

  29. #29
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Rafa saves one.

  30. #30
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    saves the second, deuce

  31. #31
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Nadal works out of it pretty handily, still on serve 5-5.

  32. #32
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Rafa serving for a tie break.

  33. #33
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Rafa up a mini break in the tie break.

  34. #34
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Up two mini's

  35. #35
    Boner_18
    Update your status
    Boner_18's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-08
    Posts: 8,301
    Betpoints: 1031

    Rafa takes the first set 7-6(2). Not a bad showing from Ferrer.

12 Last
Top