1. #1
    beefcake
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    2014 WTA French Open Dart Board Futures..

    Ok here we go again...Have had success doing this last few grand slams..Yell at me if you want. The argument of the method of "greening out" on this has been discussed before. I dont make these with the intention of them winning(if they do great) but to find a way to hedge out and make a profit.

    Here goes..Laugh all you want..all odds from 5 dimes unless noted..may we tear Tony a new one..

    To win..

    Simona Halep +1475.. Risk 1 unitEasy draw..no excuse if she cant make a semi..its her time to shine
    Carla Suarez Navarro +10000(bovada)..Risk 0.5 units..4th round last year..think she gets to the QF at least and can go to semis for hedge
    Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..
    Alize Cornet +15000..Risk 0.5 units..French hottie has finally peaked..Just hope home country nerves dont get to her.
    P


    To win Quarter..
    Suarez Navarro +600..Risk 1 unit
    Kuzzy +1500..Risk 0.5 units..Wiley veteran may be back!!
    Cornet +2500..Risk 0.5 units




  2. #2
    beefcake
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    Ok here we go again...Have had success doing this last few grand slams..Yell at me if you want. The argument of the method of "greening out" on this has been discussed before. I dont make these with the intention of them winning(if they do great) but to find a way to hedge out and make a profit.

    Here goes..Laugh all you want..all odds from 5 dimes unless noted..may we tear Tony a new one..

    To win..

    Simona Halep +1475.. Risk 1 unitEasy draw..no excuse if she cant make a semi..its her time to shine
    Carla Suarez Navarro +10000(bovada)..Risk 0.5 units..4th round last year..think she gets to the QF at least and can go to semis for hedge
    Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..
    Alize Cornet +15000..Risk 0.5 units..French hottie has finally peaked..Just hope home country nerves dont get to her.
    P


    To win Quarter..
    Suarez Navarro +600..Risk 1 unit
    Kuzzy +1500..Risk 0.5 units..Wiley veteran may be back!!
    Cornet +2500..Risk 0.5 units



    Halep and Navarro looking good with all the favs going down.Might have something here.

  3. #3
    brodie
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    LOVE halep

  4. #4
    beefcake
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    0-2 -1 unit

    Pending..
    To win Quarter..
    Suarez Navarro +600..Risk 1 unit
    Kuzzy +1500..Risk 0.5 units..Wiley veteran may be back!!

    To win FO.
    To win..

    Simona Halep +1475.. Risk 1 unitEasy draw..no excuse if she cant make a semi..its her time to shine
    Carla Suarez Navarro +10000(bovada)..Risk 0.5 units..4th round last year..think she gets to the QF at least and can go to semis for hedge
    Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..



  5. #5
    beefcake
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    Ok, I cannot and will not let 6 units ride on CSN. Will be hedging On Bouchard. Line seems to be moving away from Bouchard so I will wait to get the best possible hedge. But looks like another profitable major on the chicks!!!

    A kuzzy win tomorrow than it is time to dance like a mofo for another hedge for profit..

    Also Halep is being offered at -450 to not win. Can take that if I want. Not sure I want to risk 9 units of profit to win 2. out of +1475 though..Smart thing to do is to let her ride at least another round.
    Last edited by beefcake; 06-01-14 at 04:11 PM.

  6. #6
    beefcake
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    Here is the hedges.

    Bouchard to win -125..Risk 2.5 units to win 2...If CSN wins a 3.5 unit profit and a future still alive

    Have halep and Kuzzy both left for futures. Kuzzy wins I get another 7 units of profit..halep wins I lose .5 unit, but can hedge 14.75 units..Lovin life!!!

  7. #7
    beefcake
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    1-4(includes hedges) -0.5...Hedge pays of for CSN...

  8. #8
    beefcake
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    Hell YES!!

    To win..

    Andrea Petkovic +15000..Risk 0.5 units..Finally back from injury and rock solid..

  9. #9
    beefcake
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    Ok, heres what is left..

    Pet wins title I win 75 units

    Halep wins title win 14.75 units.They play each other..so basically just watch and see and maybe Bouchard beats pova(not likely) and it makes it all the more sweeter.

    Any other ideas?

    Updated record 1-5 -1 unit with 2 bets pending plus hedge.

  10. #10
    beefcake
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    1-6 -1.5 units overall

    Win 14.75 units if Halep wins on Sat.Will of course hedge with Maria, but will wait for price to come down as I think it will.

  11. #11
    kenz
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    Your price is great. You decide, If 5 units in both case is good for you can bet 10 units on Masha at a bookie with first ball rule.
    Last edited by kenz; 06-06-14 at 03:26 AM.

  12. #12
    kenz
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    I have @6 so I need Halep to win first set and may take my chances on her to take first break on 2nd set.

  13. #13
    beefcake
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    Hedge..

    Sharapova to win..-160..5 dimes..Risk 6.4 units to win 4

    So finally profit will be +2.5 units if pova wins and +6.85 if Halep wins

  14. #14
    beefcake
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    final profit +2.5..hedge pays off

  15. #15
    shari91
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    Quote Originally Posted by beefcake View Post
    final profit +2.5..hedge pays off


    After all these years we really should come up with an official #teamgreenout pic or gif so we can post it when the occasion suits.

  16. #16
    bruceBRUCEbruce
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    Beef, excellent job w your picks here, sorting past the top favs and making a profit. If only petko and halep were on different sides of the draw!

  17. #17
    beefcake
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    Yeah was one big win from Kuzzy or Petko of making a shit ton more on the greenout..Oh well..On to wimbledon.

  18. #18
    beefcake
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    Quote Originally Posted by shari91 View Post


    After all these years we really should come up with an official #teamgreenout pic or gif so we can post it when the occasion suits.

    Need some funky green shirts or something. Me, you, EP and a few others for a group shot..We meet in vegas and party like rockstars, need daycare though for your kid and mine.

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