[JC1186]

Odds are way over imo. Begu in solid form, but the market is forgetting that Pous-Tio is a former Top 75 player (just a couple of years ago - 2012) and her best surface by a long shot is clay.

WTA Challenger Medellin - R16, Tennis	Ticket Number :
	Laura Pous-Tio 3-April-2014 2:00 AM PST
	Match Odds for Match 5.710
	Risking 200.00 to Win 942.00 AUD

[Marillion]

Begu has been absolutely cruising this year (1 loss - to Pereira - out of 16 matches on clay, two titles in the 25K ITF events and a quarterfinal in an WTA event. Her match in the first round here ended 6-0 6-0.
I wouldn't go against her at these odds (even when now I see Pous-Tio has a decent record this year - crushing like Begu but at lower level tournaments) but good luck with your bet!

[JC1186]

Thanks. Yeah I hear you. Begu is in scintillating form at that level. But there are two key factors here:

1) Pous-Tio have been killing it too! Albeit at a lower level. Still this = confidence. http://www.itftennis.com/procircuit/...yerid=20013074

2) She is a former highly ranker player. Which means she has the tools. Many players at these kind of odds simply do not posses the game to win, and you must rely on the opposition being well below their best. This is the not the case here. Pous-Tio has a very high "best" level too.

She also has nothing to lose here. I wouldn't be surprised if this one is close. Hence at odds of almost 6.0 I have to bite.

[JC1186]

Oh and in their most recent match in 2012 (Fes - QF) Pous-Tio smashed her 6-1 6-4.