[tipsadontlikehim]

Murray


27-14 ... +4.518 ...

[tipsadontlikehim]

the only reason i'll take the O21 here is because i had lots of void bets lately, favourites seem to beat their opponent quite easily this week.
apart from that, Berdych and Tsonga have played 7 matchs, and this over was a winner 6 times, the 7th was a push

LOSS

[professionalAD]

ur so lucky u get to juice it dude wtf lol i got 22.5, line moved to 23 lets rollllll

[tipsadontlikehim]

haha i know !! they are definitely my favourite plays ! GL with your topic by the way dude

[tipsadontlikehim]

Kohlschreiber looking solid this week
H2H is horrible for him but i got this unlogic feeling that today he's gonna give troubles to Berdych


WIN


28-15 ... +4.386 ...
_

[professionalAD]

shiiit u sure man? tough pick there

[Tmuston Beltics]

Never trust kochlscheiber... GL though!!

[tipsadontlikehim]

Thanks and yep i am pretty confident here.
I know he didn't play great players this week but he looked solid. He is fresh, mentally and physically, i think he can hold today. Berdych doesn't look as solid as he was in Rotterdam.

[kenz]

Good luck

7-5 6-4 is good for both of us

[tipsadontlikehim]

[tipsadontlikehim]

Just do it Rog'!


WIN

[professionalAD]

yo bro been looking to move to Australia with my friend like you said. what kind of job did you get? do you automatically get a job? and how much an hour and how much a week did u make?

[kenz]

Congratulations on the win

[tipsadontlikehim]

yo bro been looking to move to Australia with my friend like you said. what kind of job did you get? do you automatically get a job? and how much an hour and how much a week did u make?

hi mate
i'll send you a PM, check your inbox in 2 minutes

[tipsadontlikehim]

Congratulations on the win

cheers and you too well done

[DownTheLine]

Australia is like my #1 destination to live one day. Recommended? I know it's somewhat expensive to live there, no?

[tipsadontlikehim]

Expensive yes, but when you work there you earn enough money really
even as labourer as i was, in crap places where nobody wants to go, I would make 1200 to 1500 a week after tax, sometimes more (but working sometimes 60 hours a week)
depends where you go, Sydney, Mebourne, big places are not the best places to make money i think, too many backpackers looking for jobs as well.
Karratha, Port hedland, these crap lost places you'll make 1500 a week easily (but there accomodation is very expensive, some backpackers live in a win haha!), Guess matt can tell you more about it ?

[tipsadontlikehim]

[tipsadontlikehim]

a risky combo with Polansky and Mannarino
I really like to fade Monaco here



LOSS

[tipsadontlikehim]

http://tipsadontlikehim.mysbrforum.c...l/o434yku3.jpg

loss
loss

[tipsadontlikehim]

Next play, big value

[kenz]

This caught my attention, too. BOL on your play

Janowicz sucks on outdoor hard. I will probably take +hcp though. Dont like the Colombian much,

[tipsadontlikehim]

Falla OK (saving 1 MP)


30-18
+4.418

[kenz]

Great job

[tipsadontlikehim]

cheers

[Hardcoar]

Yeah good hit!

[tipsadontlikehim]

well i said already my point about Monfils, he is just better than Fog right now on hardcourt

Raonic... i think his first set tight match against Roger-Vasselin will give him confidence. You know Falla didn't play great against Janowicz, the polish destroyed himself as expected...
Tursunov, well...

Cilic: the man. Way too strong right now for Robredo. Cilic will have a lot of free points on serve, Robredo will be under pressure all the time on his own serve. Probably Cilic in straights here.

[kenz]

Not sure about Cilic, I think Robredo can win

Hope I am wrong and you cash

BOL Tipsa

[tipsadontlikehim]

thks kenz
to me the way to beat Cilic these last weeks : overpower him (like Berdych did in Rotterdam and Cilic was exhausted, or like the Delray beach final but here too i think he was feeling exhausted and still won in the end)
The other way: play like Djokovic, put every ball back, defend extremely well and make him move dictating the points.
Don't think current Robredo can do any of that. The way Robredo struggled yesterday makes me even more confident

[Honeybadger44]

I like your plays most of the time, Tipsa, but as Kenz, I am little bit concerned about Cilic play here. Of course, he is in better position to win this one, but there is just too much juice in these odds imho... You are "buying" him at the highest price at the moment, which is result of his good results in last month or so. And don't ever underestimate Robredo. For me, one of the most inteligent players. If Cilic will show any weakness, Tommy will look to exploit it even more. And he can play pretty good defense, with returning those balls deep and with a lot of top spin, pushing opponent behind baseline. Anyway, my point is, there is no value in backing Cilic at these odds.

Also, not thrilled about Monfils at these odds. Two showmen, which will compete who is going to perform most crazy shot. That competition might draw the best out of Fognini. But, that is just one man oppinion. Still wishing you good luck with your plays!

[kenz]

My concern is Robredo beat Cilic here as an underdog in the past (2009) and Cilic has some upsets on outdoor hard in his career. Robredo at times can play like shit but at times play beautiful tennis. He beat Rosol, Bennetau, Gasquet in Australian Open before losing to Wawrinka who played unbeliveable. Robredo was really good that day but Wawrinka was god-like. If Robredo shows up poor he will 100% lose, he does not have that room for mistakes. If he shows up great and Cilic not 100%, then Cilic may be in trouble

Cilic's style suits better in indoor and grass, like Janowicz but of course he is definitely/clearly nowhere as horrible as Janowicz on outdoor hard. I drew the comparison to point out his favourite courts and his least favourite courts.

Wish you cash both with no sweat Tipsa

[Hardcoar]

Cilic is a better play than Raonic at any rate.

[kenz]

Cilic is a better play than Raonic at any rate.

Robredo is better than Falla at a bigger rate

Robredo leads H2H 2-1 against Cilic, while Raonic leads 1-0 against Falla, game being on clay

[Hardcoar]

Giraffe is Giraffe. At current market odds I find Cilic a far superior bet to Giraffe.

[fitguy67]

Apart from serving incredibly (perhaps unsustainably) well, Raonic played like crap yesterday...outplayed by ERV in almost every category outside of serving...don't think he even earned one break point the entire match...

If Raonic's even a bit off from his brilliant serving form...unless his multi-week court-rust vanishes VERY quicky and brings his dreadful UFE-count down...

i say Falla at +340 or nothing vs. this very-rusty very-1-dimensional current version of Raonic

not saying today won't be a replay of yesterday with Falla playing the part of poor ERV...but the ticket price to bank on that replay is just too damn expensive for my blood...and a flier on the other outcome has become relatively so cheap...it's where any value on this match now resides