[sportsguy04]

Delete.

[frugalgambler]

This sounds a pretty dumb strategy, although it would be interesting to know how it performs if you backtest it.

[sportsguy04]

This sounds a pretty dumb strategy, although it would be interesting to know how it performs if you backtest it.

Ive actually been cleaning up in tennis because of this! Can post my results.

[AceKingHigh]

Please post your next plays when it comes!

[sportsguy04]

2 from tonight. Better rank won:

	1/12/14 9:39pm				Win	1/12/14 8:30pm ATP Tennis 234 Kenny De Schepper -105* vs Di **
	1/12/14 8:29pm				Win	1/12/14 8:30pm ATP Tennis 249 Dominic Thiem +105* vs Joao Sousa

[sportsguy04]

Currently playing:

All 3 the better rank.

					1/13/14 1:00am ATP Tennis 276 J.Janowicz Games Won -4½ -125* vs J.Thompson Games Won
		.
					1/12/14 10:00pm WTA Tennis 624 M.Barthel Games Won +2 -125* vs S.Zhang Games Won
					1/12/14 10:00pm WTA Tennis 517 Samantha Stosur -195* vs Klara Zakopalova

[sportsguy04]

Also playing:

Davydenko ML -165

[AceKingHigh]

I don't get it, you said you take the better rank with +games, I don't see Janowicz with + games , either Stosur?!

[sportsguy04]

No... I take the better player. If it is a ML less than -200 Ill take the ML or - spread if its somewhat low and the ranking is pretty far apart.. If the better player is the underdog, Ill take them at + spread.

just saying I bet blindly based on rankings.

[frugalgambler]

Exactly. Why did you choose Stosur who is -200 fav ? I thought you were selecting higher-ranked dogs. Also, can you define cleaning up; is it 5-2 or 25-14 ? In other words is your winning record statistically significant ?

[sportsguy04]

Exactly. Why did you choose Stosur who is -200 fav ? I thought you were selecting higher-ranked dogs. Also, can you define cleaning up; is it 5-2 or 25-14 ? In other words is your winning record statistically significant ?

Stosur was alot better rank than her opponent as she just won. SOrry I should of re wrote my first post. I always take the better rank player. Anything -200 or less I can afford to lay on the ML. If they are the fav. But if better rank and higher than -200 ML ill take the spread if its reasonable and there is a big difference between ranks. If the better ranked player is the underdog, I always jump on them at the + spread.

[AceKingHigh]

Gotcha, this is pretty much most of the games (faves) tailed you on Devydenko lets get it!

[frugalgambler]

Still not clear how you judge what is the "reasonable spread" to take, how you define the big difference in rankings, etc. Anyway, good luck to you.

[frugalgambler]

Davydenko ? Wow. I hope you used a book where if he retires you get your money back.

[sportsguy04]

Davydenko ? Wow. I hope you used a book where if he retires you get your money back.

why would he retire?

[sportsguy04]

and yes i do.

[frugalgambler]

Because he does that a lot when he starts to lose and the conditions are brutal down under.

[sportsguy04]

1/12/14 10:00pm ATP Tennis 272 P.Andujar Games Won +3½ -125*

vs A.Ramos Games

andujar better rank, and getting + so I took him.

[AceKingHigh]

Posting after game starts doesn't count dude... de fck????? post at least 10-15min before game time LOL

[sportsguy04]

Posting after game starts doesn't count dude... de fck????? post at least 10-15min before game time LOL

Thought I posted it before with the others. Sorry mate. started 4 mins before that post.

[MagicDiceFlow]

Janowicz is about to screw you on the spread line. You're basically toast , now that he lost the first set 6-1. Almost impossible to make that up on a -4.5 spread.

Just fyi, your strategy is basically what 75% of squares do.....put too much stock in the rankings. This is how books clean up on noobs. Rankings should be one of the last things you look at. There's a lot of other factors much stronger than rankings.

[sportsguy04]

Janowicz is about to screw you on the spread line. You're basically toast , now that he lost the first set 6-1. Almost impossible to make that up on a -4.5 spread.

Just fyi, your strategy is basically what 75% of squares do.....put too much stock in the rankings. This is how books clean up on noobs. Rankings should be one of the last things you look at. There's a lot of other factors much stronger than rankings.

Never said I go all in. I agree not saying this strategy works in long run, but it's been beginners luck thus far. Just having fun. Syre he will lose. But the other bets have cashed and are looking good.

[sportsguy04]

Janowicz is about to screw you on the spread line. You're basically toast , now that he lost the first set 6-1. Almost impossible to make that up on a -4.5 spread.

Just fyi, your strategy is basically what 75% of squares do.....put too much stock in the rankings. This is how books clean up on noobs. Rankings should be one of the last things you look at. There's a lot of other factors much stronger than rankings.

Lol only lost by .5!