1. 06-01-13 11:23 PM #1
    baconbets
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    simon vs federer

    +8 simon or over 30 seems like a reasonable play here.

    as a comparison, nishikori is also +8, but against nadal. yet, simon is better than nishikori and federer is worse than nadal, so the underdogs having the same game spread is puzzling here. simon is the kind of guy who will gladly give up if he is behind in a set, meaning federer has almost as good of a chance at a double break as he does at a break per set. however, simon is also a guy who plays to the level of his competition. he looks sleepy against inferior opponents and rarely beats them by the margins that he should. but, he also appears invigorated against superior opponents and raises his game. +8 covers a wide variety of federer 3 or 4 set wins.
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  2. 06-01-13 11:26 PM #2
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Fed just destroy him in Rome 6-1 6-2
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  3. 06-02-13 12:32 AM #3
    pazim
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    He has weak serve. He is more likely to be broken than kei.
    Last edited by pazim; 06-02-13 at 01:42 AM.
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  4. 06-02-13 12:35 AM #4
    MUHerd37
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    Federer walked right through him in Rome. It wasn't much of a match.
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  5. 06-02-13 12:48 AM #5
    CaptainOmar111
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    Federer was normal in Rome and beat him 6-2 6-1 , but now Federer seems better ,, I will be on -6 or -7 myself
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  6. 06-02-13 01:24 AM #6
    EaglesPhan36
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    I think a bad set-up for Simon. I thought he'd push Federer in Rome, but now he's coming in with a couple 5 setters on his odometer and the bigger problem if you're talking spreads is that he has lost quite a few lopsided sets this tournament.
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  7. 06-02-13 02:03 AM #7
    Hawke
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    You think Simon is better than nishikori? Tell that to fed.
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  8. 06-02-13 12:08 PM #8
    baconbets
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    fed live price -200. all you fed backers should be on that.

    -165 now
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  9. 06-02-13 12:18 PM #9
    Hardcoar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hawke View Post
    You think Simon is better than nishikori? Tell that to fed.
    I'm kind of undecided on this one, but he certainly doesn't have the same shotmaking potential. Obviously Japmaster is much younger as well...
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  10. 06-02-13 12:23 PM #10
    jinxpro1313
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    Quote Originally Posted by baconbets View Post
    fed live price -200. all you fed backers should be on that.

    -165 now
    I wouldn't unload on this too big. Fed looks like an UE machine today
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  11. 06-02-13 12:28 PM #11
    Hardcoar
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    That's true, but realize C-Moon is turning him into one...
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  12. 06-02-13 01:33 PM #12
    EaglesPhan36
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    Well that spread did cover, but the lopsided sets continued. Solid comeback for Federer. Seems like he always gets one of these matches at Slams where he has to come back in 5.
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  13. 06-02-13 01:46 PM #13
    STAY STRONG
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    Goat.
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  14. 06-02-13 02:05 PM #14
    baconbets
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    Quote Originally Posted by STAY STRONG View Post
    Goat.
    old, with backhand errors. tsonga is going to bash this guy off the court.


    tsonga line is out. +155. free money.
    Last edited by baconbets; 06-02-13 at 06:23 PM.
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