1. #1
    CommonSense
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    2013 Australian Open Selections

    All are 1 unit bets and all are -110 unless indicated.

    J.Benneteau Games Won/G.Dimitrov Games Won Over 41

    N.Li Games Won/S.Karatantcheva Games Won Under 16½

    O.Puchkova Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Under 16½ (-125)


    BOL to all!

  2. #2
    CommonSense
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    V.Troicki Games Won/R.Stepanek Games Won Over 38½

    A.Bogomolov Jr Games Won/B.Baker Games Won Over 38 (-118)

    O.Rochus Games Won +9½ (-104) vs D.Ferrer


    BOL to all!

  3. #3
    Domestic
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    Congrats on the easy Sharapova under.

  4. #4
    CommonSense
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    Quote Originally Posted by Domestic View Post
    Congrats on the easy Sharapova under.
    Thanks. Now I wish I put a million dollars on it. GL!

  5. #5
    Domestic
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    Haha, I know the feeling.

  6. #6
    CommonSense
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    M.J.Koehler Games Won/K.Knapp Games Won Over 21 (-105)

    E.Svitolina Games Won +6½ (-130) vs A.Kerber Games Won


    BOL to all!

  7. #7
    gaebiskon
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    very disappointed by dimitrov' garbage performance
    he sure ****** many people today

  8. #8
    CommonSense
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    Quote Originally Posted by gaebiskon View Post
    very disappointed by dimitrov' garbage performance
    he sure ****** many people today
    Didn't he see the movie Wimbledon? Sharapova is suppose to be distracted and lose, not him! I figured he would win at least 1 set. GL in the rest of the tournament.

  9. #9
    CommonSense
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    Last set of the night:

    A.Ramos Games Won/M.Baghdatis Games Won Over 32½

    L.Hewitt Games Won/J.Tipsarevic Games Won Over 41 (-125)

    A.Ivanovic Games Won/M.Czink Games Won Under 17½ (-120)


    BOL to all!

  10. #10
    CommonSense
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    1/13/14 Results: 9-2 (+6.65 units)
    J.Benneteau Games Won/G.Dimitrov Games Won Over 41 - l
    N.Li Games Won/S.Karatantcheva Games Won Under 16½ - w
    O.Puchkova Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Under 16½ (-125) - w
    V.Troicki Games Won/R.Stepanek Games Won Over 38½ - w
    A.Bogomolov Jr Games Won/B.Baker Games Won Over 38 (-118) - w
    O.Rochus Games Won +9½ (-104) vs D.Ferrer - w
    M.J.Koehler Games Won/K.Knapp Games Won Over 21 (-105) - w
    E.Svitolina Games Won +6½ (-130) vs A.Kerber Games Won - w
    A.Ramos Games Won/M.Baghdatis Games Won Over 32½ - w
    L.Hewitt Games Won/J.Tipsarevic Games Won Over 41 (-125) - l
    A.Ivanovic Games Won/M.Czink Games Won Under 17½ (-120) - w

    Till later.

  11. #11
    CommonSense
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    1/14/13
    B.Paire Games Won/R.Federer Games Won Under 28½

    V.Azarenka Games Won/M.Niculescu Games Won Under 16½ (-130)

    S.Williams Games Won/E.Gallovits-Hall Games Won Under 15½ (-135)


    BOL to all!

  12. #12
    CommonSense
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    M.Oudin Games Won +5½ (-120) vs L.Robson Games Won

    BOL to all!

  13. #13
    CommonSense
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    R.Ramirez-Hidalgo Games Won +9½ (-125) vs Y-H.Lu

    G.Monfils Games Won/A.Dolgopolov Games Won Over 40½ (-105)

    L.Mayer Games Won +8 (-108) vs B.Tomic Games Won


    BOL to all!

  14. #14
    CommonSense
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    1/14/13 Results: 3-4 (-1.6 units)
    B.Paire Games Won/R.Federer Games Won Under 28½ - w
    V.Azarenka Games Won/M.Niculescu Games Won Under 16½ (-130) - l
    S.Williams Games Won/E.Gallovits-Hall Games Won Under 15½ (-135) - w
    M.Oudin Games Won +5½ (-120) vs L.Robson Games Won - l
    R.Ramirez-Hidalgo Games Won +9½ (-125) vs Y-H.Lu - l

    G.Monfils Games Won/A.Dolgopolov Games Won Over 40½ (-105) - w
    L.Mayer Games Won +8 (-108) vs B.Tomic Games Won - l

    YTD: 12-6 (+5.15 units)

    Till later.

  15. #15
    CommonSense
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    1/15/13
    J.Goerges Games Won/R.Oprandi Games Won Over 20½ (-125)

    K.Pervak Games Won/H.Watson Games Won Over 20½ (-120)

    V.Dolonc Games Won/M.Bartoli Games Won Under 19


    BOL to all!

  16. #16
    CommonSense
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    M.Youzhny Games Won/E.Donskoy Games Won Under 37½

    K.Nishikori Games Won -9 (-120) vs C.Berlocq

    N.Almagro Games Won/D.Gimeno-Traver Games Won Over 35½ (-125)


    BOL to all!

  17. #17
    CommonSense
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    $300.00 To Win $168.47:
    Pending 5 Team Parlay

    Novak Djokovic -9000* vs Ryan Harrison
    Janko Tipsarevic -700* vs Lukas Lacko
    Ana Ivanovic -460* vs Yung-Jan Chan
    Venus Williams -1120* vs Alize Cornet
    Maria Sharapova -5250* vs Misaki Doi

    BOL to all!

  18. #18
    CommonSense
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    1/15/13 Results: 3-4 (-1.11 units)
    J.Goerges Games Won/R.Oprandi Games Won Over 20½ (-125) - l
    K.Pervak Games Won/H.Watson Games Won Over 20½ (-120) - w
    V.Dolonc Games Won/M.Bartoli Games Won Under 19 - w
    M.Youzhny Games Won/E.Donskoy Games Won Under 37½ - l
    K.Nishikori Games Won -9 (-120) vs C.Berlocq - l

    N.Almagro Games Won/D.Gimeno-Traver Games Won Over 35½ (-125) - l
    $300.00 To Win $168.47 - 3 units to win 1.69 units - w
    Pending 5 Team Parlay
    Novak Djokovic -9000* vs Ryan Harrison
    Janko Tipsarevic -700* vs Lukas Lacko
    Ana Ivanovic -460* vs Yung-Jan Chan
    Venus Williams -1120* vs Alize Cornet
    Maria Sharapova -5250* vs Misaki Doi

    YTD: 15-10 (+4.04 units)

    I should just play the first 3 picks that come to my mind and leave it at that. I am 8-3 picking women matches so maybe I should stick with that. Parlays can be your friend, especially with heavy favorites. Till later.

  19. #19
    CommonSense
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    1/16/13
    $500.00 to win $1326.10 - 5 units to win 13.26 units
    Pending 9 Team Parlay
    Juan Martin del Potro -4000* vs Benjamin Becker
    Andy Murray -16500* vs Joao Sousa
    Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -4000* vs Go Soeda
    Richard Gasquet -1200* vs Alejandro Falla
    Roger Federer -1700* vs Nikolay Davydenko
    Victoria Azarenka -7000* vs Eleni Daniilidou
    Caroline Wozniacki -520* vs Donna Vekic
    Serena Williams -6000* vs Garbine Muguruza
    Laura Robson +145* vs Petra Kvitova

    Hope to get down to Robson bet and hedge either Kvitova or the over or both!

    BOL to all!

  20. #20
    CommonSense
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    1/16/13 Results: 1-0 (+13.26 units)
    $500.00 to win $1326.10 - 5 units to win 13.26 units
    Pending 9 Team Parlay
    Juan Martin del Potro -4000* vs Benjamin Becker
    Andy Murray -16500* vs Joao Sousa
    Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -4000* vs Go Soeda
    Richard Gasquet -1200* vs Alejandro Falla
    Roger Federer -1700* vs Nikolay Davydenko
    Victoria Azarenka -7000* vs Eleni Daniilidou
    Caroline Wozniacki -520* vs Donna Vekic
    Serena Williams -6000* vs Garbine Muguruza
    Laura Robson +145* vs Petra Kvitova

    Was really tired last night and watching Fed/Dav match. Next thing I know, it's the morning and I didn't hedge my Robson pick. I would've been an unhappy camper if she lost.

    YTD: 14-10 (+2.35 units)

    YTD Parlays: 2-0 (+14.95 units)

    Till later.

  21. #21
    Ms. Degen
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    great job common sense!

    let me know if you see anything worthy of a parlay or straight up today.

  22. #22
    thes0vereign
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    Fantastic job with your 9-play parlay common!

  23. #23
    CommonSense
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    1/17/13
    S.Cirstea Games Won +6½ (-125) vs N.Li

    J.Goerges Games Won/J.Zheng Games Won Over 21½

    A.Ivanovic Games Won/J.Jankovic Games Won Over 21 (-112)


    BOL to all!
    Last edited by CommonSense; 01-17-13 at 02:45 PM.

  24. #24
    CommonSense
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    Quote Originally Posted by Ms. Degen View Post
    great job common sense!

    let me know if you see anything worthy of a parlay or straight up today.
    Quote Originally Posted by thes0vereign View Post
    Fantastic job with your 9-play parlay common!
    Thanks. I did get lucky with Robson. I would've definitely hedge Kvitova if I had the chance. lol I'm going to play another parlay and see how long I can keep this up. GL today!

  25. #25
    CommonSense
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    1/17/13
    $300.00 to win $1249.35 - 3 units to win 12.49 units
    8 Team Parlay
    Duke -1500* vs Georgia Tech
    Murray State -1400* vs Eastern Illinois
    Novak Djokovic -10000* vs Radek Stepanek
    Kei Nishikori -800* vs Evgeny Donskoy
    Na Li -1250* vs Sorana Cirstea
    J.Goerges Games Won/J.Zheng Games Won Over 21½
    Agnieszka Radwanska -2300* vs Heather Watson
    V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Over 20

    3.48 units to win 3 units - J.Zheng Games Won +2½ (-116) vs J.Goerges

    The key is the J.Goerges Games Won/J.Zheng over 21.5 games which I also bet individually. I think this will go 3 sets and be a very close match so I also put some on Zheng in case it doesn't go 3 sets.

    If I can get past that, the rest of the parlay has a high chance of winning until I reach the Williams/Sharapova match which I will definitely hedge this time around. I also hope there is live betting involved so I can wait and see what happens and hedge appropriately. I'm only doing this because I am up and I can afford to lose. Otherwise, this is a crazy ass bet!

    BOL to all!

  26. #26
    CommonSense
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    Hedging my 8-team parlay, just hope Novak comes through:

    $200.00 to win $436.92 - 2 units to win 4.3 units
    2 Team Parlay
    E.Donskoy Games Won +7½ (-130) vs K.Nishikori Games Won
    V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Over 20 (-125)

  27. #27
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by CommonSense View Post
    Hedging my 8-team parlay, just hope Novak comes through:

    $200.00 to win $436.92 - 2 units to win 4.3 units
    2 Team Parlay
    E.Donskoy Games Won +7½ (-130) vs K.Nishikori Games Won
    V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Over 20 (-125)
    It scares me relying on Venus to win 9 games against Pova. She is in good form, but so is the #2 seed. Would add some straight ML Donskoy to the hedge myself.

  28. #28
    Optional
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    * Maybe parlayed with the Under in Williams/Sharapova match?

  29. #29
    CommonSense
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    * Maybe parlayed with the Under in Williams/Sharapova match?
    If all goes well and Novak and Kei comes through, and if they have live betting and I think they will, I would see how the first set goes. Best scenerio is to go 7-6 and then I just sit and do nothing. If it isn't close and regardless of who wins, I would take the 1st set winner to win the 2nd set and then bet with them in each game until they get broken.

    Or if all goes well, I just lay $700 on the under at probably even odds and go to sleep. lol

    I didn't take ML Donskoy because I figure if he wins, he should win +7 games. But since I don't think he will win but can hang in there, Kei likes to have one close set in his matches, I might as well take the games so I can win both ways.

    Worse case scenerio is if Novak loses or Kei loses, then I can go to sleep and ask myself why didn't I take ML Donskoy!!!! Time to watch the Donskoy match!
    Last edited by CommonSense; 01-17-13 at 11:07 PM.

  30. #30
    Optional
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    Sounds well thought out. GL

  31. #31
    CommonSense
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    4* V.Williams Games Won/M.Sharapova Games Won Under 20 (-120)

    Gonna play this out and see what happens. Worse case is up 1 unit. I'll also do live betting.

  32. #32
    CommonSense
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    Quote Originally Posted by Optional View Post
    * Maybe parlayed with the Under in Williams/Sharapova match?
    Actually, that would've been the correct play. But Donskoy made the "coulda, shoulda" moot when he couldn't hold serve in the 8th game.

  33. #33
    thes0vereign
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    Congrats on staying awake to hedge your bet, I passed out without pressing enter on the confirmation screen and woke up to a losing wager with no arb. Sad panda, I was.

    Still, a very good attempt and almost another hit. Keep up the good work, common.

  34. #34
    CommonSense
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    1/18/13
    S.Stephens Games Won/L.Robson Games Won Over 21½ (-130)

    M.Raonic Games Won/P.Kohlschreiber Games Won Under 43

    B.Tomic Games Won/R.Federer Games Won Under 35 (-120)


    BOL to all!

  35. #35
    CommonSense
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    Quote Originally Posted by thes0vereign View Post
    Congrats on staying awake to hedge your bet, I passed out without pressing enter on the confirmation screen and woke up to a losing wager with no arb. Sad panda, I was.

    Still, a very good attempt and almost another hit. Keep up the good work, common.
    I made a couple of units in the first set by betting on Sharapova breaking Venus's serve so I came out okay. But if I only had the under ... You'll get 'em next time!

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