Tursunov shouldn't be priced at -220 against Ito - who beat Almagro 6 and 6 the other day. I'm not sure why he is considered favorite here, but he did beat Tomic...which isn't saying much these days. He served at a low clip - 52%, and won 30/33 points off his first serve but just a shade over 50% on his second. Ito has all the intangibles in his favor tonight - playing in front of a Japanese crowd with high expectations of him, and probably a world of confidence after defeating Almagro. Give me Ito. 350/630