Trying to get a forum going with other Aussie's, about picks on the US open. Mainly because I'm asleep when matches are on/about to start and I don't know about you but I have to get in my picks a lot earlier then most people post on here.
So yeah, hopefully trying to get a forum going by the time the US open shows up. Where we share have some earlier guaranteed winners... (Well close enough :P)
Also wouldn't mind having a group of us preview/research (etc...) most of the matches and have tips for each match or something and from them get a list of tips with real value and probability..
So yeah I'll try to provide as many tips as I can with an analysis [Hate tips with no reasoning] when the time comes and hopefully some of you's will jump on board lol
But anyway I'm doubting this forum will do much as I'm such a newbie but hey worth a shot
I've lurked here for a little while and this thread has encouraged me to sign up.
It sounds like a good idea to me.
While always tentative with qualies, they are a fickle beast, I will get the thread rolling with Berankis @ $1.52 over Farah.
The eyes lit up when I saw this. On early US hard court swing form it seems well overs. He hasn't played since Washington however. Digging around it looks like this is by choice, rather than injury, as he would have had to qualify for cinci and it looks like he chose the rest after his marathon run in LA. First round of qualies he was scratchy, so hopefully that blew out the cobwebs and I'm not starting the thread off with a dud.
Just so you's know, I do my betting through TAB. I know they don't have the best value but so be it, it's more convenient for me. Since I'm going through there and it's for Aussie's I'll probably provide the risk/win in Dollars, same as value. If anyone wants to post there tips another way feel free.
For now, I'm on a parlay/multi/combos.
#1 Stosur @ $1.12: Stosur's been on a bit of a bad run of late, but seemed to "some" form in Cincinnati. Defending Champion, can't see her losing this with her opponent being under the injury cloud recently. Barotoli @1.15: Will look to have a decent run, plays well on Hard(So does her opponent though); decent form. I'm backing her.
Arvidsson @ $1.20: Arvidsson should get this comfortable, her opponent is 42! :O Arvidsson hasn't had too bad a season, her opponent has been shocking so she should get over Date Krumm easily. Jankovic @ $1.28: Her opponent is in poor form. Good value here. Li Na @ $1.04: Li Na looking to give this slam a real crack! So won't be taking Watson lightly.
(In a rush now lol, g2g out) Errani 1st Set @ $1.15: Errani is a great starter in awesome form, decent value! Kirilenko @ $1.15: both players in decent form, but can't go past kirilenko here Trocki @ $1.15: Good from against a guy who prefers the clay Del Porto @ $1.12: Nothing needs to be said here Querry @ $1.18: I'm expecting this to be tight but feel Querry should get home Isner @ 1.15 Baker @ 1.15
Seppi @ $1.38
Overall $7.54
Not a real fan of multi's so will won't risk much...
I'm going to be unpatriotic with my first main draw pick.
Ito over Ebden @ $1.80 (with the refund special if Ito loses in 5).
Ebden was up and about early in the hard court season. The clay court looks to have knocked his confidence around a bit however and he has had some very poor returns back on hard court. He lost to clay court pusher Ramirez Hidalgo in Washington, got bagelled in a set by Polansky before coming back and winning that match in Toronto after a reprieve as a lucky loser after going down to Stakhovsky in qualifying, and retired against Sanam Singh (who?) when about to get rolled in straights in qualifying for Winston Salem.
Ito plays the asian hard court challenger season and comes onto the ATP tour when it suits his game or for the grand slams. Lu does the same sort of thing and he measures up to the level. Taking him on faith a little bit i guess.
Love the optimism SoSharp, Stepy pretty much a cagey suspect survivor nowadays, but you must be onto something, the tab has been smashed into 2.00. Probably wouldn't touch that though
Paire at 3.35 looks a bit ridiculous to me, Dimitrov isnt the most consistent performer, probably go overs for me.
Interesting to see big K at 1.65 against mr. Wang... Overs or just tempting, surely his serve should push him through?
I know WTA betting is dodgy, but surely cinukoba at 1.28 is a bit short?
Hahaha yeah, obviously didn't be that much :P But Stepanek is now flat even with Almagro both at $1.87 :O That's get value for Almagro! lol
Unlucky cessation, shouldn't gonr against the Aussie's. So far so good!
Yeah Optional, that does look awesome! Unfortunately I missed it all, and didn't get to put a bet on today and only slapped on the one yesterday (Stepanek) :/
At least still have that multi still...
Hopefully I'll have something going tomorrow if I can get time
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Aussies Betting on the US Open!
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