1. #1
    Snowball
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    Atlanta Parlay:[+191] Muller (-130) / Ebden-Harrison (-155)

    Even though Muller advanced, he was losing to Fish, and it
    was a freak accident that brought him here. Still, he was
    keeping things close. 4-6,2-3. There is no important
    H2H here, a Muller over Ebden @ Nottingham (grass) last season
    is all.
    Both players have played their last 2 on Hard @ Atlanta, with their
    directly previous on grass. Muller lost to van der Merwe at Newport,
    Ebden lost to Raonic. Muller lost to Paire at Wimble, Ebden lost
    to Benneteau.
    Atlanta matches thus far:
    Ebden over Blake: 6-7(6), 6-4,6-4
    Ebden over Bubka: 5-7,6-1,6-1
    Muller over Fish: 4-6,2-3 (ret)
    Muller over Matosevic: 7-6(5), 6-4

    Ebden rank 82, Muller rank 63.
    Ebden no inj. since 2010, Muller no inj. since 2011.


    - Muller has faced the stiffer competition in this tournament.
    - Muller played tight vs Fish, forced him to put great effort into the match.
    - He beat Matosevic who ranks 40 & 60 slots higher than Ebden's competition.
    - Ebden is ranked higher in Doubles than Singles.
    - Ebden won Atlanta Doubles last year with Bogo.
    - Muller was paired with Bogo this 2012 Atlanta tournament
    and they lost to Fleming/Hutchins (no shame there, Fleming-Hutchins
    always play together and Doubles is their career)
    - Ebden is defending the Atlanta 2011 Doubles title with Ryan Harrison.
    They won 2011 Newport Doubles title together. Earlier this season,
    Ebden/Harrison reached the 1/4 Finals in the French Open.
    - Ebden/Harrison are playing today, so Ebden's 100% focus "may"
    not be on the Singles match vs. Muller, as he is defending Doubles title.
    - Ebden/Harrison have played many matches as a Doubles pair.
    They are (-155) favorites over Anderson/de Voest whom have only
    played two matches together. Ebden/Harrison just beat Huey/Inglot
    last match. That is a lot more convincing than Anderson/de Voest's win over
    Lorenzi/Ram. Lorenzi/Ram were in their first pairing ever and Lorenzi
    ranks 402 in Doubles.

    $200 to win $382

  2. #2
    Dmoneytx
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    I was really looking at Muller today, bec I was thinking the same thing about Ebden doubles match with Harrison. Muller has the huge serve anyways, if he gets clicking he will be tough to beat today. That was a good write up! Great job Snowball.

  3. #3
    Demonata
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dmoneytx View Post
    I was really looking at Muller today, bec I was thinking the same thing about Ebden doubles match with Harrison. Muller has the huge serve anyways, if he gets clicking he will be tough to beat today. That was a good write up! Great job Snowball.
    I almost want to parlay muller with whoever is playing donald young in doubles today. lol

  4. #4
    Snowball
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    if Muller wins, chances of this winning go up a lot.
    the first game is the hump.
    Good to see you are thinking alike DMoney.

  5. #5
    Snowball
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    Muller vs. Ebden is a 1:00 match
    although I have no idea if it's going off as scheduled.

  6. #6
    Hangoverblack
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    All right I'm tailing on Muller. Thanks for write up.

  7. #7
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hangoverblack View Post
    All right I'm tailing on Muller. Thanks for write up.
    most of us never tail blind, the bet has to make sense to the one
    who lays the $ on it.

  8. #8
    Hangoverblack
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    Gotcha. Better stated as:

    Thank you for the great write up, and the time you put in sharing all that objective data with the forum.

    I liked Muller as well; however I was very reticent to make the play because of the -150 chalk. In tennis, I have found those slight favorites, when they have a higher ATP rank then their opponent, are frequent targets for the bookmakers looking to trap action seekers.

    The discussion helped me pull the trigger on Muller ML for sure.

    G/L !

  9. #9
    Snowball
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    where was Muller -150 ? He was still -130 @ 5D to tip off
    or whatever they call it in tennis.

  10. #10
    Hangoverblack
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    Local book's offshore PPH.

  11. #11
    Snowball
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    yeah those are the best for no bs payouts, hangover.
    but often their lines are juiced.

  12. #12
    Snowball
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    Ebden-Harrison up to -180 now.

  13. #13
    Snowball
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    Harrison is playing like crap
    c'mon turn this around
    they are running 8% on 1st Return points won
    Last edited by Snowball; 07-20-12 at 04:40 PM.

  14. #14
    Snowball
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    chicken dinner

  15. #15
    Snowball
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    i'm so glad i won this. you don't want to know what kind of swing it
    meant in my account. now i can relax and play smaller for a while.
    it's a frikkin battlezone.

  16. #16
    Hangoverblack
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    Great win Snowball! Well deserved.

    Go small on three home MLB teams tonight:
    KC, Mets, As.

  17. #17
    Lakey
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    Great call Snowball.

  18. #18
    BrianLaverty
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    Nice call snowball.... Muller's serve was lights out.

  19. #19
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by BrianLaverty View Post
    Nice call snowball.... Muller's serve was lights out.
    thanks.

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