[tevari]

Wager Type : Parlay (4 team)
Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 200.00 / 652.02(USD)
Accepted : 6/14/2012 3:41AM - PST

#1) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Pending
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : M. Cilic
Time : 6/14/2012 8:30:01AM - (PST)
Line : -700
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.
#2) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Pending
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : J. Tipsarevic
Time : 6/14/2012 8:30:01AM - (PST)
Line : -950
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.
#3) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Win
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : J. Zheng
Time : 6/14/2012 4:30:01AM - (PST)
Line : -155
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.
#4) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Pending
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : M. Oudin
Time : 6/14/2012 4:00:01AM - (PST)
Line : +105
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.



i don't really see either having too hard of a time against Lu and Rosol, respectively. Tipsarevic fell from the ridiculous overnight price of -950 to now -705. Thinking about putting a hundy on Lu as a safety net. Thoughts?

[good2go2mexico]

Wager Type : Parlay (4 team)
Wager Status : PendingRisk / To Win Amount : 200.00 / 652.02(USD)
Accepted : 6/14/2012 3:41AM - PST

#1) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Pending
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : M. Cilic
Time : 6/14/2012 8:30:01AM - (PST)
Line : -700
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.
#2) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Pending
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : J. Tipsarevic
Time : 6/14/2012 8:30:01AM - (PST)
Line : -950
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.
#3) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Win
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : J. Zheng
Time : 6/14/2012 4:30:01AM - (PST)
Line : -155
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.
#4) Wager Type : Money Line
Outcome : Pending
Sport / Period : Tennis Other Sports / Game
Selection : M. Oudin
Time : 6/14/2012 4:00:01AM - (PST)
Line : +105
Game Notes : A full set must be completed for money line wagers to be valid. If a full set is not completed, all money line wagers will be canceled.



i don't really see either having too hard of a time against Lu and Rosol, respectively. Tipsarevic fell from the ridiculous overnight price of -950 to now -705. Thinking about putting a hundy on Lu as a safety net. Thoughts?

Tip doesn't have a great history at AEGON but even with that said I can't see either him or Cilic losing. I think you should be fine without hedging.

[Blax0r]

I'm on Lu actually; if I remember correctly, Tipsy was still the favorite, not -700 level favorite (I think my model spit out something closer to -150).

So given the above statement, I would say Tipsy has a higher chance of losing, but he and Cilic remain favorites.

[tevari]

im going to put a hundy on Lu. anytime you get taken into a tiebreak by ryan sweeting suggests bad form or lack of motivation.

[good2go2mexico]

I'm on Lu actually; if I remember correctly, Tipsy was still the favorite, not -700 level favorite (I think my model spit out something closer to -150).

So given the above statement, I would say Tipsy has a higher chance of losing, but he and Cilic remain favorites.

Interesting. Lu did kill me last round in a parlay. Maybe I'll throw something on the moneyline for a little action.

[beefcake]

im going to put a hundy on Lu. anytime you get taken into a tiebreak by ryan sweeting suggests bad form or lack of motivation.

Totally 100% agree with THIS..

[MUHerd37]

Tipsy more likely to lose

[tevari]

Get these 4 queens off these courts so my matches can start!

[EaglesPhan36]

im going to put a hundy on Lu. anytime you get taken into a tiebreak by ryan sweeting suggests bad form or lack of motivation.

It was Tipsarevic's first match on grass and Sweeting had played qualis here + a main draw match. Happens all the time in first-ups where a guy may not dominate the entire match. Look at Nadal today. His result w/Lacko was about the same as Tips w/Sweeting.

Tipsarevic wins IMO. Cilic should too, but I don't know much about Rosol on this surface other than he beat Baghdatis - but who doesn't beat Baghdatis.

[tevari]

Of course, Cilic gets broken. Derp

[tevari]

Looks like I hedged the wrong match.

[good2go2mexico]

Looks like I hedged the wrong match.

Still early, I'm pulling for ya.

[tevari]

Cilic looking better.

[Blax0r]

Looks like I hedged the wrong match.

Hopefully, this will turn out to be some kind of reverse-jinx.

[tevari]

Lu shitting on Tips.

[ParlayininHTown]

Wish I hadn't been working earlier and could've replied to this. Lu (by far) is the one with whom you should've hedge. OP made the correct decision IMO.

I would've been stunned if Cilic lost, whereas Tipsy doesn't normally go deep in this tourney. Plus, Lu is an underrtaed grass-courter who probably feels more comfy on the surface this early in the grass-court season.

Best of luck tevari. I actually have Cilic in a parlay with Malisse and Spain. Decided to put that one together after Kohlschreiber cashed early this morning. Nothing better than a house-money parlay. haha.

[good2go2mexico]

I'm on Lu actually; if I remember correctly, Tipsy was still the favorite, not -700 level favorite (I think my model spit out something closer to -150).

So given the above statement, I would say Tipsy has a higher chance of losing, but he and Cilic remain favorites.

When did Lu get good again? He was on a real losing streak before this tournament.

[Blax0r]

When did Lu get good again? He was on a real losing streak before this tournament.

Well the match isn't over yet, and Lu can still get blown out.

However, his grass performance history is impressive (relative to other +700 dogs), and should be given more credit. Plus, taking out Karlovic on this surface recently is pretty cool.

[good2go2mexico]

Well the match isn't over yet, and Lu can still get blown out.

However, his grass performance history is impressive (relative to other +700 dogs), and should be given more credit. Plus, taking out Karlovic on this surface recently is pretty cool.

That was the match I lost on a 5 teamer parlay so not cool for me lol. I did tail you on this though and put $50 on the +500 moneyline so you seem like you have a lot of good insight.

[tevari]

Well. Cilic will close it out. Got Lu at +525. Tips winning would net me 250.00 more.

[good2go2mexico]

Well. Cilic will close it out. Got Lu at +525. Tips winning would net me 250.00 more.

Lu looks better than I would have ever imagined.

[tevari]

Great. Rain.

[MUHerd37]

Raining in England. Imagine that.

[Demonata]

The matches going to be canceled till tomorrow?

[tevari]

Hope not. Weather.com calls for 70% showers until late tonight. So, probably.

[good2go2mexico]

I imagine they'll be able to get the rest of this match in. Really doubt that Nalbandian gets in though.

[good2go2mexico]

Nevermind: Unfortunately play has been abandoned for the day here at the #AEGONChampionships. Play will resume tomorrow at 11am.

[Demonata]

Ok thanks guys.

[tevari]

Aids.

[good2go2mexico]

Early start tomorrow with more rain forecast. 6 AM EST tomorrow announced.

[tevari]

Hoping Lu comes out flat, but at least i have guaranteed profit w the hedge.

[Blax0r]

Hoping Lu comes out flat, but at least i have guaranteed profit w the hedge.

Books should have a cash out option available in your situation; the guaranteed portion of your winnings is basically tied up until the match resolves.

Actually, does something like this exist on Betfair, Pinnacle, or some of the other US-avoiding books?

[Demonata]

Early start tomorrow with more rain forecast. 6 AM EST tomorrow announced.

Where you see that?

[tevari]

Atp app says 11am start. They are 5 hrs ahead of us on the east=6am est

[moshi]

Dude...I was just posting in another thread about hedging Tipsy. Only thing is, hedging would cut about half the profit I would make if Tipsy ends up winning. What to do.....