1. 03-28-12 12:45 PM #1
    Sport_Fish
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    Nadal vs Tsonga

    Interesting match-up tonight. I am so surprised to see several people here like Tsonga here (even at +215). I just don't see enough value on that for Tsonga. Maybe I'm missing something, but I think Nadal is playing well enough to get the win here, likely in 3 sets.

    -244 seems good for Nadal. Best case I see for Tsonga here is to take the 1st set and if he somehow manages to win the 2nd, its the only way he'll win because Nadal usually explodes late in the game and I don't think Tsonga will be able to hold serve and keep up with Nadal in 3. I think if u back Tsonga, may as well bet him to win 2-1 to get good value because its near impossible Nadal doesn't win a set here.

    But either way, after seeing the Federer collapse, we could always be in store for some messed up shit. Still, I like Nadal in this one.
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  2. 03-28-12 01:34 PM #2
    zizoudane10
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    I'm not betting this game, but I would be surprised if Tsonga takes the win in this one. First set could go over 9.5, but overall I think Nadal will win this one.
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  3. 03-28-12 02:30 PM #3
    SFGiants93
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    These courts have been playing very slow, I just wonder if Tsonga has enough to hit through Nadal. I think the court conditions favor Nadal here.
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  4. 03-28-12 05:05 PM #4
    Tchocky
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    I think Tsonga is a good value. I read Nadal's left knee is bothering him.
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  5. 03-28-12 05:16 PM #5
    EaglesPhan36
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    Quote Originally Posted by SFGiants93 View Post
    These courts have been playing very slow, I just wonder if Tsonga has enough to hit through Nadal. I think the court conditions favor Nadal here.
    Indian Wells plays slow too and it didn't help Nadal against Federer. Serve is simply the key. If Tsonga can pop his serve in and dominate with it like he has mostly this week, he'll keep himself in the match. If not, Rafa breaks him and then we see if Tsonga can break back.
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  6. 03-28-12 07:36 PM #6
    JohnnyRudeboy
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    Interesting drop in the line at my book -250 --> -230
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  7. 03-28-12 08:37 PM #7
    Tsonga
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    Quote Originally Posted by JohnnyRudeboy View Post
    Interesting drop in the line at my book -250 --> -230
    that does not qualify as interesting...not even yawn worthy.
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  8. 03-28-12 09:27 PM #8
    Tchocky
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    Tsonga is just imploding. One of the worst performances I've ever seen.
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  9. 03-28-12 09:41 PM #9
    EaglesPhan36
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    Typical of my week. Take two shots at dogs, one could/should have won and the other plays like a dipshit. Back to Challengers where things seem nicer.
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  10. 03-28-12 10:05 PM #10
    MUHerd37
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    Nadal couldn't close it out.
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  11. 03-28-12 10:09 PM #11
    EaglesPhan36
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    Jo Willy off the mat and wins the 2nd set. Do I smell false hope? Of course I do. But I'll give you one just for kicks boy, c'mon fukko!
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  12. 03-28-12 10:09 PM #12
    MUHerd37
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    Nadal serves for the match at 5-4 and gets broken twice in a row to lose the set 7-5. Nadal is in some trouble now.
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  13. 03-28-12 10:12 PM #13
    gators0708
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    Allezzz Jo!!!
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  14. 03-28-12 10:17 PM #14
    EaglesPhan36
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    Big save from Tsonga on double break point.
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  15. 03-28-12 10:17 PM #15
    Tchocky
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    Amazing turnaround by Tsonga. Nadal looks nervous.
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  16. 03-28-12 10:19 PM #16
    Sport_Fish
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    Pretty rare choke by Nadal in the 2nd, considering how things were going.

    Still don't think Tsonga is taking this one though. 2nd set should wake up Nadal here.
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  17. 03-28-12 10:21 PM #17
    MUHerd37
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    Go warm up the Benz uncle Tony. This one's over. Nadal go bye bye.
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  18. 03-28-12 10:25 PM #18
    EaglesPhan36
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    Tsonga seems to be getting stronger. This could make my day .... but gotta get to the finish line.
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  19. 03-28-12 10:26 PM #19
    Sport_Fish
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    Grabbing -140 Nadal live....think this hits as long as Nadal's knee doesn't give out
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  20. 03-28-12 10:27 PM #20
    MUHerd37
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    I agree with EP. Tsonga is getting stronger. I think he takes it.
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  21. 03-28-12 10:28 PM #21
    EaglesPhan36
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    Although I think if Tsonga wins, it might have to be a tie break.
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  22. 03-28-12 10:28 PM #22
    Judgejoebrwn
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    Tsonga looking solid!
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  23. 03-28-12 10:32 PM #23
    EaglesPhan36
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    Time to put on the boxing gloves for a break mah-fa.
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  24. 03-28-12 10:44 PM #24
    Judgejoebrwn
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    Damn this one's coming down to the wire!
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  25. 03-28-12 10:47 PM #25
    EaglesPhan36
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    Here .. we .. go. JWT.
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  26. 03-28-12 10:50 PM #26
    Judgejoebrwn
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    Gotta go watch this sonovabitch...
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  27. 03-28-12 10:52 PM #27
    Demonata
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    Just got off work. Glad I get to enjoy this now.
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  28. 03-28-12 10:55 PM #28
    EaglesPhan36
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    That's about right. Tsonga you friggin putz. Thanks for the false hope for a bit.
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  29. 03-28-12 10:55 PM #29
    Demonata
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    Thats why you dont pick dogs and always live bet favorites heading into 3rd sets. The dogs always have mental errors. Going for a big second serve and double faults?Why do that?
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  30. 03-28-12 10:56 PM #30
    Sport_Fish
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    Tsonga is an idiot...he still has hope in this game and what does he do? Gets into a ridiculous argument with the umpire. SHould be trying to focus 100% on the game and put everything aside, but doesn't do that.
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  31. 03-28-12 11:02 PM #31
    MUHerd37
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    Nadal can't close it again. LOL
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  32. 03-28-12 11:08 PM #32
    MUHerd37
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    Nadal pulled it out in the end. Good match.
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  33. 03-28-12 11:09 PM #33
    Judgejoebrwn
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    Valiant effort.
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  34. 03-28-12 11:11 PM #34
    Sport_Fish
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    Best tennis since Nadal/Djoker at Aussie.
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