1. #1
    decado
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    Sevilla v Dortmund. Who you should take and why.

    Sevilla v Dortmund

    First leg: Dortmund 0-1 Sevilla. This match was very unlucky for Dortmund as they dominated the game. There were mysterious calls (Dortmund's red card), not given hand-plays and a goal that happened 5 minutes after inury time in the first(!) half.

    What's on stake? Only the winner will advance. In case of a tie, Sevilla will advance. So it is an all-or-nothing game for Dortmund. Revenge Angle is also here after losing 0-1 at home, Dortmund will come out hot.
    "I am absolutely convinced that we will win in Sevilla and go through," Mats Hummels told Kicker magazine.
    "We wanted this final and we now have it. Our home game against Sevilla was one of our best games of the season, but that did not come through with the result."

    Sevilla lost their last 5 games (3 at home) getting 13 goals against, Always earned a goal against in their last 7 games but they score regularly too since October (apart from against Villareal 0-1 last week).

    Dortmund did not lose more than 10 games and earning only 2 goals against, including 7 wins in a row in the Bundesliga (and 8 wins in a row playing abroad).
    Totaling 14 wins, only one tie and one loss in the Bundesliga, scoring 39 goals. I doubt there is another team that can put up the same statistics this season.

    This team has been hot, breaking records in Germany and if anyone watched them play, will know that they are funcitoning quite perfectly at the moment. And what's better than to crown the year with an advance in Europa League?


    As for the squads, Dortmund will present completely in their full squad while Sevilla has a lot struggles with injuries. (Lineups are not official yet but expected to be similar)

    Sevilla: Palop - Dabo, Ceceres, Alexis, Fernando Navarro - Jose Carlos, Zokora, Renato, Capel - Negredo, Kanoute.

    Dortmund: Weidenfeller - Piszczek, Subotic, Hummels, Schmelzer - Sahin, Bender - Blaszczykowski, Kagawa, Götze - Barrios.



    What's to say Dortmund will lose? Streaks will change next year, not today.

    Dortmund to win (-0.5) @2.5
    Dortmund to win (-1.0) @4.1
    Sevilla/Dortmund Goals over 2.5 @1.8


    Fade away, guys! You are welcome to discuss too..
    Last edited by decado; 12-15-10 at 04:47 AM. Reason: adding line-ups

  2. #2
    Tommy_de1st
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    i definitely like Dortmund

  3. #3
    cappinthepigs
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    Everyone does, that's why it's a loser

  4. #4
    Kraghen
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    Quote Originally Posted by cappinthepigs View Post
    Everyone does, that's why it's a loser
    I don't think it's a bad pick, maybe Dortmund first half sound good.

  5. #5
    goblinburner
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    dortmund but i think it goes under

  6. #6
    bostonbruins
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    Was thinking 1-0 Dortmund or 1-1

  7. #7
    cappinthepigs
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    I just HATE the bet everyone else is on... It turns out bad more often than not

  8. #8
    decado
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    Quote Originally Posted by cappinthepigs View Post
    I just HATE the bet everyone else is on... It turns out bad more often than not
    no offense, but i think you are wrong. more people are on sevilla and big money is coming in for sevilla.
    either way, fading a line because many people are on it, is not a valid argument as well.
    i wish you good luck though.
    Last edited by SBR Jonelyn; 01-15-15 at 03:26 PM.

  9. #9
    Tony Cash
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    I think best play here is over 2,5.

    If I must bet - Sevilla.

  10. #10
    ink
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    under 2.5 is my play

  11. #11
    swiss88
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    Taking Dortmund pk -111, good luck

  12. #12
    RubberKettle
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    Decado where do you get these graphs?

    Like your thoughts on the game. Should be a hotly contested affair with either 1 goal or many goals. Still tryin to figure out this total.

  13. #13
    Glada Tartan
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    Got Dortmund PK @ 1,83... expecting 0-1...

  14. #14
    Kraghen
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    I think Dortmund is in much better form, plus they are motivated to go to the next stage, they are in good position in Bundesliga so they won't worry about next game, that's why I think they can win in Sevilla, plus Sevilla isn't good at home lately! I'm going very big on Dortmund

  15. #15
    dfberger23
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    Quote Originally Posted by cappinthepigs View Post
    I just HATE the bet everyone else is on... It turns out bad more often than not
    Public betting numbers are useful, but they are not THAT important.

  16. #16
    rfr3sh
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    I am betting over 2.5 for this one

  17. #17
    JOHON8
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    The best situation is this:

    Sevilla scores first goal, the odds for Dortmund skyrocket to like 6.00

    I don't know if Dortmund wins both halves, so betting on them before the game start might be losing value.... unless you think they dominate Sevilla.

  18. #18
    EaglesPhan36
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    Tough call here. Sevilla's sanctuary has been the Europa League because they suck in La Liga, but Dortmund is just nasty. Hard to take a Sevilla side that has dropped three straight at home and five straight overall. Dortmund PK would be my bet.

  19. #19
    Tommy_de1st
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    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    The best situation is this: Sevilla scores first goal, the odds for Dortmund skyrocket to like 6.00 I don't know if Dortmund wins both halves, so betting on them before the game start might be losing value.... unless you think they dominate Sevilla.
    Was thinking same thing but you know what? I wanted to go big on Manchester United and was waiting for either Arsenal 1-0 or 0-0 at half time. Park scored 41mins

  20. #20
    RubberKettle
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy_de1st View Post
    Was thinking same thing but you know what? I wanted to go big on Manchester United and was waiting for either Arsenal 1-0 or 0-0 at half time. Park scored 41mins

    Was thinking of doing the same thing during the United game.
    Thought if Arsenal scored first it would be 2-1 United and and if it was 0-0 I was gonna play 1-0 United.

  21. #21
    RubberKettle
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    Brillant goal by Kagawa. Dortmund in front early on!!!!!!!!

  22. #22
    Tommy_de1st
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    You see. It's too late now

  23. #23
    philliesfinest
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    b.d. did not like the late money on sevilla

  24. #24
    JOHON8
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    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    The best situation is this:

    Sevilla scores first goal, the odds for Dortmund skyrocket to like 6.00

    I don't know if Dortmund wins both halves, so betting on them before the game start might be losing value.... unless you think they dominate Sevilla.
    Dortmund ML even better, 9.00

  25. #25
    latinrus
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    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post

    Dortmund ML even better, 9.00
    What are u doing to do JOHON? Back Dortmund?

  26. #26
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
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    Quote Originally Posted by latinrus View Post
    What are u doing to do JOHON? Back Dortmund?
    I predicted Sevilla would be 1 goal up at half time, so I promise myself I would take Dortmund no matter what if this happened.

  27. #27
    irlandais_noir
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    2-2

  28. #28
    latinrus
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    Equalizer JOHON!

  29. #29
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
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    every attack by both teams looks like a good goal scoring chance, I feel dumb for not taking the over in this one.

  30. #30
    905prodigy
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    Quote Originally Posted by rfr3sh View Post
    I am betting over 2.5 for this one

  31. #31
    JOHON8
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    too many long balls by Dortmund these kids are rushing to win the game

  32. #32
    JOHON8
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    time wasting tactics by Sevilla, they are tired of getting pounded

  33. #33
    JOHON8
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    should be at least 10+ minutes added no joke.

  34. #34
    Tommy_de1st
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    Quote Originally Posted by JOHON8 View Post
    every attack by both teams looks like a good goal scoring chance, I feel dumb for not taking the over in this one.
    me too

  35. #35
    JOHON8
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    someone give me the phone numbers of these refs wanna ask them how much money they got in the mail last night.

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