1. #1
    PickApprentice
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    Premier League early pick

    I have just been looking at the games for the weekend to see any value bets.

    Stoke v Liverpool Under 2.5 @ 1.7 2 units
    Stoke v Liverpool Draw @ 3.4 2 units
    Hedge it against Stoke win @ 4 0.66 units

    The last two league games at Stoke ended 1-1 and 0-0. Liverpool only scored 4 goals away in 6 games and consider that 2 came against United. It is basically 2 in 5 games. Not a really good away record. People can say that Torres is back, but the thing is I don't see Liverpool scoring more than 1. Joe Cole and Jhonson are both out as well. Stoke has scored in every home game. 3 possible outcomes 1-0, 1-1 or 0-0. History supports this as well.

    Wigan v West Brom

    There has never been a draw between the two teams in the last few years. I fanct Wigan here as it is time for them to get a win. Wigan is winless in the last 5 league games. West Brom was fortunate to get a point at West Ham. They lost to Blackpool away 2-1 and City at home recently.

    I would fancy Wigan win @ 2.4 2 units and hedge this with a draw @ 3.3 0.8 units.

    Wolves v Bolton

    Wolves has played the top in the last four games and only conceded a max of 2 goals against the teams. They even managed to beat City at home 2-1. Bolton is not a great traveller with too many draws away from home. It is a tight game to call, last season, the game ended 2-1 to Wolves. Both teams are desperate of points, but Wolves will be more desperate and they havn't been playing badly recently.

    Wolves win @ 2.3 2 units and hedge this with a draw @ 3.2 0.44 units 0.91 units

    GL all, Please tell me what you think!

  2. #2
    Ministar
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    I like Stoke - Liverpool under 2,5.

  3. #3
    Glada Tartan
    Swedish brännboll-expert ;D
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    Can see 1-1 here... hmm.. or maybe 2-1...

  4. #4
    rhinkoll
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    interesting write up. gl

  5. #5
    Czu81
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    Home win? 1-0? BOL!

  6. #6
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
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    I saw Stoke-Birmingham. Stoke let 2 goals in in the last 15 minutes, they never deserved to win that game, their 3rd goal was Birmingham keeper error. Liverpool will pound them like Birmingham did, I think they have a better chance to get a win vs Stoke. Also don't think of Stoke as an under team, they can get 1 or 2 goals on set pieces vs liverpool + how many liverpool scores.

  7. #7
    PickApprentice
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    Thanks for the advice!

  8. #8
    althelegend
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    All three matches look likely to be under 2.5 goals.

  9. #9
    hillandkimi
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    Manchester C.? - ?Birmingham C. Birmingham lost

  10. #10
    Goldman
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    I guess it ends as home win, 1-0 or draw 1-1. Stoke is solid.

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