1. 10-17-10 08:50 PM #1
    Wilforth
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    Hercules/Villareal

    Hercules vs. Villareal

    Hercules +165
    Villareal +140
    Draw +215
    Hercules PK -105
    Villareal PK -135

    Stats:
    W-D-L record: 2-1-3 vs 5-0-1
    Goals scored: 6 vs 12
    Goals conceded: 6 vs 4

    The stats above easily point to a Villareal win. But will it be that easy? Let's look at the records of Villareal on the road and Hercules at home:

    On the road, Villareal won at Malaga and Levante and lost at Real Sociedad. Overall, they've scored 5 and conceded 4.

    At home, Hercules have only one win (against Sevilla) and have lost to Valencia and Atletico Bilbao. Overall, they've scored 3 and conceded 3.

    Analysis:
    1) Two road wins at Malaga and Levante doesn't make Villareal a good road team, more so that Malaga have lost all their home games and Levante have lost 2 of their L4 home games.
    2) Scoring 5 and conceding 4 gives Villareal a paltry road GD of only +1. Such a stat doesn't make them a decisive road favorite especially when you consider the quality of the teams they've faced on the road.
    3) Hercules may have a home-losing record but a home GD of 0 (3 scored and 3 conceded) suggests they're not as bad as their W-L record would suggest.
    4) Hercules lost their last game at Getafe and they're yet to lose 2 straight games in the league.
    5) Hercules were shutout in their last league game and they've won the next game after each shutout.
    6) Villareal have now won their last 5 league games. Villareal aren't known for very long winning streaks, especially given their vulnerable road defense. I fear that Villareal may have reached their maximum win-streak capacity.

    The draw line of +215 suggests a draw is very likely, but I'd go with:

    Hercules +165


    Thoughts
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  2. 10-17-10 10:06 PM #2
    charley1
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    well i'm not so shure about Hercules, villareal is playing for the place # 2 on the list....
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  3. 10-17-10 10:14 PM #3
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by charley1 View Post
    well i'm not so shure about Hercules, villareal is playing for the place # 2 on the list....
    They're not as good as that. BTW, Hercules have a way of winning when they're not expected to. They've now beaten Barcelona and Sevilla and I'm tempted to think they'll bring down Villareal.
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  4. 10-17-10 10:47 PM #4
    cogiditopapa
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    They're not as good as that. BTW, Hercules have a way of winning when they're not expected to. They've now beaten Barcelona and Sevilla and I'm tempted to think they'll bring down Villareal.
    I am pretty sure Villareal will come out strong on the offense to try to score 1st and play most of the game on Hercules side of field.
    The win against Barcelona was good but it was one lucky game were they played good, score when they had to and Barcelona missed a lot.

    The win against Sevilla was good but Sevilla is not doing well at all...

    I think that at the very best Hercules will be able to get a draw, so I will pick the following wager:

    Spain Primera Lg - Draw No Bet & Point Spread - 90 Minutes Only
    Villarreal
    1.83
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  5. 10-17-10 11:06 PM #5
    Blue_Chips
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    Good luck fellas!
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  6. 10-17-10 11:09 PM #6
    minet123
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    I like the draw at those odds
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  7. 10-17-10 11:45 PM #7
    SiMON2g
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    Good luck with that, I'm not going to touch it, too unsure.
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  8. 10-18-10 01:55 AM #8
    JOHON8
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    Villarreal would go top of the table with a win here, I just find it hard to bet against a team that has the right chemistry to win games.
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  9. 10-18-10 03:01 AM #9
    zlate22
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    im on draw and under 2.5
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  10. 10-18-10 06:37 AM #10
    Tony Cash
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    Quote Originally Posted by zlate22 View Post
    im on draw and under 2.5


    Also.
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  11. 10-18-10 09:41 AM #11
    tommygun
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    bol, im on the over 2.5 goals market
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  12. 10-18-10 09:48 AM #12
    Tien
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    Quote Originally Posted by tommygun View Post
    bol, im on the over 2.5 goals market
    yeah i like the over too ;D
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  13. 10-18-10 09:56 AM #13
    fixxer
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    also on the over too.......
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  14. 10-18-10 10:01 AM #14
    squintz4
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    Hercules is a giant killer. Look for them to take points here against Villareal. Hercules PK -105 would be my bet. Good luck!
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  15. 10-18-10 11:03 AM #15
    Josu
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    Livebet it, it's just a guessing game beforehand.
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  16. 10-18-10 02:34 PM #16
    Tien
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    over is looking good ;D
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  17. 10-18-10 02:39 PM #17
    Automat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tien View Post
    over is looking good ;D

    yea!!

    omg 2 quick goals... i took the under 3 line from pinnacle....
    now praying to walk away unharm.... lols
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  18. 10-18-10 02:46 PM #18
    bdh2103
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    red card Hercules. see if that helps Villareal...
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  19. 10-18-10 02:51 PM #19
    Tien
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    Quote Originally Posted by Automat View Post
    yea!!

    omg 2 quick goals... i took the under 3 line from pinnacle....
    now praying to walk away unharm.... lols

    uh oh it's looking bad your way
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  20. 10-18-10 02:56 PM #20
    Wilforth
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    Even with the red card, Hercules still have a chance!
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  21. 10-18-10 03:01 PM #21
    latinrus
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    Even with the red card, Hercules still have a chance!
    I'm on the Villareal ML, but I can say the referee is an idiot! He show red card to Trezeget for no reason! And no reason to the Villareal guys!

    I think there would be at least 2 more goals! Villareal is attacking a lot. And Hercules will have some chances, Villareal trying to leave in offside the players of Hercules but they can't do it well!
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  22. 10-18-10 03:23 PM #22
    Puda
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    Villarreal will win!
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  23. 10-18-10 03:42 PM #23
    latinrus
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    wow the referee! 3 red cards! Now Villareal has 9 and hercules 10!
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  24. 10-18-10 03:58 PM #24
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post

    The draw line of +215 suggests a draw is very likely, but I'd go with:

    Hercules +165 LOSS

    Thoughts
    Should have gone with the draw!

    0-1 -1.00
    Will update my record later.
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  25. 10-18-10 04:09 PM #25
    latinrus
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post

    Should have gone with the draw!

    0-1 -1.00
    Will update my record later.
    Me too or at least the DNB Villareal!

    Anyway tomorrow CL!
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