1. 10-04-10 07:45 AM #1
    Ace_of_Spades
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    1 Dangerous Pick Monday

    Hard to go against Porto when they have been on fire and have gotten maximum points from their first 6 games. But, i'm feeling a draw and Porto may just let their guard down being ahead by 6 points over Benfica.

    My dangerous pick.

    Vitoria Guimaraes +1 -115

    Worse case scenario, a push/void.


    Good Luck!
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  2. 10-04-10 07:50 AM #2
    protein
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    IŽd like to see Porto loosing today (nothing against that team tho). good luck !
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  3. 10-04-10 07:51 AM #3
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Cheers bro!
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  4. 10-04-10 07:54 AM #4
    infamousbacardi
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    "Worst case scenario a push"??? Haha...you're being optimistic Wilforth...worst case scenario is Porto wins 2-0 like they have every other game this year. Lol...but really, it's so hard to bet against Porto, they have literally won like 14 of 15 or something ridiculous like that against Vitoria in the past. Crazy H2H record in ANY sport, let alone soccer specifically. I kind of see value in the ML (currently at 1.68 on Bodog)...but, that's just my opinion...I think Vitoria at +1 certainly has about a 75% chance of pushing at worst case scenario...but Porto is classy when it comes to domestic games...and even more so this year. I think if I play this game I'll have to trust the Porto and go with a decent valued ML play.
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  5. 10-04-10 09:14 AM #5
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by infamousbacardi View Post
    "Worst case scenario a push"??? Haha...you're being optimistic Wilforth...worst case scenario is Porto wins 2-0 like they have every other game this year. Lol...but really, it's so hard to bet against Porto, they have literally won like 14 of 15 or something ridiculous like that against Vitoria in the past. Crazy H2H record in ANY sport, let alone soccer specifically. I kind of see value in the ML (currently at 1.68 on Bodog)...but, that's just my opinion...I think Vitoria at +1 certainly has about a 75% chance of pushing at worst case scenario...but Porto is classy when it comes to domestic games...and even more so this year. I think if I play this game I'll have to trust the Porto and go with a decent valued ML play.
    What has this got to do with me?
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  6. 10-04-10 09:19 AM #6
    Wilforth
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    AOS,

    It's not a dangerous pick! You couldn't have picked a better time for this play. Porto have a 6-point cushion at the top with a game in hand which makes them a very risky pick as a road favorite. Having lost the last 7 meetings at home against Porto, Guimaraes will have no better opportunity for some sort of revenge against Porto. I think this game will end in either an outright Guimaraes win or a draw.
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  7. 10-04-10 09:37 AM #7
    rb3b3
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    what league is this game in?
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  8. 10-04-10 10:19 AM #8
    jdocholiday
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    Portugal league
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  9. 10-04-10 10:25 AM #9
    zlate22
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    i think its a draw
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  10. 10-04-10 10:26 AM #10
    macoeric
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    Good luck
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  11. 10-04-10 10:48 AM #11
    bostonbruins
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    GL man , seems like a dead end , kinda hoping for a push
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  12. 10-04-10 11:05 AM #12
    mygooglik
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    Like your contrarian pick! BOL! ))))
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  13. 10-04-10 11:25 AM #13
    mentorbh
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    good luck
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  14. 10-04-10 12:11 PM #14
    infamousbacardi
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    What has this got to do with me?
    My apologies Wil!!! Glanced and thought that was your avatar for a minute!! Haha...sorry, that would be "Ace of Spades" rather!!! Thanks for the correction! Sorry!

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  15. 10-04-10 02:59 PM #15
    protein
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    Off topic but I hope that Beira Mar will hold the last couple of minutes. Would do me a huge favor if Sporting does not win
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  16. 10-04-10 04:37 PM #16
    protein
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    Looking good again (Y)
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  17. 10-04-10 04:41 PM #17
    ukbsktbll
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    Yep 1-1
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  18. 10-04-10 05:13 PM #18
    Wilforth
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wilforth View Post
    AOS,

    It's not a dangerous pick! You couldn't have picked a better time for this play. Porto have a 6-point cushion at the top with a game in hand which makes them a very risky pick as a road favorite. Having lost the last 7 meetings at home against Porto, Guimaraes will have no better opportunity for some sort of revenge against Porto. I think this game will end in either an outright Guimaraes win or a draw.
    AOS,

    You called it right. Wish you did the draw. But it's ok.
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  19. 10-04-10 05:58 PM #19
    NuNo
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    nice result
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  20. 10-05-10 02:04 AM #20
    ararat2010
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    yeah, it was really nice call ))
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  21. 10-05-10 03:19 AM #21
    hustla
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  22. 10-05-10 03:37 AM #22
    protein
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    Ace, just from curiosity did You play big on that?
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  23. 10-05-10 03:49 AM #23
    Ace_of_Spades
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    Quote Originally Posted by protein View Post
    Ace, just from curiosity did You play big on that?
    No, just 200 to make 170.
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  24. 10-05-10 03:51 AM #24
    Ace_of_Spades
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    I almost ripped my hair out when Vitoria missed an absolute sitter in the 1st 25 minutes to take the lead. Nice low cross and the dude misses it.
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  25. 10-05-10 06:08 AM #25
    pinnerpsk
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    Good play here. Public was big on Porto.
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