Originally Posted by
icemantbi
Hey Nasdaq, what do you think about the Checz only laying 0.5 goal to Cyprus tomorrow? It seems like a "too good to be true" line. The czechs are obviously in the Finals, but a win would get them a better seed for the Finals.
Laying off until I find the lineups, but for me the Czech game seems like a no brainer.
Cyprus are pretty strong at home (EURO 2008 Home Results):
Cyprus 5 - 2 Ireland
Cyprus 1 - 1 Germany
Cyprus 1 - 3 Slovakia
Cyprus 3 - 0 San Marino
Cyprus 3 - 1 Wales
Judging from the scores above, you can see that Cyprus lost just once at home in the EURO 2008 Qualifiers to Slovakia 1-3. Their results at home were quite impressive....beating Ireland 5-2 and Wales 3-1. They even managed to hold the mighty Germans to a 1-1 draw at home.
EURO 2008 Away Results:
Slovakia 0 - 3 Czech Republic
Ireland 1 - 1 Czech Republic
Wales 0 - 0 Czech Republic
San Marino 0 - 3 Czech Republic
Germany 0 - 3 Czech Republic
Czech Republic results away from home have been quite impressive as well.....having beaten the likes of Germany and Slovakia with 3-0 scoreline.
When the Czechs played Cyprus at home on March 28 this year, they struggled to beat Cyprus 1-0.
Having said that, the Czechs might still want to win this game because by doing so they will be able to top the group. I am not too sure though that by topping the group they would be able to obtain a better seeding for the Finals...I came across this news article yesterday which published the possible seeding pots for the EURO 2008 Finals draw:
(Note that teams in bold are those who have not qualified yet, but are likely to)
Pot 1: Austria (as co-hosts), Switzerland (as co-hosts), Greece (as holders), Holland
Pot 2: Italy, Germany, Croatia, Czech Republic
Pot 3: England, Sweden, Portugal, Romania
Pot 4: Spain, France, Turkey, Poland
As for Cyprus, I believe they want to win this game because by doing so they might be able to obtain 3rd place in this group hence they would be able to obtain a better seeding for the upcoming World Cup 2010 Qualifiers draw and also for future EURO Qualifiers.
I have not decided if I want to play this game. Like you said, the minus half goal does also look quite tempting to me. You are right...It is a good idea to wait for the final team lineups before deciding if this match is worth a punt.
Cheers.