2. Cameroon Win to Nil @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365
The opening game of the tournament will be a narrative of Burkina Faso playing not to lose knowing on paper this will their most difficult opponent in group play. Burkina Faso come into this game unbeaten in their past 7 games. The tournament has a history of low scoring games. The 2019 tournament averaged 1.96 goals per game. Prior to that in 2017 2.06 gpg. in 2015 2.13, in 2013 2.16 gpg. The home side will press and eventually should come out victorious 1-0 or 2-0. I also want to play the Under 2 but I want that to be at even or plus money before I pull the trigger.
3. Ethiopia/Cabo Verde UNDER 2 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Bet365
Ethiopia are the weakest side in Group A made up of largely domestic players. The plan here will be to park the bus and hope to get lucky on the counter. Cape Verde had a decent world cup qualification finishing second behind group winners Nigeria. I expect Cape Verde to have most of the possession and eventually nick a goal, although a draw here would not surprise me.
7. Algeria CS 2-0 @ 4.20/+320 (1/2 Unit) 8. Algeria CS 3-0 @ 5.00/+400 (1/2 Unit)
Sierra Leone sucks and Algeria is overrated, however the odds here all point to a win to nil outcome. The AH of -1.5 pays nothing. The Win to nil option also pays nothing so I'm digging deep for 2 correct score outcomes.
Well I expected Algeria to suck but you are telling me you cant beat Sierra Leone 9. Egypt/Nigeria to DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (1u)
Both sides are evenly matched talent wise and will not want to lose the opening fixture. The trend of Unders has been pretty evident so far in this tournament, but the value is just not there unless you are betting under 1.5. Both these sides have players that can score so I'm thinking 1-1.
10. Sudan to DRAW @ 2.82/+182 (1u) Bet365 11. Sudan UNDER 1.5 @ 2.14/+114 (1u) Unibet
Last game for both sides ended 0-0. Hoping the trend of unders dominating here continues especially in the first group game.
12. Tunisia to DRAW @ 2.87/+187 (1u) Bet365 13. Tunisia UNDER 1.5 @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Marathon
Mali have not conceded a goal in their past 6 games. The last time they did was actually their last defeat which was to Tunisia in a June friendly loss. These are the top two sides in group F and will play not to lose knowing they both have two easier matches coming up. Lets keep those unders cashing.
14. Mauritania to DRAW @ 2.81/+181 (1u) Bet365 15. Mauritania UNDER 1.5 @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Unibet
If it 'aint broke don't fix it. The last time these sides played each other the result was 0-0. Mauritania have drawn their past 2 games. Gambia have had 3 of their past 6 games go under 1.5. Both sides being even matched should cancel each other out.
16. Ivory Coast OVER 2 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Pinnacle
Ivory Coast is the superior side and should win however they lost their starting keeper that could be problematic. Fan support should also favour Guinea. I'm going against the trend here but you have to figure someone is going to score 2 goals.
17. Cameroon -1.5 @ 2.06/+106 (1u) Marathon 18. Cameroon 2-0 (CS) @ 4.75/+375 (1/2 Unit) Bet365
The hosts will look to clinch qualification with a won over the poorest side in the group. Cameroon have won 5 straight games, three of them to Nil where as Ethiopia have only one victory in their past 6 games. I think the home side rolls in this one.
19. Burkina Faso PK @ 1.83/-120 (ACN) 2u Marathon
Burkina Faso are the better side here, they were unlucky in the opening 2-1 loss to Cameroon not to pick up a point. Cameroons both goals coming from PKs. Cape Verde barely beat Ethiopia in their opener a game where they were a man up almost the whole game.
20. Senegal ML @ 1.80/-125 (1u) Bet365
I was surprised at the value here available for the best team in Group B. Both sides won their opening fixture 1-0, however the form of Senegal is much more impressive undefeated in 7 with 6 wins. Guinea's last 9 games 2W 3L 4D. Guinea also have arguably the worst team in the tournament on tap, Malawi. If I had this ML at 1.91/-110 I would have played 2 units.
26. Ghana/Gabon Under 2 @ 1.88/-114 (1u) Pinnacle 27. Ghana/Gabon to DRAW @ 3.53/+253 (1u) Pinnacle
I'm actually surprised at the value on this total the way the tournament has been going. Gabon won 1-0 & Ghana lost 1-0 in their opener. I think both sides would be OK with a draw. Ghana will have an easy third game versus The Comoros islands & Gabon have already won their opener.
28. Nigeria/Sudan Under 2.5 @ 1.73/-137 (1u) Marathon
Keeping with the theme for the early game today. Nigeria should win this game to nil however no value there. The last 5 matches have ended under the total for Nigeria and the last 2 games for Sudan have ended 0-0.
30. Gambia/Mali UNDER 2 @ 1.70/-143 (1u) 31. Gambia/Mali to DRAW @ 3.34/+234 (1u)
The early game features 2 sides that have both won their opening fixture 1-0. I think both sides will be happy with a point and will play not to lose first. Hoping the under trend continues.
35. Guinea -1 @ 2.13/+113 (1u) Marathon 36. Guinea win to Nil @ 2.25/+125 (1u) Bet365
Zimbabwe are winless in their past 14 games, managing to score only 6 goals. They are already eliminated and face Guinea who are playing for top spot in the group. Guinea are undefeated in their past 3 giving up zero goals. Also like Guinea HT/FT
37. Ghana -1.5 @ 1.93/-107 (1u) Marathon
Comoros are the bottom feeders of the group losing their first 2 games and scoring 0. Even though they are still alive with a win it is highly unlikely versus a much more superior side in Ghana. The black stars have started slow but I expect their quality to be on display today.
44. Guinea/Gambia to DRAW @ 3.00/+200 (1u) Bwin 45. Guinea/Gambia UNDER 1.5 @ 2.27/+127 (1u) Marathon
I will back the Under and the Draw in every knock out game in this tournament unless one side is clearly superior. These two are evenly matched in FIFA Rankings & ELO Rankings. Both also level talent wise that will equal both playing not to lose. I am also hunting that that 0-0 regulation final score.
46. Senegal win to Nil @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Bet365
Senegal have not conceded a goal in their past 4 games and come into this game undefeated in their past 9. The last 4 times these sides met head to head Senegal won all 4 with results 2-0, 2-0, 2-0, 1-0. Yep all wins to nil. Getting plus money on this prop is a value in my books.
47. Morocco -1.5 @ 2.23/+123 (1u) Unibet 48. Morocco CS 2-0 @ 5.10/+410 (1/2u) Unibet
This is a mismatch on paper and on the field. Morocco has not allowed a goal in the past 4 head to head meetings. Morocco won their group with ease resting a few guys in the last game, where as Malawi snuck in as one of the better 3rd place teams. The win nil market does not pay enough so taking a stab at a correct score option for half a unit.
49. Ivory Coast to DRAW @ 3.00/+200 (1u) Bet365 50. Ivory Coast UNDER 1.5 @ 2.38/+138 (1u) Unibet
Still searching for that 0-0 FT final in the knock out stages. Both these sides are evenly matched and should cancel each other out on the pitch. Egypt have had their past 5 games go Under 1.5 goals. Hoping the trends continue in this match.
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