1. #1
    Risto234
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    Estonian Football Thread

    While most countries in this region still dont start with their domestic leagues anytime soon then (luckily) it's not the case here as our Esiliiga season starts on thursday and Flora starts their title defending one day later and with that in mind i guess it's okay to start with this thread here ...

    Also in recent days there have been some draws ...

    Nations League: Georgia/Macedonia/Estonia/Armenia - as long as we dont finish rockbottom this time we should be good. Still i'd say if we finish 3rd or higher/score 3+ goals/collect 3+ points in this group then this could be already job well done or not ...

    And estonian cup QF-s take place pretty much 1 month earlier this time with games being played next tuesday-wednesday
    Kalju - Trans
    Elva - Kohtla-Järve U21
    Tammeka - Flora
    Võru Helios - Kalev

    From Paide point of view it's probably the best possible draw cause Tammeka and Trans who are probably 2 teams who might take EL place away from them basically received toughest possible opponents ...
    Last edited by Risto234; 03-04-20 at 07:42 AM.

  2. #2
    Metanoia2020
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    A few years back i use to follow the estonian league, it was a gold mine for betting overs, nowadays not so much, but i haven't been following close. Keep up the thread and good luck

  3. #3
    Risto234
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    Time to get it started. Finally.

    Sunday in Meistriliiga
    Tammeka vs Tulevik
    14:00 CET
    1st half over 1.0 goals @1.67

    I guess i'll stick to 5€ bets (if not stated otherwise) and bankroll is 500€ (cause why not)

    Anyway last game in week 1 sees Tammeka hosting Viljandi tomorrow. Both sides probably would like to improve this season having finished 5th and 7th last season but whether they succeeded in doing so or not - that's probably different question ... Also Tammeka probably wants to avoid having another nightmare start to the season like they had last year when at some point they even were rockbottom in the league ... However their squad have stayed pretty much the same cause only 3 players left and (2 starting CBs from which one went to Finland and other one back to where he came from - norway's lower leagues) only one new CB joined during the winter ... Meanwhile Viljandi squad has seen way more changes so it's intresting to see how well they are going to play or whatever. Also last season Viljandi games saw most goals in first half (68) and i believe they had like 7 games (from 36) all season which stayed goalless at HT and they also had periods where 10+ consecutive leaguegames saw goal in the first half. With that in mind i hope that neither team isn't going to be too cautious first so let's see how bad this idea is

  4. #4
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by Risto234 View Post
    Time to get it started. Finally.

    Sunday in Meistriliiga
    Tammeka vs Tulevik
    14:00 CET
    1st half over 1.0 goals @1.67
    at HT: Tammeka - Viljandi 0:1 - guess refund is always better than loss:

  5. #5
    Risto234
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    Today in estonian cup QF ...
    Kalju vs Trans
    18:00 CET
    Both teams to score @1.93


    Our domestic season haven't even lasted like 2 full weeks and these 2 teams are already going head-to-head for the second time this season.. Both teams met on saturday in the league when Kalju won 1:0 thanks to goal inside first 200 seconds.. Since it's so early to the season i doubt that neither team is going to make several changes here ... Narva pretty much dominated saturday's game but that's understandable considering Kalju let them to do so after getting very early goal and they are also usually better when they dont have to dominate the game. Still they are at home now and here i doubt them even thinking about playing defensively. I'd imagine that Trans first task here is NOT to concede but unless they're planning to keep 0:0 for 120 minutes then they'll need to come out to attack at some point so they'd be able to keep their EL hopes alive and as i doubt that Kalju fails to score at home eventhough they (sometimes) struggle at home vs weaker teams then i predict both sides to find the net.

  6. #6
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by Risto234 View Post
    Today in estonian cup QF ...
    Kalju vs Trans
    18:00 CET
    Both teams to score @1.93
    Final score 1:2 so current bankroll is 504.65€

  7. #7
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Flora II - Levadia II
    * game starts next full hour *
    under 4 goals @1.69

    Keep this one short: i only waited this long to see the line-ups and since Flora isn't getting any help from first team unlike Levadia who have first team back-up GK starting aswell as some other first-team players then i'll go with unders here. Currently it's raining aswell here in Tallinn so this should also help. Anyway story id still the same: whenever under 4 is available with great odds then hopefully for once teams are better in defending than in attacking. Also this match might be aswell the last one here which isn't going to postponed so i guess i've to wait and see what decision our football assasociation makes today ...

  8. #8
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by Risto234 View Post
    Today in Meistriliiga
    Flora II - Levadia II
    * game starts next full hour *
    under 4 goals @1.69
    With all sporting events cancelled until may 1 then atleast it's good thing that last game here won cause game finished 2:1. Therefore current bankroll 508.10€

  9. #9
    Risto234
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    Tuesday in Meistriliiga:
    Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju
    18:00 CET
    5€ on both teams NOT to score @1.90


    After 2 month break our league finally continues with games. Since we are fourth european league to do so (and the only one playing this tue-wed) we'd have no problems with audience cause apart from one match in Belarus there's probably not too much to look in midweek games ... Anyway Kure started this season with 0:1 defeat vs Levadia so i expect them to put up similar perfomance this time aswell where they defend well enough but on the other hand aren't too effective offensively ... Kalju defense usually manages to be anything but rocksolid vs weaker teams but as usually 2=3 then considering last 2 h2h leaguegames in Kuressaare saw just one team finding the net (if even that) then i expect similar result this time aswell ...

  10. #10
    cashin81
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    Paide both score 2.88!

  11. #11
    cashin81
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    does flora tallin own Tameka tartu? they have a relationship? cant remember

  12. #12
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by Risto234 View Post
    Tuesday in Meistriliiga:
    Kuressaare - Nõmme Kalju
    18:00 CET
    5€ on both teams NOT to score @1.90

    2:0 win for visitors so current bankroll 517.60€

  13. #13
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by cashin81 View Post
    does flora tallin own Tameka tartu? they have a relationship? cant remember
    Times when Flora "owned" other teams are long over and Tammeka have never been one of these teams either ...

  14. #14
    Risto234
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    Sunday in Meistriliiga

    Viljandi vs Kalju
    12:00 CET
    5€ on Kalju -1 AH @1.74
    5€ on 1st half over 1 goal @1.61

    Viljandi may have scored first half goal in each of the 3 leaguegames so far this season but guess it's not that big surprise anymore since already last season their games saw most 1. half goals so maybe they'll do same trick this season aswell ... Anyway these early goals haven't helped them so much yet cause despite going 1:0 up in each of these matches they eventually managed to lose 2 ... Kalju' all leaguegames this season have also seen goal(s) in the first half so hopefully both teams continue being leaky at the back and therefore dont settle for goalless HT result. Kalju have also won like 11 of the last 12 h2h games and after managing to lose homegame vs Legion last week i'd imagine that they dont make any gifts to weaker teams anytime soon ...

  15. #15
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by Risto234 View Post
    Sunday in Meistriliiga

    Viljandi vs Kalju
    12:00 CET
    5€ on Kalju -1 AH @1.74
    5€ on 1st half over 1 goal @1.61
    So it's 2/2 cause 3 goals in either half helped Kalju to win this match by 6 goals so current bankroll is 524.35€

  16. #16
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Kalju vs Levadia
    18:00 CET
    4€ on Kalju DnB @1.97

    Levadia have started this season quite perfectly as they've won all 4 games so far although they did concede in the last 2 ... However Kalju havent been this good this year cause eventhough they have won all 3 awaygames to nil they still managed to lose both 2 homegames this season ... Levadia seems to be favourite here but then again they have been that vs Kalju recently aswell couple times and each time pretty much failed to deliver... Levadia havent won h2h leaguegame for 3 years and during the last 10 h2h games they drew 3 and lost 7 matches ... Since this match will be played on artifical turf then anything can happen i guess but still at home i expect Kalju to finally start playing and therefore get atleast draw from this game. Also it seems that this game will be streamed live in youtube so in case someone dont have better things to ... https://youtube.com/watch?v=1gpBP8V9sf0
    Points Awarded:

    cashin81 gave Risto234 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  17. #17
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by Risto234 View Post
    Today in Meistriliiga
    Kalju vs Levadia
    18:00 CET
    4€ on Kalju DnB @1.97
    Guess Levadia agony in (away)games vs Kalju continues cause they lost 0:2 so current bankroll is 528.23€

  18. #18
    cashin81
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    do you play the lower leagues in estonia? massive odds swings.

  19. #19
    Risto234
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    Quote Originally Posted by cashin81 View Post
    do you play the lower leagues in estonia? massive odds swings.
    Whenever under 4 odds are decent enough then yes ...
    Although not today eventhough some of them have great odds on under 3.5/4 goals market ...

  20. #20
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Kalju vs Flora
    14:00 CET
    5€ on Kalju AH0 @2.22

    Both sides have won 4 leaguegames so far but neither of them havent been as perfect as Dude Perfect (???) since they both have already dropped points ... Still teams come to this match from winning streaks having won 2 and 3 consecutive games so sad truth is that (atleast) for one team their winning streak comes to an end. I'd imagine that this artificial pitch is still dry therefore in (not so) excellent condition so we probably see another (very) physical game here. Kalju have also won 4 of the last 9 h2h leaguegames while losing just once so perhaps just like on wednesday they can actually get something from this game aswell.

  21. #21
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Legion - Tulevik
    18:30 CET
    5€ on 1st half over 1.0 goals @1.72


    Since beating Kalju few weeks ago Legion haven't been that brilliant anymore cause they are winless and goalless in 4 games but on the other hand they did kept clean sheet in both of the last 2 matches. At the same time Viljandi havent been superior either cause they lost 3 of the last 5 matches but they do seem to start strongly cause from 7 matches so far they did went to HT with a lead in 5. Also so far this season their games have seen 9 first half goals so perhaps they'll continue causual strategy to avoid goalless first half and we'll see goal(s) in the first half of this match aswell ...

  22. #22
    Risto234
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    So yesterday Viljandi showed another decent 1st half perfomance cause for the 6. time this season they want to HT break with a lead. This time they were leading "just" 1:0 though thanks to 3rd min goal ...


    Anyway today in Meistriliiga
    Flora vs Levadia
    18:30 CET
    5€ on Levadia over 1.0 goals @1.87


    Both teams have scored in 6 of their 7 games so far but while Flora is still unbeaten as they won 6 games incl most recent 5 then Levadia have gone backwards after winning first 4 matches cause they have only won 1 of the last 3 matches.. Flora may be favourite here and so on but despite inconsistent perfomances recently i still think that Levadia can get something here if they get their act together and avoid gifting opponent goals (like they did in last game) ... Both teams won 3 of the last 6 h2h games so i'd imagine we'll see another close game this time aswell.. Also Levadia scored in each of these matches so i expect them to get atleast (consolation) goal here should they again underperfom or whatever ...

  23. #23
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Kalev - Levadia
    18:00 CET


    Under 4 goals @1.62


    Neither team haven't been too brilliant recently as Kalev is winless in 6 games after losing 5 during that time although they did drew last match 0:0. At the same time Levadia have won just 1 of the last 5 games as they are winless in 4. Also since they drew 3 of the last 4 games and now trail Flors by 10 points then surely they cant afford to drop anymore points ... So it is probably no surprise that Levadia so far this season have had problems with scoring cause their 2 top scorers have magnificent 3 goals to their name and they aren't rocksolid defensively either cause have conceded 15 in 10 games from which 11 came during the last 4 games.. Therefore story is still the same: whenever under 4 odds are decent enough you must hope that for once teams are amateurs offensively and world class defensively ...

  24. #24
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Flora vs Paide
    15:00 CET
    Flora -1 AH @1.90


    I guess it is safe to say that both teams were brought back to earth earlier this week cause after 10 and 5 consecutive wins they both actually managed to lose leaguegame. Prior to their awaygame vs Viljandi Flora had dropped just 2 points all season so it'd be kinda hilarious if they go now 2 games without a win.. Paide meanwhile is still 2nd in the league but they also have like 3-4 important players unavailable so this might easily affect them.. Anyway Flora haven't lost not a single h2h match in the last 4 years as they won 6 of the last 7 h2h matches so i'm going with their win today aswell (although i'd be positively surprised should they fail to win here)

  25. #25
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Paide vs Kalju
    18:30 CET
    Kalju +0.5 AH @1.81


    After 5 consecutive wins Paide have now gone backwards as they've lost 2 games in a row so at home it's time for them to redeem themselves perhaps... Meanwhile Kalju is unbeaten in 4 games as they won 3 during that time while conceding just one goal and they've won 2 in a row to nil aswell. Curiously enough 4 of the last 5 h2h games went to the away team. Kalju have also won last 6 h2h awaygames + in the league they haven't lost awaygame since may 2017 i think so hopefully they can extend that run and actually get something from this game.

  26. #26
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Flora vs Kalju
    18:30 CET
    X2 @2.55


    Both sides are in great shape as they both won 4 of the last 5 matches so clearly they both would like to continue winning i'd imagine. Still while Kalju kept 3 clean sheets during that period then Flora practiced outscoring method since they conceded in all these games ... Flora may have collected maximumpoints vs other top4 clubs so far this season but clearly even they are far from being brilliant.. For Kalju game like this is probably pure luxury since they can play on grass instead of artifical turf so they'd be able to make decent perfomance.. Kalju still havent lost away leaguegame since 2017 - also Flora's last homewin vs Kalju was in that year so ... Anyway's i'm probably going to regret not taking Flora -1 AH here (so i'd be happy if they fail to win) but let's see..

  27. #27
    cashin81
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    crazy stat that kalju havent lost away since 2017, never noticed.

    good luck!

  28. #28
    Risto234
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    Today in Meistriliiga
    Kalju vs Tammeka
    18:30 CET
    Kalju -1 AH @1.62

    Both teams may have lost their last leaguegame but were victorius in midweek cup round when they beated lower league opponents 8:0 and 13:0 ... So guess one thing is certain: we dont see that many goals today ... Kalju started slowly at home as they won just 1 of the first 5 homegames while lost 4 but they seem to get back on track now as they've won 3 consecutive homegames to nil. Meanwhile Tammeka won 3 and lost 2 of the last 5 awaygames but as they were in format of WLWLW then ...
    Tammeka have also yet to lose in Tallinn so far this season as they beated Legion here and drew with Levadia & Flora so i'd imagine they will make another solid perfomance today in this artificular turf and that despite having 2 defensive players unavailable ... Still Kalju have conceded least amount of goals (9) in the league so far this season so wouldn't surprised if they get typical 1:0 or 2:0 win here ... Also Kalju is the only estonian club which will be seeded in next seasons european competion first qualifying round but more about that next weekend ...

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