[Gaze73]

You would gain the knowledge of knowing you actually have no edge and have been getting lucky for a bit. This is like the 50th "system" you've come up with. You are always 100% convinced this is the one that'll make you rich until losses and reality set in. You will not win long term if you are not beating the closing line on average. Read that last sentence again. 50 times.

I know I have an edge even without posting here and even if I didn't have an edge I'd also know it without posting here because I track all my bets. Draws are inefficient because the dumbass market doesn't bet draws at all. Years ago when I tried betting only on favs it didn't work out because at least 30% of the games ended in draws, so I figured I might as well bet on the draws because no matter how strong a fav looks they always find a way to draw often enough. E.g. home team goal stats are 30:10 and away team stats are 15:40 so you might think "surely the home team will win by at least a goal" but nope, it's going to end 1:1 and the bookies collect all the square money on fav ML.

[rustie]

Waste of time, I would have to post 1000 draws for you to conclude it's not just luck. And what would I gain? Nothing.

Well maybe you would gain some of those subscribers you so desire to "easily supplement" your meager bankroll. Just go away little boy , with your dreams of becoming a tout without proving anything. Typical teenage daydream lol

[cashin81]

gaze just post your plays, you just look like an idiot otherwise.

going from betting the fav to laying the fav doesnt make you Einstein reincarnated.

[Gaze73]

You clowns want free money? Bordeaux +1.5 will cover 90%, 10k to win 4160.

[Gaze73]

Fukin clowns lmao, 0:1 HT to 3:1 FT happens like once per season in france at these odds. Fortunately I was ready for them to clown it up.

[newton0038]

You clowns want free money? Bordeaux +1.5 will cover 90%, 10k to win 4160.

Marseille 3 vs 1 Bordeaux


Did you get any bites on ur 1-900 line for that gem?

[rustie]

sorry but that looks like you said Bordeaux +1.5 , yet the ticket seems to be for a over? Did I misinterpret something?

[tsty]

You clowns want free money? Bordeaux +1.5 will cover 90%, 10k to win 4160.

ahahhahaha i love you man

[tsty]

A 3-way outcome with equal probabilities would be +200/+200/+200 with no juice. I bet on draws at +250 because the other two outcomes are not +200.

this is wrong my friend
a lot of people make this rookie error
all I can say is do the math again or at least study how most books price their odds with/without draws in em

[tsty]

also on a side note I think you should be banned for going down the scummy tout route

nothing worse in this industry than touts

actually nothing worse in the world than touts

already bad enough this disease is infesting all of the internet with investment/selfhelp/guru/etc scamming millions of gullible people out of their hard earned money

also I'm not too sure why you think you need an edge as a tout lol there isn't one in the gambling industry that actually makes money from gambling

[Gaze73]

Lol if it weren't for that last second goal you'd all be like "anybody can hit such odds, there was no edge." No more free money for you!

[tsty]

just remember my friend

money is not everything

don't sell your soul just for a few coins

[Merkel]

You clowns want free money? Bordeaux +1.5 will cover 90%, 10k to win 4160.

Free money.

[cashin81]

"If you have a shit BR like me"

then bets 10k on one game. Fraud, others have been ran off the forum for less.

[Gaze73]

"If you have a shit BR like me"

then bets 10k on one game. Fraud, others have been ran off the forum for less.

Lol, I wish I could bet that much. The day I bet 10k on a game is the day I quit this forum. Actually make that 1k. With 1k bets I could easily make 500k turnover a month * 10% roi = 50k.

[Merkel]

Lol, I wish I could bet that much. The day I bet 10k on a game is the day I quit this forum. Actually make that 1k. With 1k bets I could easily make 500k turnover a month * 10% roi = 50k.

No you can't. You might be able to well in contests and fantasy leagues, making money off this is a whole other matter.
And you look like a dolt posting a 10k air bet.
Which lost.

[cashin81]

Lol, I wish I could bet that much. The day I bet 10k on a game is the day I quit this forum. Actually make that 1k. With 1k bets I could easily make 500k turnover a month * 10% roi = 50k.

just get a loan. update us.

[Gaze73]

No you can't. You might be able to well in contests and fantasy leagues, making money off this is a whole other matter.
And you look like a dolt posting a 10k air bet.
Which lost.

Actually there is very little difference. If I post a draw @3.5 it doesn't matter if it's a $50 or $1k bet, the only thing that matters is edge. I can consistently hit 10% roi at pinny closing lines, up to 20% at higher odds. Low odds still give me trouble. I often feel more confident in a pick @2.5 than @1.7. The former makes 12.5% roi at 45% win rate while the latter makes 2% at 60% win rate, almost a waste of time.

[Gaze73]

just get a loan. update us.

They don't give em to unemployed people.

[cashin81]

They don't give em to unemployed people.

with a beautiful mind like yours, why arent you working?

[Gaze73]

with a beautiful mind like yours, why arent you working?

Because it's a waste of time compared to how much I'll be making. One day I'll make more in 1 month than people around here make in 1 year. I'll be a king, muahahaa.

[Merkel]

Because it's a waste of time compared to how much I'll be making. One day I'll make more in 1 month than people around here make in 1 year. I'll be a king, muahahaa.

He's been saying for the last 5 years.....

[Gaze73]

I'll give y'all one more safe-ass free money bet. Rio Ave +0 @1.45 $10k 90%. Gil Vicente is trash, should be @6.

[Gaze73]

He's been saying for the last 5 years.....

I had a job for 2 full years with a 1+1 hour commute which slowed me down. Also I believe my first good system at that time was on horses and I abandoned racing a long time ago. Basically I can tell which horse is good value in the minute before the off but nobody would pay for such last minute picks. Also the limits are much lower, even $500 on a horse drops the price.

[Merkel]

I'll give y'all one more safe-ass free money bet. Rio Ave +0 @1.45 $10k 90%. Gil Vicente is trash, should be @6.

Not "one more", the first one tanked.
1.45 are trash odds. No wonder you don't get anywhere.
Another air 10k?

[Gaze73]

Not "one more", the first one tanked.
1.45 are trash odds. No wonder you don't get anywhere.
Another air 10k?

I said the first one was 90% and according to odds it was 95% at HT and 98% before the final whistle, yet you act like it was such a horrible play. I made money on it anyway. Rio Ave won too of course. 1.45 is not trash when it's 90% not gonna lose. Finding an edge at low odds is harder than at high odds but if you find it it's almost like free money. I'm testing a goal in first half strategy and am 17-0 so far at avg. odds 1.4. If it goes to 50-15 like I expect then I'll know it's free money but there's very few picks so it's gonna take months.

[rustie]

Because it's a waste of time compared to how much I'll be making. One day I'll make more in 1 month than people around here make in 1 year. I'll be a king, muahahaa.

OMFG this is killing me , my stomach hurts from the sheer stupidity of this waste of skin who keeps repeatedly telling us about how much money he makes and can make ,then posts a "free money wager " that loses , then says working for something is a waste of time and can't get a $1000 loan and he's going to live like a king < I really would love to stop reading this crap , but it's like a train wreck waiting to happen and you can't look away cause you want to see what asinine thing he's going to say next . .................waiting........lol