Going to post maximum 10 picks per month, most likely 3-5. At least 70% of my picks will be on the underdog. I bet on odds where the bookies got it wrong in my humble opinion. BOL.
PICK: Manchester City -1.5 @ -115
Manchester City is going to annihilate Spurs imo. They are the better team and there’s no Champions League magic (motivation, VAR, pressure) in play. City -2.5 @ +215 is a good pick as well but I would like the coefficient to be around +300 to take it, so I’ll pass.
Tottenham vs Ajax (30th April)
PICK: DNB Ajax @ +135
How Ajax is the underdog is beyond my understanding. They are clearly the better team and I wouldn’t be surprised if they go all the way this year. When Real Madrid beat them 2:1, I placed €140 (way above my average bet) on Ajax to advance @ +650 and it was a nobrainer. Son is out for the first game and so is Harry Kane. Ajax is probably going to win by at least two goals but DNB to be safe.
Chelsea vs Arsenal (29th of May)
PICK: Arsenal to lift the trophy @ +110
Arsenal has always been a really tricky opponent for Chelsea and I consider Emery to be a better coach than Sarri. Even though I like the latter a bit more.
Tottenham vs Liverpool (1st of June)
PICK: Liverpool -1.5 @ +285
I root for Tottenham but Liverpool should win it easily. Something like 3:0 or if Tottenham turns up after Liverpool scores inside the first 10 minutes, 4:2 for Liverpool. If Klopp isn’t going to start overthinking this game, it should be a walk in the park for Liverpool.
Sad that the season has ended. I can confidently say that it was my best ever year betting soccer (in ~10 years) and it’s going to be hard to beat those numbers next season. If I see something with extremely good value, I’ll post it but this thread is going to be quiet over the summer.
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