[DiamondJack]

I'm going to keep this thread to include the newly formed Nations Leagues along with various continental qualifiers and friendlies.

1. Germany/France to DRAW @ 3.42/+242 (Marathon) 1 Unit

The defending World cup champions travel to Munich to face Germany. It is hard to tell how serious the nations will take this tournament. Germany have plenty to prove after their exit from the World Cup in Russia and France are flying high in confidence.The last time France played in Germany last year the result was a 2-2 tie. A draw will not disappoint either side

[DiamondJack]

2. Wales ML @ 1.99/-101 (Marathon) 1 Unit

The visitors Ireland are riddled with injuries and absences. James McCarthy, Shane Long, Robbie Brady, Scott Hogan and Sean Maguire are injured Declan Rice is thinking who he will play for & Harry Arter got into an argument with Republic assistant boss Keane. Pretty much ripe for the picking as Wales could get a little revenge from World cup qualifying.

[DiamondJack]

3. Austria/Sweden OVER 2.5 @ 2.53/+153 (5Dimes) 1 Unit
4. Portugal/Croatia OVER 2.5 @ 2.56/+156 (5Dimes) 1 Unit

Hoping to hit one total here for a profit. Austrias past 6 home games 5 end over 2.5. Over the same time span 4 of Swedens past 7 away games ended up over 2.5 goals. 3 of the past 4 head to head encounters also ended over. This is basically a 50/50 chance to go over and comparing that to the odds given I have to pull the trigger.

In the 2nd game Ronaldo is missing for Portugal but there are other players that can score for both sides. Form wise Croatia have failed to keep a clean sheet in the past 5 games & Portugal has only kept 1 in their past 4. Portugal have had 6 of the past 8 friendlies go over & Croatia 5 of 8. So once again big plus money has to be a play.

[DiamondJack]

5. Slovenia ML @ 2.23/+123 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Leagues C & D will be more competitive IMO as it gives some of the smaller nations a back door entry into The Euros. Slovenia will be missing their top choice keeper Oblak due to an arm injury but I still like the numbers. 1626-1615 in ELO rank 65-20 in transfer value. 25.148-22.091 in Uefa National team coefficient.Form wise Bulgaria have not won an away game in the past 7 losing all and drawing 1 away to Luxemburg and giving up a whopping 24 goals against (3.43) per game. Slovenia at home have only lost once in their past 7

[DiamondJack]

6. Romania ML @ 1.88/-113 (Marathon) 1 Unit

As one of the favourites to win League C Romania must take their opportunities especially at home. Coming into the match they are in better form with 4 straight wins versus the likes of Chile, Sweden, Israel & Finland. The visitors Montenegro are winless in their past 6. The last time Montenergo played in Romania was in the last world cup qualifiers they managed to Draw as Romania missed a last minute Penalty. All the numbers look good to back any price of 1.50/-200 or better.

[DiamondJack]

7. Turkey/Russia OVER 2.5 @ 2.43/+143 (Marathon) 1 Unit

The prices on these totals keep hooking me again. 4 of the past 5 for Russia end over. 3 of the past 5 for Turkey also go over 2.5 goals. First choice keeper Akinfeev will miss the game for Russia. The last meeting between these sides was just prior to the kick off of the World Cup in Russia where the match ended 1-1. This time around in Turkey I'm thinking of a 2-1 scoreline for the home side.

[swordsandtequila]

Good stuff, should be entertaining. Definitely better than meaningless friendlies so early in the season. Good luck.

[DiamondJack]

8. Luxembourg ML @ 2.43/+143 (Marathon) 1 Unit

I never thought I would be backing Luxembourg, but form wise we have a team that has 5W 2D 1L at home in their past 8 including beating the likes of Belarus, Georgia, Hungary and Albania. Moldova on the other hand in 16 away games has only 1 win and that was versus San Mario. In their last 7 away games they only managed to score 1 goal. The home sided wins out in the ELO rank at 1345-1329, In transfer value 10.5 vs 14.3 is virtually the same. Love the value at anything better than 2.20/+120 for the home side.

[DiamondJack]

swords&tequila---

[franz555]

DJ

BOL across Europe today

[DiamondJack]

Thanks Franz---

[DiamondJack]

9. Chile/Japan OVER 2.5 @ 2.27/+127 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

Another friendly that tempts me with the prices on the Over 2.5. Form wise 4 of the past 5 have gone over for Japan & 3 of the last 5 for Chile. The last 4 friendlies for both sides 2 have gone over or 50%. Getting plus money equals .27/+027 in Value. The last head to head meeting had a 4-0 result but that was a while back.

[DiamondJack]

10. Azerbaijan to DRAW @ 3.10/+210 (Marathon) 1 Unit
11. Albania to DRAW @ 3.18/+218 (Marathon) 1 Unit

It looks like my play # 9 was cancelled due to an earthquake...On to today. The 1st 1-2 games in leagues C & D will be tight, as I stated before because the opportunity to qualify is there for Euro 2020.Hoping to hit one for a good profit.

[DiamondJack]

12. Belize ML @ 1.92/-108 (Marathon) 3 Units
13. Belize/Bahamas OVER 2.5 @ 2.25/+125 (Marathon) 1 Unit

I could not believe my eyes when this line showed up. Bahamas have only played 4 games in the past 10 years compared to Belize who played 44 in that time span. The last time Bahamas played was the World Cup qualifiers 3 years ago losing to Bermuda 3-0 & 5-0 over 2 legs. ELO rank for Belize is 1174 compared to 905 for Bahamas. Fifa Rank is 163 - 206. 3-0 easy if not more for the home side, unless Belize is fixing the match

[Shazzadude]

Very hard trying to find Belize-Bahamas, not even 365 has it

[DiamondJack]

Shazz--- Bet365 has it & 5Dimes had it...the odds now @ 1.70/-143...still good enough IMO

[k2rmkr]

Thanks DJ
BOL

[and1ne13]

Thanks for Luxembourg, the fact Moldova didn’t win in 16 games away was the info I needed , got good price too 👍, any for today or tomorrow??

[DiamondJack]

14. Bulgaria/Norway to DRAW @ 3.30/+230 (BET365) 1 Unit

Time for some Draw hunting. Yesterday none of the games ended level so that makes 5 out of 23 or 21%. Of all the match ups today this one looks most likely to end up tied. I see a 1-1 or 0-0 game. Both sides won their opening game in the Nations League and both would not be disappointed with a draw.

[DiamondJack]

15. St Kitts ML @ 1.85/-117 (Marathon) 2 Units

Another case of what are the bookies thinking when it comes to Concacaf teams. Here we have Puerto Rico who have not played a game since Hurricane Maria going away from home where the last 4 away were a draw to Indonesia and losses to the mighty Antigua, India & Dominican Republic.St Kitts at home since 2015 have a record of 6W 3D 2L and should easily beat Puerto Rico. I had the odds here at 1.25/-400

[DiamondJack]

k2rm---
and1ne---

[DiamondJack]

16. Sweden ML @ 2.14/+114 (Bet365) 1 Unit

Both teams coming from losses Sweden away to Austria in a friendly and Turkey at home to Russia. I like Sweden for two reasons; First they have an extra day of rest having played Thursday versus Turkey who played Friday. Home advantage, Sweden have only lost once at under Andersson, beating the likes of France and Italy at home. Turkey are winless in their past 6 away.

[boss_of_um]

Good to see another thread from ya. Any chance you can add dates for the matches like in UEFA thread?

[DiamondJack]

17. Bosnia PK @ 1.82/-122 (Marathon) 1 Unit

Bosnia come into the match undefeated in the past 5 games. At home the Bosnians in the past 4 years only lost once to Belgium. Austria away from home recently have a record of 3W 3L 2D the 3 wins were versus Georgia Moldova & Luxembourg. The last head to head meeting was a 1-1 result in Austria in a friendly. Backing the home side to get something and covering my behind in case of a draw.

[DiamondJack]

Boss--- Good idea. I will post with dates for the next INT break

[DiamondJack]

UPDATED INT RECORD

Heading into MON Sep 10th

8-6-1 +850 Units

[DiamondJack]

18. Spain/Croatia OVER 2.5 @ 2.20/+120 (Will Hill) 1 Unit

Form wise 3 of the past 5 games for both sides ended over 2.5 goals. Croatia have failed to keep a clean sheet in their past 6 games. Spain managed to keep only 1 clean sheet in their past 5 games. The last head to head encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Croatia in the Euros. Neither team plays 10 behind the ball so I see a 2-1 scoreline for Spain.

[DiamondJack]

19. Hungary/Greece to DRAW @ 3.06/+206 (Pinnacle) 1 Unit

This will be my last play this international break either way I'm in the green. Once again Draw hunting here as we have only had 8 of 39 matches ending level this round. The way the Nations League is set up having teams of similar strength in different leagues, should equal more Draws.

[boss_of_um]

18. Spain/Croatia OVER 2.5 @ 2.20/+120 (Will Hill) 1 Unit

Form wise 3 of the past 5 games for both sides ended over 2.5 goals. Croatia have failed to keep a clean sheet in their past 6 games. Spain managed to keep only 1 clean sheet in their past 5 games. The last head to head encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Croatia in the Euros. Neither team plays 10 behind the ball so I see a 2-1 scoreline for Spain.

The over must be getting pounded. It was down to +110 when I got it this morning. Now it's at -104.

[DA_MOSS]

18. Spain/Croatia OVER 2.5 @ 2.20/+120 (Will Hill) 1 Unit

Form wise 3 of the past 5 games for both sides ended over 2.5 goals. Croatia have failed to keep a clean sheet in their past 6 games. Spain managed to keep only 1 clean sheet in their past 5 games. The last head to head encounter ended in a 2-1 win for Croatia in the Euros. Neither team plays 10 behind the ball so I see a 2-1 scoreline for Spain.

Gotta love those 1st half winners

[DiamondJack]

UPDATED INT RECORD

After TUE Sep 11th

10-8-1 +870 Units

[Giroux]

Great stuff, thanks DJ!

[KBCS]

Hello DJ,

really great stuff bro. I like your picks.

Keep up the good work.

Regards.

[DiamondJack]

20. Ghana UNDER 2.5 @ 2.03/+103 (Marathon) 1 Unit

ANC qualifying is notorious for low scores all the games average 2.33 goals per game. Form wise Ghana have had 4 of the last 5 go under 7 Sierra Leone have had 3 of their past 5 go under. Out of the past 9 home games for Ghana 7 ended under. Since 2016 4 of the 7 away games for the visitors ended under. All the teams in this group are level on 3 points so i'm expecting low scores and tight games.

[DiamondJack]

THU OCT 11

21. Israel/Scotland to DRAW @ 3.20/+220 (Be365) 1 Unit
The way the nations league is formated, having teams of equal caliber in the same league one would expect Draws to be more prevalent than they have been. So far only 9 of 46 (19.5%) of games ended level. I expect that number to go up to around 27%. Draw hunting starts with this match up.