[cincinnatikid513]

Turkey Osmanlispor over 3 Push



Chile Antofagasta universidad catolica over 2.5 -111

[cincinnatikid513]

Portugal

Portimonense -112

Portimonense Chaves over 2.5 -115

home team scores alot of goals and gives up lots of goals

[cincinnatikid513]

Argentina

Colon +205

Racing Club -115

[cincinnatikid513]

Antofagasta over 2.5 Win
Portimonense Loss
Portimonense over 2.5 Loss

Record 47-43 + 4.64 units

[cincinnatikid513]

Sunday

Boca Juniors +116

top of the table team solid record on the road

[cincinnatikid513]

Colon Loss
Racing Club Win
Boca Juniors Win

Record 49-44 +5.80 units

[cincinnatikid513]

Spain

Girona Espanyol over 2.5 +115

England

Cardiff Reading over 2 -119

[cincinnatikid513]

Girona over Loss
Cardif over Win

record 50-45 +5.8 units

[cincinnatikid513]

Tuesday

Germany

Wolfsburg vs Leipzig over 2.5 -116

Wolfsburg have been scoring lots of goals at home scored 3 goals in last 3 home matches leipzig has had 4 of last 5 road matches over 2.5 goals


England

Burnley Stoke Over 2 -122

Burnley have a pretty good home record and stoke is bad on the road gives up lots of goals

Crystal Palace vs Watford over 2.5 -117 * 2 units strong wager

Crystal Palace is really bad on the road in fact they have 0 goals in 8 road matches lucky for them they are playing at home tuesday where the last 5 home matches for palace they have scored 2 goals in every game and the total has gone over last 5 matches watford has given up alot of goals on the road and are better scoring away than home all the signs point to a over here

[franz555]

Kid With you in England and Germany Lets see it rain goals over both


BOL

[PapaStef]

On the Watford Palace over as well. Also took DNB for Burnley. Lots of juice in that bet but Stoke awful away from home and Burnley don’t give up goals at home.

BOL!

[cincinnatikid513]

On the Watford Palace over as well. Also took DNB for Burnley. Lots of juice in that bet but Stoke awful away from home and Burnley don’t give up goals at home.

BOL!

like it, burnley do look the better side i almost played them to win took the over instead

[Sharpes]

Kid also like the palace over 3 at +135.

[cincinnatikid513]

Kid also like the palace over 3 at +135.

feels like might push alot with the 3 very interested watch this game see if palace can keep scoring well at home

[Sharpes]

Using a poisson distribution and an avg of 3.2 total goals per game as per the home away split you mention, we get 35% chance of less than 3, 22% chance of exactly 3 and 43% of greater than 3.

I got lines of -125 for o 2.5 and +135 for o 3, so the expected value of each bet is:

EV(+135) = (.43)(135) + (.35)(-100) = 23.05
EV(-125) = (.65)(100) + (.35)(-125) = 21.25

So slightly better return at +135 even though you push 22% of the time

[cincinnatikid513]

WOW CRYSTAL PALACE u legends

[cincinnatikid513]

palace saved a bad day 2 late goals wow love it

Wolfsburg over Loss

Burnley Over Loss

Palace over Win

Record 51-47 +5.42 units

[cincinnatikid513]

Wednesday

Scotland

Rangers Hibernian over 2.5 -116

Hibernian 3 of last 4 home matches over 2.5 goals, Rangers last 11 road matches over 2.5 goals tied w celtic most road goals in league


Poland

Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon Szczecin over 2.5 -101

gdansk 6 of last 7 home matches over 2.5 goals pogon gives up alot of road goals

Lechia Gdansk +106

home team has really been scoring alot of goals and with road team very poor away this could be a 3-0 home win

[Sharpes]

Haha,after all the math, you won and I pushed -both due to two miraculous goals after a red card at 87’. The extra time goal was a classic all out rush the goal 11 on 10. Nice to get one like that on our side for a change,

[PapaStef]

Deeney also missed an absolute sitter earlier in the match which obviously would have helped with the over.

[cincinnatikid513]

England

Newcastle Everton over 2.5 +119

everton give up alot of goals on the road last 5 new castle games over

[cincinnatikid513]

Rangers over Win -
Gdansk Over Win
Gdansk Loss
Everton over Loss

Record 53-49 +5.42 units

[cincinnatikid513]

Thursday

Netherlands 12:30

Heracles +139

like the home side good home record 5 wins 2 draws 1 loss score well at home on a nice un beated streak at home sparta one of the worst road teams in the league 0 wins 3 draws 4 losses give up alot of goals all the signs point to a home win

[cincinnatikid513]

Thursday upset play

Italy Coppa Italia Lazio vs Citadella line was +1042 now up to +1122 who knows where it will be before kickoff

taking a shot with the serie b team citadella, think they are worth 1 unit shot, they are in good form scoring at least 2 goals in each of last 5 games 4 wins and 1 draw, also they have beat 2 serie a teams in the cup already spal and bologna and both were road victories, tommorow will be harder at lazio but lazio isn't in the best of form should use backup players

[cincinnatikid513]

so much for upset play lazio crushing citadella 3-1 at half will call that one a loss if something crazy happens can fix can't see citadella scoring 3 in 2 half

Heracles Win
Citadella Loss

Record 54-50 +5.81

[cincinnatikid513]

Bolivia
Oriente petrolero +100

oriente petrolero sport boys over 2.5 -129

oriente very solid home record sport boys not good on road

[franz555]

Bolivia
Oriente petrolero +100

oriente petrolero sport boys over 2.5 -129

oriente very solid home record sport boys not good on road

Kid I like both as well. Lets cash'em

BOL

[cincinnatikid513]

Friday

hoping have a big friday like these games alot

Borussia Monchengladbach -123

like home team here in germany hamburger very poor on the road 1-1 5 losses

France Ligue 2

Bourg Peronnas vs Lorient over 2.5 -121 2 units

Bourg given up league high 39 goals Lorient 4 of last 5 away matches over love this match alot

Quevilly vs Breast over 2.5 +100

quevilley give up alot of goals brest one of the better road scoring teams brest 4 of 5 road matches over 2.5

Poland

Korona Kielce vs Piast Gilwice over 2.5 -116 2 units

korona 4 of 5 home matches over piast 4 of 5 road matches over korona one of top home scoring teams league piast conceed almost the most road goals in league

Slask Wroclaw vs Jagiellonia Bialystok over 2.5 +102

Slask scores well at home Jagiellonia score well on road and conceed lot of goals last 3 meetings over

Romania Astra -107

astra very strong home record score lots of goals Botonsani not as good on road

Astra vs Botonsani over 2 -144

Astra at home have scored at least 2 goals in last 6 home matches

Spain 2nd divison

Cadiz -112

cadiz on a 7 game un beaten streak fighting for a promotion spot barca b not as good on the road as they are at home

[cincinnatikid513]

Oriente Loss
Oriente Over Win

Record 55-51 +5.81 units

[cincinnatikid513]

Saturday
England

Leicester City vs Crystal Palace under 2.5 -107 palace can't score on road 0 goals scored last 2 away games 0-0 0 goals in 8 road matches

Arsenal -1.5 -131
Arsenal Newcastle over 3 -130 arsenal are scoring well at home newcastle give up ton goals on road looks like a 4-0 5-0 beat down

Chelsea South Hampton over 2.5 -133 South hampton have been conceeding goals usually good for a goal on road 2-1 3-1 chelsea win

Watford -123 huddersfield can't score on road this is just a matter how bad 1-0 2-0 or 3-0 win

Bolton +100 burton give up alot of goals very bad on the road

Brentford Barnsley over 3 -128

Bristol City -109 nottingham poor on road give up lot goals

Ipswich Reading over 2.5 +107 4 of 5 home over 4 of 5 road over

Norwich Leeds over 2.5 +108

Millwall Middlesbrough over 2 -135 middle 4 of 5 on road over 2.5 goals

Preston Sheffield United over 2.5 +107 sheff 4 of 5 on road over

Fullham sunderland over 2.5 -114 Full 4 of 5 over home sund 4 of 5 over road

Afc Wimbledon Wigan over 2.5 +132 afc 3 of 5 home over wigan 4 of 5 over road

Black Burn Rovers -123
Black Burn Roers Charlton over 2.5 -105 both teams scoring well black 5 match win streak

Scunthorpe -107

Scotland

Aberdeen Hibernian over 2.5 -103
Kilmarnock vs Motherwell over 2.5 +105
Rangers vs St Johnstone over 2.5 -141
Falkirk vs Brechin over 2.5 -138
Queen of South Dundee over 2.5 -107
St Mirren vs Dunfermline over 2.5 -138

Turkey

Genclerbirligi vs kasimpasa over 2.5 -130

[cincinnatikid513]

Borussia Win
Bourg over Win
Brest over Win
Korona over Loss
Slask over Loss
Astra Win
Astra Over Win
Cadiz Win

Record 61-53 +9.49

[franz555]

Kid Well done today


I am looking to hammer Leicester tomorrow. I was also leaning to the over 2.5 with Sakho , Mensah and Milivojevic all out for Palace.
I see that you like the Under 2.5, will have to rethink that one

BOL tomorrow

[cincinnatikid513]

Kid Well done today

I am looking to hammer Leicester tomorrow. I was also leaning to the over 2.5 with Sakho , Mensah and Milivojevic all out for Palace.
I see that you like the Under 2.5, will have to rethink that one

BOL tomorrow

i think the safer play than the over is city to win my thinking is palace will play for the draw 0-0 they can't score on the road, over scares me when one team is so bad, l city could win this 1-0 or 2-0 , i was surprised how good the odds on leicester are -111 i thought would be around -150

[cincinnatikid513]

Added Games Saturday

France

Rennes vs Psg under 3 +113

Dijon vs Lille over 2.5 +124 2 units dijon scoring well home 4 of 5 home over lille last 5 away over 2.5

Montpellier -1 -126 metz are very poor on road

Strasbourg Toulouse over 2.5 +121 Strasbourg 4 of 5 home over Toulouse conceed most away goals in league

Germany

Augsburg vs Freiburg over 2.5 -115 Augsburg 3 of 5 home over Freiburg conceed most goals in league on road

Italy

Inter milan vs Udinese over 3 +106 inter strong at home udinese 4 of 5 on road at least 3 goals

Spain

Eibar vs Valencia over 2.5 +104

Turkey

Trabzonspor vs bursaspor over 3 -108

Poland

Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdyiana over 2.5 +112

Legia Warsaw -1 -122 very solid home record

Legia Warsaw vs Wilsa Plock over 2.5 -114

[cincinnatikid513]

Saturday

France

Dijon +134

like how this team is playing won it's last 4 home matches lille poor on road