Draw at 3.7 on BetFair Sportsbook.

3.7 seems like a very good price for a draw on a big final (which end in draws way more often than the ~26% of the time that regular matches do). Argentina hasn’t won a title in two decades and the pressure is definitely there on Sunday after losing both finals at the World Cup on 2014 and the Copa in 2015, both of which ended in 0-0 draw at fulltime. It’s hard to see them playing as effortlessly has they have in previous occasions. It’s true they have won every game so far, and that they’ve been scoring a lot, but I think they’ve had weaker than average opposition up to now and the winning margins in some games have obscured the fact that they play somewhat deliberate football with Messi on the team, as opposed to other games without him on which the team has looked more resolute and aggressive.

I don’t see either defense completely cracking after a goal or two as we’ve seen with the US or Mexico (maybe an argument for the u1.5, or u2.5?). I'm pretty sure this ends in draw at fulltime at least a third of the time.

Input?