1. 01-11-10 11:24 AM #1
    Smogs
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    Smogs Man City/Blackburn Pick

    I'm just going to go ahead and jump the gun here, Ivory Coast and Burkina Faso are not going to get me a win or a push on the over total

    This match should be more predictable, i hope.

    Immediately i think of who is missing for Man City here, since they have players out in Africa. They are missing Kolo Toure and Adebayor, and have injuries to some starters such as Ireland and Lescott.
    I am not too worried about them defensively, i think Blackburn are going to struggle to create anything. They have just 7 away goals this year and 2 goals against top half opposition on the road from 4 games, both coming at the Emirates.
    Their away form reads horrible, 1-2-7, with the win at Bolton. 24 conceded goals is going to be a problem for them tonight, considering the form of Tevez. They have not won in 8 games, drawing 5 of those.

    Under Mancini, Man City have done very well, they haven't conceded and have made the best of the injury situation. Benjani got on the score sheet last week and he may start again, and hopefully will revive some form to partner Tevez.
    Head to head doesn't fill me with confidence but Man City have won 6 and drawn 3 home games.
    After that ridiculous drawing run they went on, they have won their last 3 at home and i feel at worst they win by one, in theory it should be by 3 or 4.

    My pick: Man City -1 @ 1.90 Bet365
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  2. 01-11-10 11:26 AM #2
    SRBI
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    Well the way things have gone so far, I would have to say FADE FADE FADE, FADE EVERYTHING!

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  3. 01-11-10 11:28 AM #3
    Smogs
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    I'm just glad i didn't bet Algeria also
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  4. 01-11-10 11:40 AM #4
    ClydeFontaine
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    Benjani is awful. Hopefully he is nowhere near the pitch.

    I imagine it will be Tevez and Robinho up front with Bellamy resting.
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  5. 01-11-10 11:41 AM #5
    rfr3sh
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    i agree he has no touch and he got lucky to score the other game
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  6. 01-11-10 11:41 AM #6
    ClydeFontaine
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    Roque Santa Cruz likely to get some time too if he is fit.
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  7. 01-11-10 11:48 AM #7
    theplagy
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    Under 2.5 2 unit @-105
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  8. 01-11-10 11:50 AM #8
    Smogs
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    No robinho, no santa i think. You know what lol.....i totally forgot about bellamy.

    It will be Tevez and Bellamy up top.

    The under is a good play as insurance, if it goes over, it's because man city have destroyed blackburn
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  9. 01-11-10 11:55 AM #9
    SRBI
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    Smogs, is Dunn back for Blackburn?
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  10. 01-11-10 12:04 PM #10
    Smogs
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    Yeah, Blackburn are actually at full strength. Grella has a slight niggle.

    Why do i get the feeling the value is with blackburn
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  11. 01-11-10 12:04 PM #11
    theplagy
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    2-0 is what were looking for smog :d
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  12. 01-11-10 12:13 PM #12
    SRBI
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    Damn, another toss up looks like. Man City with some kind of important missings, Blackburn at full strength.
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  13. 01-11-10 12:14 PM #13
    SRBI
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    Also lines on Man City AH constantly dropping...from -125 last night, to -110, and falling to -108 now...
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  14. 01-11-10 12:31 PM #14
    Karayilan9
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    Blackburn would take a point here and will likely sit back, under is a possibility but can't trust Blackburns defense while Man City been scoring at will lately. Man City -1 is a good play with value at +100 as the missing players problem is being exaggerated, there is nobody they will really miss. However, Blackburn is the biggest steamer of the day, now is this due to Man City missing players or something deeper...
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  15. 01-11-10 12:34 PM #15
    SRBI
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    BM has not moved the AH down as 5dimes has, instead they upped it to -130. 5Dimes is showing -107 right now...wtf.
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  16. 01-11-10 12:43 PM #16
    EaglesPhan36
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    Sometimes you just gotta sit back and not worry about what the market does. If you cap a match as winnable, get the best price for your pick and let it ride!
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  17. 01-11-10 01:04 PM #17
    LinWin
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    I've taken the over 2.5 @ 1.78
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  18. 01-11-10 01:06 PM #18
    spartangreen
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    Good luck, lets cash this one.
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  19. 01-11-10 01:08 PM #19
    sportsfan2009
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    over 2.5 is the play i think
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  20. 01-11-10 01:11 PM #20
    Marginalis
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  21. 01-11-10 01:23 PM #21
    ClydeFontaine
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    Odds dropping cuz Benjani in starting 11 for Man City. Rightfully so as he is about their 7th best striking option.

    Solid squad otherwise though.

    Should see a frozen or nearly frozen pitch as well.
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  22. 01-11-10 01:23 PM #22
    ClydeFontaine
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    City plays first leg of Carling Cup against United later in week. Blackburn looking to capitalize on this sandwich game.
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  23. 01-11-10 01:25 PM #23
    xxxvince
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    under will be smart play here?
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  24. 01-11-10 01:26 PM #24
    Karayilan9
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    Quote Originally Posted by ClydeFontaine View Post
    City plays first leg of Carling Cup against United later in week. Blackburn looking to capitalize on this sandwich game.
    City will focus more on this game, Italian managers are notorious for not giving a shit about cup games.
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  25. 01-11-10 01:48 PM #25
    VLR100
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    Gonna play City on this one, got bad vibes about it, but whatever. This game really should be a rout, but with the line movement and weather, not so sure. Anyway, good luck guys
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  26. 01-11-10 03:12 PM #26
    LinWin
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    the over is in the bag Tevez is the man..
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  27. 01-12-10 06:55 AM #27
    Smogs
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    Nice winner to bounce back from that shocking Ivory coast pick
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