Originally Posted by
franz555
As a man who loves the analytical side of wagering, like yourself( stats, trends etc ), I have to totally disagree. " Live " in game wagering is based exactly on the same premiss as capping a game 24 hrs in advance. You look for trends like home record, possession, goals for/ against etc, the same principles apply in live wagering. That huge favorite has now gained value based on the " time value " that has diminished in the game. As per your original assessment, the heavy favorite is doing exactly as you anticipated ( possession 75%.....shots on goal 21 -5 etc....), but now, due to the 25 minutes that have elapsed, they are a " value " play. To me, I see ZERO emotion to the wager.