[edabramov]

Wednesday Plays*


Austria Vienna vs Zenit - Gonna take Under 3 @-140.. seems a bit juicy but in my opinion worth the risk. Just as I said previously in the Sociedad game, Austria scoring will have Zenit pushing upfront. And once again, I do not see Austria scoring in this game. Gonna be a 0-1 type game. Zenit scores one, and parks it to save their life.


Napoli vs Arsenal - Wait Half-Time and observe the Borrusia Dortmund vs Marseille game.

Here's the reason why... - Napoli needs to overcome a huge deficit against Arsenal, they need to win at least by 3 goals, so logically Over 3 seems like a decent pick.. but. Benitez himself stated that he's going to check the results of Borrusia game to see what he wants to do during the second half. I know his main goal will be to net an early one in the first half. If Borrusia leads Marseille at half time ( which is very probable ), I'm going to place an (Over for 2nd Half). Borrusia leading is gonna send a message to Napoli that they must now fight to overcome the deficit, opening up the game, Napoli scores.. maybe Arsenal scores.. you know how it is. Marseille leads somehow against Dortmund at half time, Napoli is going to aim for a 1-0 victory, that's going to satisfy Arsenal and Napoli..


Going to post rest of the games tomorrow when the starting 11 are more clear. Interested in the Atletico Madrid game, if they play their B team the game is going under. Although I do not see Porto winning the game.

Marseille v Dortmund is interesting game to see. Marseille playing for pride, but missing Valbuena and Ayew.. as well as Nkoulou and their midfielder.. I don't know how they're going to score here, unless thauvin pulls something off. Dortmunds best form of defence is offense basically since they're missing their key defenders.. This game could go either way. Dortmund doesn't even need to win if Napoli doesn't but they're obviously going to go for it here.. This can either be a 0-2 or 0-3 type game. Best to wait for half-time. Over/Under 3 is screaming push to me.

[new era]

Going Galatasary to win, Dortmund to win and Zenit to win

[new era]

At 5.0x Galatassaray isnt a bad bet at home. Given that cold home field advantage, anything can happen.

[BHS]

Milan - Ajax under.

[edabramov]

Milan - Ajax under.

Milans defense isn't impressive. Ajax will play to win.

[BHS]

Milans defense isn't impressive. Ajax will play to win.

At home, they are good. Milan always perform well at big matches. Don't confuse this match with Livorno or something. It's Milan. They tied 1-1 against Barca at home and they beat Barca 2-0 at home as well.

[edabramov]

At home, they are good. Milan always perform well at big matches. Don't confuse this match with Livorno or something. It's Milan. They tied 1-1 against Barca at home and they beat Barca 2-0 at home as well.

That was last year they were different. They got lots of injuries at the moment. And I do agree that Milan has been impressive enough in the champions league but they're completely over rated by the books. Will Milan concede? In my opinion yes. They will also score, under is dangerous when you got two teams fighting to win. Just remember, if Ajax scores, the under is dead unless they somehow are able to park against Milan infront of home fans. If Milan scores, Ajax opens up more to try to come back, and I wouldn't be surprised if it's 1-1 at Half time. By placing an under wager, you're hoping for a 1-0 victory from Milan, I do not see that happening. Personal opinion, I will wait till half time.

[BHS]

We don't have very important injured players other than Abate. Amelia is injured too but he is reserved goalkeeper anyway. Robinho, Pazzini, Birsa, Niang are not important because they are not 11 players anyway.

Let me tell you how the game is gonna go as a Milan supporter for 29 years

Milan will sit back and wait until Ajax open up. We won't attack simply because Ajax need to score not us. We would be great at counter as Barcelona knows, if we score 1-0 and we'll even defend way more, even if its 1-1, we'll continue defending and it will be over.

If Ajax scores 1-0, we will try to make 1-1 and sit back again.

Only way this game is over, if Milan score 2 in first half or Ajax score 2 goals. That's very unlikely if there is no red card or stupid penalty decisions.

[edabramov]

We don't have very important injured players other than Abate. Amelia is injured too but he is reserved goalkeeper anyway. Robinho, Pazzini, Birsa, Niang are not important because they are not 11 players anyway.

Let me tell you how the game is gonna go as a Milan supporter for 29 years

Milan will sit back and wait until Ajax open up. We won't attack simply because Ajax need to score not us. We would be great at counter as Barcelona knows, if we score 1-0 and we'll even defend way more, even if its 1-1, we'll continue defending and it will be over.

If Ajax scores 1-0, we will try to make 1-1 and sit back again.

Only way this game is over, if Milan score 2 in first half or Ajax score 2 goals. That's very unlikely if there is no red card or stupid penalty decisions.

I think that would be dangerous to sit back on a 1-1. If it's 1-1 at half time I don't imagine how it's going to stay that way. Milan can not sit back on a 1-1 draw in my opinion when there would be that much time left, a simple slip up and they won't advance. I think Milan will look for an early lead to seal the game. I'm waiting for half time but I'm expecting a 1-1 HT.

[edabramov]

Added: Celtic Under 1/2 @-120.


This is a .5 unit play by the way.

[SharkAA]

Imo, you can go either way in Milan-Ajax game. Odds on BTTS are @ 1.72 @ 365 and the over 2.5 is @ 1.80. Milan D is pretty mediocre. They had one of the top 3 CBs and they let him go. Mexes is a fkin joke, Zapata isn't the caliber either. I don't know about Emanuelson and Poli, but they'll certainly concede a goal. On the other hand, Balotelli can score 1 or 2 and he is @ 2.20.

[Giz]

Milan's defense is shocking, Ajax could get 1 or 2 goals here so over seems a good play.

[Bet10Heinekens]

The Zenit under looks solid

[Merkel]

Players can do funny things when they're trying to impress a new coach, I'm gonna wait till in-game betting starts for the Marseille game.

[plekz]

Players can do funny things when they're trying to impress a new coach, I'm gonna wait till in-game betting starts for the Marseille game.

He's not their new coach, he's the clubs sport manager who's stepped in as a 'in case of emergency break glass' type deal and he'll be gone again after christmas they are scouting currently for a permanent fixture coach for the team.

[Merkel]

Ah, I see, I didn't fact check this, just read "new manager" in a preview. Good to know, thanks. Over 2.5 priced @ -200 seems a bit odd under the circumstances though.

[Overbettor]

The squarest of all parlays here..Ml

Borussia
Atl madrid
Barca
Schalke
Chelsea
$100 to win 580 is worth a shot to me!

[Giz]

Ah, I see, I didn't fact check this, just read "new manager" in a preview. Good to know, thanks. Over 2.5 priced @ -200 seems a bit odd under the circumstances though.

Better to check these sort of things in future, this way your picks might stand a chance of making green.

[new era]

pinnacle is offering for today's 8 matches: Home Teams Total Wins -4.5 and Away Teams Total Wins +4.5

Seems to me like I should pound the Away Teams Wins +4.5

[edabramov]

At least I grabbed the Under 3 on Zenit game early enough. Line looks less attractive at this point @-163...

[andy888888]

what did you get it as? managed to lock in at 1.833

[edabramov]

what did you get it as? managed to lock in at 1.833

It's in the post, @-140. That's a good line if you got it on under 3.

[Giz]

i got the under first half after ebra made this thread

[edabramov]

i got the under first half after ebra made this thread

First half? Careful with that, 1 goal and you're pushing.

[Merkel]

Better to check these sort of things in future, this way your picks might stand a chance of making green.

Grow up you sorry weasel. Stop wasting your parents' money, get off the gambling and the porn and for god's sake try and get a job.

[Bet10Heinekens]

Zenit got the 1st goal, hope your theory holds true today

102587024-1 Wednesday 12/11/2013 Total 625.00 500.00
Soccer Live - Fc Zenit St Petersburg/Fk Austria Wien U 2½, 3 -125 for Game
More info

[edabramov]

Zenit got the 1st goal, hope your theory holds true today

102587024-1 Wednesday 12/11/2013 Total 625.00 500.00
Soccer Live - Fc Zenit St Petersburg/Fk Austria Wien U 2½, 3 -125 for Game
More info

Although it's 1-1 at Half Time the bet is not dead yet. Zenit gonna see Porto losing they might just be ok with the draw.

[BHS]

I think that would be dangerous to sit back on a 1-1. If it's 1-1 at half time I don't imagine how it's going to stay that way. Milan can not sit back on a 1-1 draw in my opinion when there would be that much time left, a simple slip up and they won't advance. I think Milan will look for an early lead to seal the game. I'm waiting for half time but I'm expecting a 1-1 HT.

Now do you understand why Milan - Ajax will be under?

I know my team

[Bet10Heinekens]

Although it's 1-1 at Half Time the bet is not dead yet. Zenit gonna see Porto losing they might just be ok with the draw.

I hope so, going to sweat out 45mins of no goal

[edabramov]

Now do you understand why Milan - Ajax will be under?

I know my team

Red card changed the game though.

[Bet10Heinekens]

Now do you understand why Milan - Ajax will be under?

I know my team

I went with under live, Milan will be ok with a draw and advance

[SharkAA]

Poulsen is the most hated man today in San Siro.

[BHS]

Red card changed the game though.

When there was no red card, game was going the way I told you. Milan wasn't attacking.

[edabramov]

When there was no red card, game was going the way I told you. Milan wasn't attacking.

More like miserable attacking. El Sharrawy terrible, Balotelli sloppy. Once again books over rate Milan.


Nothing looking good and 5D took their fkin sweet time to release Dortmund HF I couldn't even refresh before the game kicked off again. Napoli has to go for broke here though, I don't know what they're waiting for.

[edabramov]

Nope, looks like Zenit can't even defend properly. The bet is deff Dead.

3-1