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azsports picks
FIFA U17 World Cup Argentina/Tunisia over 3 (-120) $60 to win $50.
Both teams will want to win this game and both can and will score goals, I don't believe there will be a clean sheet here. In matches played in October, Argentina has 5 of 7 games and Tunisia has 4 of 5 games with 3 or more total goals scored. Only clean sheets in Oct: for Argentina, @ Uzbekistan and last game vs. Canada at home, both by 3-0 scores. For Tunisia, at home vs Russia 1-0.
A goal in 2nd minute, then nothing until Tunisia ties it late first half. Argentina should get at least one in second half.
Thank you Argentina!
Next pick....off the beaten path....Germany Regional Southwest....Koblenz/Ulm over 2-1/2 (-125) $75 to win $60.
Always a little dangerous playing the team at the bottom of the table, but just believe there will be at least 3 goals scored in this game. I think 2-1 is highly probable, but Koblenz capable of scoring more.
Final play of day: Barcelona -1.5 (-115) Celta Vigo $60 to win $52.17
Stats that I'm going on: Celta Vigo has conceded at least one goal in 80% of their home matches. They have failed to score in 60% of their home matches. 67% of their points have been earned away. They have not won in their last 5 home matches and have not scored in their last 3 home matches.
FC Barcelona have won 80% of their away matches. Are undefeated in their last 10 matches. Have not concede any goal in 80% of their away matches. Undefeated in their last 5 away matches. Have not conceded any goals in their last 3 away matches.
I think that Ossuana game is sticking in some people's heads, but I don't think there will be a repeat of that type of performance today. If memory serves me correctly, Messi was either not available for that game, or not 100% physically. Barcelona just defeated RM and I think that will serve as a momentum builder. Because Celta is tough at home, I can't pull the trigger on the over 3.5 total as I think score is going to be 0-2 or 0-3.
Koblenz 2-1 76'....YES!!!!!
Awesome day in soccer, 3-3!! Going to play the WALLCO99 NHL bet tonight and that will be it for today.....and just a note....if you bet NHL or want to bet NHL, this guys system is pretty solid. I started playing on Oct 24, and system bets are 7 of 8. You sometimes have to lay a lot of juice on the + puckline, but a win is a win!
Cheers all!
Good start. I'm assuming you mean 3 out of 3 when you typed that?Originally Posted by azsportswin
3-0 record win/loss
YUP...that's what I meant....thanks for pointing that out....will get that right going forward!
In play....Shinnik/Spartak Moscow over 2 (-125)....small bet $32 to win $25.60. I can see this a 2-1 game, but it is Russia, so 0-0 is just as possible. Tyumen is 2-0 over Zenit at HT, but I have to believe Zenit playing subs....Premier League and CL have to be their top priority.
I'm on Spartak to win, they are demolishing the home team atm. Hoping for goals to drop (on the right side of course). BOL!
Noon ET: Czech Cup - V Jihlava/Olomouc over 2.5 (-120) $60 to win $50. Cup is only chance for glory for these two teams, so believe both will score and game will end over 2.5 goals.
75% of Jihlava 's matches have been over 2.5 goals this season. They have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their home matches and have scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches. 91% of Jihlava 's points have been earned at home.
75% of Sigma Olomouc's matches have been over 2.5 goals scored this season. They have scored at least one goal in 83% of their away matches and they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 away matches.
0-0 HT...figures....it's friggin Russia! I'm all for Spartak getting 3 in second half!!
Will go for over 2 on the Jihlava pick, I like it
Well, had such a good day yesterday, today could get ugly. Jihlava beat Olomouc 4-0 away beginning of the month, so it only figures that they are 0-0 HT today. And I need to stay disciplined....I said yesterday I gave up betting Russia games, but then put on that small be on Spartak O2 because it just looked like a good bet....that game is about to end 0-1.
Gotta keep trying, so next pick is Poland Eks match Korona Kliece/Ruch Chorzow over 2.5 (+110). $50 to win $55
Korona averages 2 goals scored and almost 2 goals conceded for home games with 67% of home games over 2.5. Ruch averages scoring 1 goal while conceding 1.67 goals in road games. Like the +110.
6 team M/L parlay for fun $25 to win $159.27: Juventus/Real Madrid/Tottenham/Man City/Verona/Valencia.
Don't beat yourself up man, bet cool, calm and collected, take what you know and use it, just because you had a good day yesterday doesn't mean you will have a bad one today, stay away from superstitious thinking.
Amazing, Korona and Ruch each score a goal on their first shots. And, oh yeah, that Czech game, still 0-0 in 70'.
Romania Cup Steaua Bucuresti/ACS Poli over 2.5 (-120) $60 for $50.
100% of Steaua's home games over 2.5 so far this season. This is a cup game, not sure that will make a difference, if Steaua plays, see them winning 3-0 or 3-1.
And going off the beaten path again with another Germany Regional game.....SC Wiedenbruck/Bayer Leverkusen II over 2.5 (-135). $75 to win $55.56. Average total # of goals for Wiedinbruck home games is 4, expect both teams to score in this game.
Czech game finished 0-0, but Poland game is already over at HT
, so hopefully building momentum for rest of day!
In play Valencia/Almeria over 2.5 (-115) $60 to win $52.17
In play...Man City M/L (+130) $50 to win $65....GO CITY
Real Madrid seems to be a consistent slow starter. In away games, Seville scores 50% of their goals in 1st half and concede only 22%. In home games, RM have conceded 3 goals in the 1st 15 min. I'm going to try a small bet.......Seville 1st Half +1 (-140) $35 to win $25.
Well, City not be able to score a goal and the REAL Real Madrid showed up in top form until Seville scores 2 quick goals and I push 1H bet....wow 5 goals in 1st half!
Maybe this keeps going in 2nd half...what the heck...RM/Seville over 7.5 (+130) $50 to win $65.....it will be fun to see what happens!!
5-3 and it's only the 63'....bovada can't keep up posting the "who will score _th goal" bets!! This is silly soccer, just glad I could make a little money on it. Here we go, team to score 9th goal Seville (+250) $40 to win $100!!!!
Rats....RM got the 9th.....time to move on.
And a missed penalty that would have made it 10, this is wild. 18 min left, I don't see the scoring being over...
Not a lot of conviction with most of today's games. Going to try 2 small plays on games starting in about 30 min:
Greek Super League: Atromitos Athens -1 (EVEN) Panetolikos $30 to win $30. Atromitos solid at home, Panetolikos struggles to score goals on the road. Hoping for a 2-0 outcome.
Romania Liga 1: Petrolul/ACS over 2.5 (-115) $35 to win $30.43. Can see Petrolul getting 3 goals on there own, think the over is a lock if ACS scores 1.
Petrolul and Atromitos both appear to be dominating play but can't put the ball in the net.....it's Monday in soccer!!
Next plays:
Poland Ekstra league: Pod Bielsko pick (+165) $30 to win $49.50. This is a 'desperate bottom of league table home team' play. Considered playing Universitatea Cluj for same reason in earlier Romania game, but couldn't pull the trigger.
Germany 2: Koln/Union Berlin draw (+260) $30 to win $78 and under 2-1/2 (-125) $30 to win $24. Seems to be best plays for these 2 low scoring teams, but then again, it's Monday, so we'll see.
Final stats: Petrolul 25 total shots, 12 on goal/Poli Timisoara 2 total shots, 0 on goal. Final score 0-0
Bologna/Chievo over 2.5 (+135) $30 to win $40.50. Bologna may be without 2 defenders due to injury and they usually concede goals at home anyway, but outscore opponents. 80% of home games go over 2.5 goals.
Clearly fade whatever I do today
Bologna/chievo over .5 (+300) $25 to win $75 at the 84' mark.....can I have just a little luck today??????
Apparently not...UGH!
Need to shake off yesterday's results and get right back into the game. Won both hockey games last night, so need to build off that momentum.
Slovacia Cup: Zlate/Senica over 2.5 (-110) $55 to win $50. Senica won last cup meeting between these two 3-0 at their place. It's Zlate's turn, believe both teams will score and we'll see 2-1 FT.
FIFA U17 WC: Sweden/Nigeria over 2.5 (-125) $60 to win $48. Nigeria a scoring machine. Last time these two teams played was 3-3 draw and game was in Sweden. Again, think both teams will score and should see at least 3 goals total.
Czech Cup Sparta Prague -1.5 (-140) Znojmo $70 to win $50 - Sparta just too tough at home.
Poland Ekstra Ruch Chorzow/Zaw Bydg over 2.5 (-105) $55 to win $52.38. Because over's have been working in these league (11 out of last 14 games).....keep doing it till it doesn't work any more.
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