I'm gonna post the games that I'm planning to bet on, I'm gonna observe the lines for a bit and see if anything gets better. Any comments or useful suggestions welcome. Feel free to tell me what you're on.
Italy vs Armenia - Armenia + 1.5 Currently @-119..
Armenia will fight to death in this game, they need a win in order to have a chance at qualifying for the world cup whereas Italy has basically nothing to fight for. I know for sure that Armenia will not qualify because Denmark is playing Malta.. which is an (almost) guaranteed 2nd place for Denmark. Italy didn't impress too much against Denmark getting a draw away.. but then they played some fresh faces to give them some playtime.. This will be an experiment match for Italy but at the same time I do not believe Italy will allow a defeat since It's going to be a mental let down ahead of the World Cup to lose at home to the likes of Armenia.. Italy are undefeated at home so I'm hoping for a draw, but to be safe I'm considering +1.5..
Azerbaijan vs Russia - Russia - 1.5 @+109 or Under 2.5 @-110.
All Russia needs is a draw or a win, last time Russia played this opponent they've won 1-0.. which makes me hesitant to bet on spreads especially with Russia since they fuked me last time with Northern Ireland.. I can see this being a 0-1 game where Russia nets an early one in and sits back on it.. but then Russians are unpredictable as hell.. I'm looking to some comments on this game because I'm hesitant on Russians, I'd probably put this in a parlay though, although it's not a must win for Russia they will be looking to do so.
Lithuania vs Bosnia - Bosnia Win @-338
I'm never comfortable laying this much juice ( I don't think I ever did expect once on Bayern Munich ) but any slip up from Bosnia will allow Greece to advance and will force Bosnia to go through play offs. The Greek are guaranteed a win because they're facing Lichtenstein a team with 2 draws and 7 losses. So this is a must win for Bosnia who are in a superb (away) form so the least.. without a loss for 7 games. Lithuanias home form isn't the worst but they shouldn't be trouble for a team like Bosnia.. ( Bosnia+Greece+Portugal+Russia+Denmark parlay is something to look at )
San Mariano vs Ukraine - Over 5.5 @+105 (Average)
Ukraine will not hold back, San Marinos defense is pretty self explanatory according it's results.. Last meeting the result was 9-0.. I'm looking at this as a gift pretty much, every game except Moldova.. ended as an over 5.5 result.. decide for your self, not much to say.