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One soccer pick for Wednesday
Italy:Udinese +140
Udinese hosts Roma. Udinese lost their L3 while Roma lost their L2 league games. So we have 2 teams seeking redemption. At home, Udinese has scored 10 and conceded 7 while Roma has scored 9 and conceded 10 on the road. We can then conclude that, on the average, Udinese is outscoring its opponents at home while Roma is being outscored on the road. And that's exactly what one looks forward to in this game - for Roma to be outscored.
For starters, Roma has only one road win and that was against basement dwellers, Siena, which has 6 losses in 9 games. So one's resolve to play Udinese isn't threatened at all by Roma's road record, more so that Udinese has a 3-1-1 home record. At home, Udinese has beaten the likes of Genoa and AC Milan, both of which currently sit far above Roma in the standings.
This game won't be as difficult for Udinese as the line may suggest. We're getting this generous line on Udinese because Roma is still considered in some quarters as an elite team. But we know the truth. Roma is currently a ghost of its past. To compound matters, Roma will go into this game offensively shorthanded as they'll be without their inspirational skipper, Totti, who is a huge part of their offense. In this game, Udinese has both the offensive and defensive edge over Roma. And if you add home advantage to that, then Udinese is an easy play.
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Originally Posted by smitch124
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