1. 08-05-13 06:01 AM #36
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
    swordsandtequila's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 9,766
    Betpoints: 6482

    Off day today for Bund 2, DFB Pokal games taking place. Next week!
    Points Awarded:

    zizoudane10 gave swordsandtequila 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 08-11-13 04:51 PM #37
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern, x@3.41 (Pinnacle) 1 unit

    under 2.5 @1.92 (marathonbet) 1 unit
    Last edited by zizoudane10; 08-11-13 at 04:53 PM. Reason: typo
    Points Awarded:

    RubberKettle gave zizoudane10 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 08-12-13 07:31 AM #38
    oldscho0led
    home dogs
    oldscho0led's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-11
    Posts: 1,407
    Betpoints: 5503

    Quote Originally Posted by zizoudane10 View Post
    Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern, x@3.41 (Pinnacle) 1 unit

    under 2.5 @1.92 (marathonbet) 1 unit
    Locked this one in.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 08-12-13 07:43 AM #39
    RubberKettle
    RubberKettle's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-28-09
    Posts: 6,421
    Betpoints: 791

    Greuther Furth
    		 -
    Kaiserslautern
    Draw large bet
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 08-12-13 08:08 AM #40
    DarkNite
    DarkNite's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-09
    Posts: 5,023
    Betpoints: 60

    I wonder if the trick X and Under will work today, because X and Under is pub play.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 08-13-13 12:21 AM #41
    DarkNite
    DarkNite's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-09
    Posts: 5,023
    Betpoints: 60

    Quote Originally Posted by DarkNite View Post
    I wonder if the trick X and Under will work today, because X and Under is pub play.
    When the pub play is huge, try to avoid it!!! I have learned a lo of lessons so far.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 08-13-13 02:41 AM #42
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Quote Originally Posted by zizoudane10 View Post
    Greuther Fürth - Kaiserslautern, x@3.41 (Pinnacle) 1 unit

    under 2.5 @1.92 (marathonbet) 1 unit
    2:1 FT, -2 units
    I didn't have time to watch the game live yesterday, watched the recap this morning. Totally a 50:50 match. Both with big chances, could have ended 2:2/1:1 as well. (X was a great bet here that I would have made even without playing every monday draw).
    On to the next one

    Record:

    1 draw - 2 loss, +0.46 units

    2 under - 1 loss, +0.82 units
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 08-13-13 06:52 AM #43
    oldscho0led
    home dogs
    oldscho0led's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-18-11
    Posts: 1,407
    Betpoints: 5503

    Quote Originally Posted by zizoudane10 View Post
    2:1 FT, -2 units
    I didn't have time to watch the game live yesterday, watched the recap this morning. Totally a 50:50 match. Both with big chances, could have ended 2:2/1:1 as well. (X was a great bet here that I would have made even without playing every monday draw).
    On to the next one

    Record:

    1 draw - 2 loss, +0.46 units

    2 under - 1 loss, +0.82 units
    No problem pal. Thought it was 50:50 also. Honestly think it will end at 1-1 after the half goin scoreless in the 2nd half. Well, onto the next one.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 08-13-13 07:25 AM #44
    burkestar
    burkestar's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-02-13
    Posts: 276
    Betpoints: 3462

    hey can someone answer this for me, and AH of (0, +0.5) results in a win if there is a draw correct?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 08-13-13 07:31 AM #45
    onemoregoal
    twentysixblack
    onemoregoal's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-04-13
    Posts: 8,149
    Betpoints: 1

    Quote Originally Posted by burkestar View Post
    hey can someone answer this for me, and AH of (0, +0.5) results in a win if there is a draw correct?
    Half win, yeah.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 08-19-13 06:14 AM #46
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
    swordsandtequila's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 9,766
    Betpoints: 6482

    Don't forget, draw Monday:

    Fortuna Duesseldorf (GER-2) vs Union Berlin (GER-2) +239

    Line from 5Dimes
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 08-19-13 07:06 AM #47
    ghislaine
    ghislaine's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-14-10
    Posts: 1,131
    Betpoints: 1281

    Under ? On the draw !!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 08-19-13 08:00 AM #48
    yogohama
    yogohama's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-04-10
    Posts: 1,207
    Betpoints: 1370

    In all 3 Season games, Düsseldorf shot one goal.

    Düsseldorf hasnt won a single game in its last 17 games on the road (14 in Bundesliga, two DFB-Pokal, one in 2. Liga).




    16 Meetings between Union Berlin and Düsseldorf since 2000 , in none of these matches were more goals shot than 3.


    The "Standard result" between these two teams is 1:0
    In 8 auf the last 11 meetings between these to teams, exactly one goal was shot! (six times 1:0 for Union Berlin).
    bundesliga.de


    Pretty interesting if you ask me...
    The under should be a shot...
    Why are the odds for Union so high?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 08-19-13 08:42 AM #49
    DarkNite
    DarkNite's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-09
    Posts: 5,023
    Betpoints: 60

    According to the lines, this game will be real X//0-0 or 1-1.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 08-19-13 02:00 PM #50
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Gettin dirty now, 4 yellows in space of 5 minutes. Union taken deserved lead...have had 4 shots on target compared to Dusseldorf's 1 and 7 shots off target
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 08-19-13 02:39 PM #51
    yogohama
    yogohama's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-04-10
    Posts: 1,207
    Betpoints: 1370

    And its over
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 08-19-13 02:59 PM #52
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    this might hit now! Union are just sitting back and letting dusseldorf attack
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 08-19-13 03:05 PM #53
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Amazing save by Union keeper in 91st min to keep out free header from 3 yards out. That was your chance fellas
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 08-19-13 03:05 PM #54
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    freekick in 92nd min for dusseldorf...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 08-19-13 03:06 PM #55
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    keeper went up! foul on union keeper tho
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 08-26-13 07:05 AM #56
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
    swordsandtequila's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 9,766
    Betpoints: 6482

    Todays Bund2 game - St. Pauli/Dresden +264
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 08-26-13 08:03 PM #57
    boss_of_um
    boss_of_um's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-11
    Posts: 1,092
    Betpoints: 14883

    Killer loss on this one. 88th minute goal to finish 2-1.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 08-27-13 04:14 AM #58
    TheSportsAnalyst
    TheSportsAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 1,156
    Betpoints: 66

    I've made a deeper research, fascinated by this theory (which I remember from last year thread).

    All odds are based on OPENING lines from Pinny/SBO/Dafa (whichever is greater).
    That means if you were able to beat the opening line taking a better price the profit would have been better.
    Why the opening line? Because since it's a system you could play any game in advance (without looking at anything else) just when the line came out.

    2013/2014 (5 games)
    Draw: 1 Win (20.00%) -1.55u
    Under: 2 Wins (40.00%) -1.13u

    2012/2013 (27 games, playoff excluded. Do not know why you guys ended up with 26, probably missed the 27th. )
    Draw: 14 Wins (51.85%) +24.64u
    Under: 15 Wins (55.56%) +1.37u

    2011/2012 (29 games)
    Draw: 12 Wins (41.38%) +14.28u
    Under: 19 Wins (65.52%) +9.61u

    It makes +37.37u for the draw in the last 61 games.

    2010/2011 and 2008/2009 combined shown a loss of less than 3.5u whilst the worst year in recent past (2009/2010) closed down by 13u.
    2007/2008 was another great year with a profit not far from 20u.

    In the last 6 years and counting (175 games played) playing blindly the draw on Monday Night game from B2 we've got about 40u of profit for a +22.50% yield.
    Not sure about the under since I backtested just 61 games (+9.85u).

    It has to be said, anyway, that between 2008 and 2011 the system closed in red for three straight seasons.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 09-02-13 06:28 AM #59
    TheSportsAnalyst
    TheSportsAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 1,156
    Betpoints: 66

    K'lautern - Cottbus.

    Draw @3.86 on Pinny.
    Under 2.5 @1.90 (StanJames) or 1.88 on Pinny/asians.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 09-02-13 07:54 AM #60
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Kaiser and Cottbus both been in goalfests so far, 3 goals per game average. And only 1 out of last 7 meeting has had less than 3 goals...Iddrissou will be suspended for Kaiser though so that could make a difference, nontheless, Im staying away!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 09-02-13 10:49 AM #61
    canadabetting
    canadabetting's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-13
    Posts: 308
    Betpoints: 541

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    Kaiser and Cottbus both been in goalfests so far, 3 goals per game average. And only 1 out of last 7 meeting has had less than 3 goals...Iddrissou will be suspended for Kaiser though so that could make a difference, nontheless, Im staying away!
    your staying away but i took the over
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 09-02-13 11:19 AM #62
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    Quote Originally Posted by canadabetting View Post
    your staying away but i took the over
    If Idrissou was available i'd probably played to Over too, or the Over 1 1st half
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 09-02-13 01:13 PM #63
    canadabetting
    canadabetting's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-13
    Posts: 308
    Betpoints: 541

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    If Idrissou was available i'd probably played to Over too, or the Over 1 1st half
    lol ya i know nothing about these teams but I just like what you said about the avg 3 goals per game or whatever
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 09-02-13 02:04 PM #64
    Vaughany
    Jibbbeh is my idol.
    Vaughany's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-07-10
    Posts: 45,563
    Betpoints: 8647

    well should of gone with the Over! good play canadabetting! my decision making is horrible at the moment
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 09-02-13 02:12 PM #65
    canadabetting
    canadabetting's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-13
    Posts: 308
    Betpoints: 541

    Quote Originally Posted by Vaughany View Post
    well should of gone with the Over! good play canadabetting! my decision making is horrible at the moment
    Well you know what they say...go against your gut feeling..... I appreciate the tip though! thank you!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 09-02-13 05:42 PM #66
    TheSportsAnalyst
    TheSportsAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 1,156
    Betpoints: 66

    Draw cashed in.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 09-16-13 07:25 AM #67
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
    swordsandtequila's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 9,766
    Betpoints: 6482

    Energie Cottbus/Koln +238

    Today's match looks like a good draw candidate, played half unit. Good luck.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 09-16-13 02:52 PM #68
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
    swordsandtequila's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 9,766
    Betpoints: 6482

    Or maybe not
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 09-23-13 11:08 AM #69
    TheSportsAnalyst
    TheSportsAnalyst's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-12-11
    Posts: 1,156
    Betpoints: 66

    So far this year

    Draws: 2W - 5L (28.57%) +0.36u
    Under: 2W - 5L (28.57%) -3.13u

    well below the average of the last 63 games (44.44% for the draw and 57.14% for the under).


    Tonight we'll have

    St. Pauli v Dusseldorf

    Draw on Pinny priced +262 ATM
    Under is @+115
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 09-23-13 04:02 PM #70
    BrianKay
    BrianKay's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-20-12
    Posts: 203
    Betpoints: 0

    Damn...the day I decide to play St Pauli on the side, is the day the Draw hits! You can all thank me, because I affect outcomes.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
First 123 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Soccer Betting | Next Thread »