[COLLEGEBALLGURU]

can't believe no thread yet!

Bayern -.5/-1
Total is 2.5/3

who you got? it is the year of the under dogs but screw that
I'm pounding Bayern and the over , also like Both teams to score

[FootballAlchemy]

I have Bayern as favourites with 51% chance of victory (over 90 minutes), with Draw @ 29% & Dortmund @ 20%

In terms of value, over 2.5 goals looks good at ~1.8

[onemoregoal]

If I played, I think there is value on Bayern Munich to score both halves @ 2.60ish.
You would imagine they go for an early goal and I really cant see them just sitting on it, Dortmund wont let them!
2-1 ish Bayern, but maybe Im being "square".

[Akatana]

Although final's are final's and bla bla bla,( I also see value on the over 2.5(well personally i wouldn't go as far as calling this value, rather something that is extremely likely to happen considering the style and the consistency of the styles of both teams and the similarities of both the teams style's and on top of that the occasion. These are fiery teams, the top 2 explosive side's in Europe! they are not teams that favor boring position play and they both have the biggest Attacking/Counter-Attacking/pressing/direct playing qualities in Europe and unless they are on crack which hopefully they will not be, they will -go all in- in this final and the chance's of seeing 3 or more goals in this match is more than probable, this is what i am considering. I'm still shopping around, but will bet it soon though no doubt.

[bing]

I´m with Bayern ML @1,75

but if you look at their recent matches Draw seems to be the best play...hope not...Bayern is so much better and they should win this match under 90 minutes!!! GO BAYERN!!!

[camelbreath$]

OVER 2.5 huge play

[easyliving]

the value is with Dortmund to lift the cup. you never know which way finals will go.

for those of you betting the over especially at 2.75 the odds are too short and finals in general tend to be low scoring. I would recommend BTS instead of the over if your gonna bet on goals.

[Akatana]

the value is with Dortmund to lift the cup. you never know which way finals will go.

for those of you betting the over especially at 2.75 the odds are too short and finals in general tend to be low scoring. I would recommend BTS instead of the over if your gonna bet on goals.

Agreed, odds for Dortmund to lift the cup is around 2/1 now that is value considering that Dortmund is not as much a dog as everyone believes, even without Gotze. They are indeed very solid and can create surprises with this being the final. My personal play though is over 2.5 going big on that, it's a fair shot to make.

[vasilli07]

I'm going big on Bayern. Surely they can't lose 3 times in a row in a CL finals?

If they can't win it this season with such a strong team, they will never win it ever again.

[Akatana]

I'm going big on Bayern. Surely they can't lose 3 times in a row in a CL finals?

If they can't win it this season with such a strong team, they will never win it ever again.

I think saying that if they don't win it this time around, "they will never win it ever again" is a bit of an exaggeration lol

[vasilli07]

I think saying that if they don't win it this time around, "they will never win it ever again" is a bit of an exaggeration lol

I don't think so since this is probably 1 of their best and most dominant team in history. I know the core of the team are still going to be together next season but with a new coach with new ideas, who knows what will happen?

[zizoudane10]

A CL-Final definitely is a no bet for me. 100%
But I'm rooting for Bayern

[huakhainguyen]

Bayern ATS and Over.

[DarkNite]

I have learned my lesson. Still remember Real Madrid and Over, to win Copa del Rey, and ManCity to win FA cup in England.
Red Carddddddddddddddddddd.
Whistleeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee.
When Bayern Munich plays against Dortmund, it's draw 1-1, 0-0.
But in this match up, I think Bayern to win in reg. time by the score of 1-0, 2-0. I like Over but .......then I will have to go with what I like.

[Sport_Fish]

BTTS @ only -138

Trap of the year, or easiest bet ever. I like my chances with the latter. Each team is good enough to manufacture a goal in 90 mins.

[oldscho0led]

I like under 2.5 on this one

[Sawyer]

*In last 20 Champions League Finals, both teams scored only %55.
*Since 2002, Favourite managed win only %54 in 90 minutes. When extra time and penalties added, it increases to %72.

I see a nice value on Draw here. When two big offensive juggernaughts clash, these kind of meetings can result with very dull, low scoring games. My call is Draw after 90 minutes..probably 1-1 score. Odds are great!

[Sawyer]

In Final games, nobody bets on draw. Everybody fancy a side to win. Why? Because draw is a very boooring bet. Nobody bets draw. So? You can find a great value on draw. 1-1 is the call!

[Akatana]

*In last 20 Champions League Finals, both teams scored only %55.
*Since 2002, Favourite managed win only %54 in 90 minutes. When extra time and penalties added, it increases to %72.

I see a nice value on Draw here. When two big offensive juggernaughts clash, these kind of meetings can result with very dull, low scoring games. My call is Draw after 90 minutes..probably 1-1 score. Odds are great!

Good post, very true, good stats. I completely agree, however i have a feeling the over 2.5 in this meeting might hit, but we'll see tonight.

[TwoWays]

There's going to be a landslide of bets on Bayern and the over, not a good feeling. Didn't they draw both times in league play?

[Sawyer]

There's going to be a landslide of bets on Bayern and the over, not a good feeling. Didn't they draw both times in league play?

Yeah. Both games ended 1-1.

Public pounding Bayern like crazy! Bayern odds dropped to 1.73 from 1.80. Then raised a little bit thru 1.82. Now below 1.80 again.

Without doubt, big money on over & bayern. Books will make a killing in case of a 1-1 score You know which side i'm on

[hotelis]

yeah it is hard to imagine that books will be having a bad day on the CL final.

[Akatana]

Yeah, especially with so many different viewpoints lol everyone thinks something different about this game lol surely the books are gonna cash

[vasilli07]

There's going to be a landslide of bets on Bayern and the over, not a good feeling. Didn't they draw both times in league play?

But in both cup competition they played this season, Bayern won.

[camelbreath$]

Normally I would think 1-1 or 1-0... But Bayern will not risk the heartbreak of past years by playing for a low scoring match or risk having the match end in penalties like vs. Chelsea... remember that many of these are the same players who were crying on the pitch when Drogba daggered them!! They will attack with fury and Dortmund will counterattack with Reus and Lewandowski on the break... we shall see 4 goals in regulation!!

[SportJoker]

I have Bayern as favourites with 51% chance of victory (over 90 minutes), with Draw @ 29% & Dortmund @ 20%

In terms of value, over 2.5 goals looks good at ~1.8

Hi,

How did you find those percentage? Only 51% for Bayern, I thought it would be more. Their offensive and defensive efficiencies are better than Dortmund!

[camelbreath$]

Hi,

How did you find those percentage? Only 51% for Bayern, I thought it would be more. Their offensive and defensive efficiencies are better than Dortmund!

Not certain, but I think 51% is to win in 90 minutes, and around 68% to claim the trophy (includes ET and PK's)

[eXon]

Over 2,5 for me, going big on that one, hoping for a hell of a game with loads of goals! Good luck!

[loodachris99]

I have Dortmund + 400 1st half with my local... Worth it to take a flyer on that for a small amount? Or just throwing away money?

[hotelis]

bayern o1.5 goals is my play

[lucasdawg]

i went bayern ML and bayern 3-0

[SportJoker]

Thks!

how do you find those percentage? models?

I'm trying to build some on parlayz.com so if you can help me!

[swordsandtequila]

Played over 2.5 and btts last week. No Chelsea this year, neither team is going to sit back and hope to get lucky, especially Bayern. Be very surprised if we don't see at least 3 goals. My two cents (and that's about what it's worth ).

[DarkNite]

UEFA Champions League

25.May 13:45:00

Dortmund

4.3 4.8

4 4.1

1.93 1.81

B Munich

€ 6.567M

[DarkNite]

2:45pm odds bet

11108 11107

10

Borussia Dortmund Bayern Munchen Draw

99 548

15% 85%

216 723 102

21% 69% 10%

O 344 U 55

86% 14%

	(11107) Bayern Munchen	(11108) Borussia Dortmund
ATS	-0.5 (-130) [Open: -0.5 (-101) ]	+0.5 (+120) [Open: +0.5 (-105) ]
Total	O 2.5 (-125) [Open: O 2.5 (-115) ]	U 2.5 (+110) [Open: U 2.5 (+105) ]
Moneyline	-135 [Open: -101]	+365 [Open: +310]
Draw	+300 [Open: +265]

Be the judge!
If Dortmund wins, bookies win. If Bayern wins, bookies lose.