1. #1
    andy888888
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    Portugese football tip

    Does anyone else notice how teams like benfica and porto always trail the game to begin with? saw benfica trail 1-0 to draw at the 90th min and porto trailing 1-0 at the moment too.

    I've noticed it a lot this season so my tip is from now on always bet on the underdog to score first, or if you're feeling lucky and for more value bet on the underdog to be leading at half time. then always bet on the favourites to at least tie the game towards the end
    Last edited by andy888888; 12-30-12 at 12:38 PM.

  2. #2
    hugh613
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    I notice that in the Netherlands a lot as well where Ajax or PSV will go on the road against some bottom team and fall behind early. Everyone starts flipping out, and then they end up winning by four or five goals in the second half.

    I guess it's just a lack of motivation at the start, then the underdog playing scared the rest of the game.

  3. #3
    andy888888
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    Quote Originally Posted by hugh613 View Post
    I notice that in the Netherlands a lot as well where Ajax or PSV will go on the road against some bottom team and fall behind early. Everyone starts flipping out, and then they end up winning by four or five goals in the second half.

    I guess it's just a lack of motivation at the start, then the underdog playing scared the rest of the game.
    yeah i seen that sometimes, but more commonly with benfica and porto

    i bet on estoril to score first at 3/1 and surprise surprise it pulled off

    call me sceptical but it sounds fixed rather than motivation i can understand if it happens here and there but its a constant pattern

  4. #4
    hugh613
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    I don't know, I just think a lot of the times teams just alter their game plan too early - take the lead against Benfica or Porto, and instead of continuing to attack, they just drop back into coverage hoping to survive for the next 60 minutes or whatever. Usually a recipe for disaster...

    On another note, I have Porto -1.5, so they better turn it on in the 2H.

  5. #5
    andy888888
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    i never play the handicap in portugese football for these come back reasons alone

  6. #6
    Gndias
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    do you guys know they usually don't care about this cup?

  7. #7
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by andy888888 View Post
    Does anyone else notice how teams like benfica and porto always trail the game to begin with? saw benfica trail 1-0 to draw at the 90th min and porto trailing 1-0 at the moment too.

    I've noticed it a lot this season so my tip is from now on always bet on the underdog to score first, or if you're feeling lucky and for more value bet on the underdog to be leading at half time. then always bet on the favourites to at least tie the game towards the end
    yeah tht's the fourth game in a row where Benfica conceded first then came back to draw or win. Though before that it only happened twice earlier in season in October against Beira Mar and Pacos.

    With Porto theyve come back from a goal down on three occasions...against Estoril twice now and Olhanense earlier in season

  8. #8
    bolek
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    2-1 estotil
    What's the live play?

  9. #9
    Gndias
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    good game....both teams can score again!!!

  10. #10
    bolek
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    Will stay away than, was eager to do some live betting.....lol
    Cheers

  11. #11
    Gndias
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    i am tempted on the draw...but no big team in Portugal cares about this cup!! they put the reserves out....still porto playing with a lot of starting players

  12. #12
    andy888888
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    going with the draw just like benfica and it will be scored in the final 5 minutes i garantee it!

  13. #13
    andy888888
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gndias View Post
    do you guys know they usually don't care about this cup?
    not just in the cup but i've seen it a lot in the league

  14. #14
    bolek
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    Quote Originally Posted by andy888888 View Post
    going with the draw just like benfica and it will be scored in the final 5 minutes i garantee it!
    So true
    Gl

  15. #15
    bolek
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    If I play draw than it won't hit so staying away.....
    Gl
    Davos is up need one more from them....and I go 6-0 for the day

  16. #16
    Gndias
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    2-2

  17. #17
    andy888888
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    HAHAHAHA what did i say? last 5 mins a draw? 88th mins good thing i know how fixed these games are

  18. #18
    andy888888
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    and they say the Italian league is fixed... only this is a on going pattern with Portugese football, especially amongst the big 2

  19. #19
    bolek
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    Lol nice hit

  20. #20
    andy888888
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    Quote Originally Posted by bolek View Post
    Lol nice hit
    and i had estoril to score the first goal, that hit too. surprise surprise!

  21. #21
    andy888888
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    wham! f/t 2-2 damn this is like that scene in the movie the truman show where truman shows his wife in the rear mirror a pattern of events that are happening in the street behind.

  22. #22
    Gndias
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    fixed? lololol

  23. #23
    andy888888
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    Quote Originally Posted by Gndias View Post
    fixed? lololol
    its a regular pattern, it can't just be coincidence, as i've said i've seen it all season in the league never mind just the cup. i garantee you next time you see Porto or Benfica play one of the smaller sides, bet on the crap team to score first and watch benfica or Porto come back to at least tie the game or win it towards the end. it's just like Russian football

  24. #24
    bolek
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    Andy keep us posted on your next play before game time!!!
    Cheers

  25. #25
    andy888888
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    i was out at the time i saw the benfica game and did the bet on my phone on estoril to score first, wasn't till i got home and made this post that porto were still trailing

  26. #26
    Gndias
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    regular? lol only the last 4 games for benfica...how many matches have they played? where is the same pattern for porto? lolol you had 2 major hits...but don't call it a pattern or a fix man lol

  27. #27
    andy888888
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    i would hardly call it coincidence neither. look either way it was predictable, i even said they would score in the last 5 minutes of the game, a team like Porto and Benfica have enough quality to score at any moment, so why always in the last 5 minutes? it was too predictable and free money if you ask me, i believe its a fix and im sure this will happen again in the future. If you ever watch the Big Russian sides especially Anji and Zenit the same sh*t happens there too, there was even a post about it regarding an Anji game about a month or 2 ago, and i saw the winning goal for anji and it was so comical and fixed i couldn't believe what i saw.

  28. #28
    Dopenose
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    It has happend a few times with benfica this season, inplay bet on DNB on Benfica when they are 0 -1 usually pays off.

  29. #29
    Vaughany
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dopenose View Post
    It has happend a few times with benfica this season, inplay bet on DNB on Benfica when they are 0 -1 usually pays off.
    you are never gonna get DNB on Benfica live-in-play agains teams like Estoril or Rio Ave!

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