[KATCHASE]

Hey, good job! which books do you use? have a nice day!

I mainly use Bwin and MyBet. All the games I post can be found at either one, or both, of these books.

[southpaw74]

What type of winning percentage do you need to have to make money paying all that juice? Like 80%?

[KATCHASE]

Record To Date:
41-20 (67.2%) +$398...All posted plays
9-1 (90%) +$524...Strictly System plays only since Monday, Nov 12/2012
2-1 -$96...Last day: Mon, Nov 19/12


Monday, November 19 Results:
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
Ajman Vs. Al Shaab - Over 2.5 @ 1.3 ($200 to win $60) WIN
CZECH REPUBLIC YOUTH LEAGUE
Liberec U21 Vs. Slovacko U21 - Over 2.5 @ 1.22 ($200 to win $44) WIN
Plzen U21 Vs. Teplice U21 - Over 2.5 @ 1.34 ($200 to win $68) LOSE

[16johnnymac]

Katchase I have been watching your plays I would like to tell great job! I wanted to make a few soccer wagers today but my offshore account only has Champions league this am can you give me any plays for the league I will give points and give pts for winning.

Thank you

Johnny Mac

[KATCHASE]

What type of winning percentage do you need to have to make money paying all that juice? Like 80%?

Yes, a very high win percentage is needed to be profitable...but everyday I'm becoming more and more confident that my "system plays" can maintain an amazingly high win rate and earn a steady profit even with the higher juice games.


I understand that my plays won't be for everybody because of the high juice, but I'm the type of person who likes to earn a profit winning most of my games, not just 55-60% of them.


My system is just a different way of doing things. I know that people can be profitable with a much lower win rate by playing lower juice games, but I expect a very high win rate and am therefore willing to risk my flat bets on higher juice games. My system is also based purely on stats which eliminates subjectivity and will hopefully lend itself to future stability and longevity...but obviously only if the win rate/profit proves it can outrun the high juice losses. (So far, so good.)


And hence the purpose of this thread. This system is my experiment and this thread is my record...so please tail at your own risk.


I am being 100% honest when I say that my un-posted record for my "system plays" since October 18th is 40-5 ( 88.9% win rate) and +$2,418 (using $200 flat bets).

The plays I've been posting since November 12 have been my "system plays" only, and the posted record for these plays is 9-1 (90% win rate) +$524 (using $200 flat bets).

Past performance doesn't always guarantee future results, but I'm hoping to be close. So, here's to hoping for the best!

[16johnnymac]

thankyou very much any play for afternoon?

Thanks

[southpaw74]

Thanks for replying. I wasn't necessarily criticizing...just commenting for those who may not realize how much you are moving the real lines. I use books like 5dimes and dsi so I can't move those soccer totals that much. If the books you use let you do it and you can profit then that's great. Good luck with your system and thanks for sharing!

[KATCHASE]

thankyou very much any play for afternoon?

Thanks

Sorry, no more plays for today. All my qualifying games have been posted.

[16johnnymac]

KatchAse what time will u post for Tuesday play I am going to start to do a soccer bet or two

I look forward to tailing your plays a d let's break the Books and win $$$$

Thank u

Johnny mac

[KATCHASE]

KatchAse what time will u post for Tuesday play I am going to start to do a soccer bet or two

I look forward to tailing your plays a d let's break the Books and win $$$$

Thank u

Johnny mac

Sorry, I've gone through both Tuesday's and Wednesday's games but didn't find any that meet my criteria. Unfortunately, my plays tend to slow down during the weekdays and pick up on the weekends.

[16johnnymac]

That's fine I love to bet but bet. Smart so ill keep my eyes open for picks later in the week


Thanks and Break the Books

Sorry, I've gone through both Tuesday's and Wednesday's games but didn't find any that meet my criteria. Unfortunately, my plays tend to slow down during the weekdays and pick up on the weekends.

[KATCHASE]

Thursday, November 22:

No plays today.

Will have at least one, (and possibly two), on tap for tomorrow.

[KATCHASE]

Friday, November 23 Plays:

RUSSIA RESERVE LEAGUE
TEREK GROZNI II Vs. ALANIA II - OVER 2.5 @ 1.4 ($200 to win $80)

UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
AL SHAAB Vs. AL DHAFRA - OVER 2.5 @ 1.3 ($200 to win $60)

[etishere]

great work Kat.
interesting selection...
I went for the other game of the two in the russian reserve league with Lokomotiv and Krasnodar both having very strong over records.
Would be interesting to exchange notes sometime to see what we base our picks on.

good luck to both of us and kick lots of goals you Russians!!

see ya
ET

[KATCHASE]

great work Kat.
interesting selection...
I went for the other game of the two in the russian reserve league with Lokomotiv and Krasnodar both having very strong over records.
Would be interesting to exchange notes sometime to see what we base our picks on.

good luck to both of us and kick lots of goals you Russians!!

see ya
ET

Thanks so much...and GREAT call!!

[KATCHASE]

Record To Date:
42-21 (66.7%) +$258...All posted plays
10-2 (83.3%) +$384...Strictly System plays only since Monday, Nov 12/2012
1-1 -$140...Last day: Fri, Nov 23/12



Friday, November 23 Results:
RUSSIA RESERVE LEAGUE
TEREK GROZNI II Vs. ALANIA II - OVER 2.5 @ 1.4 ($200 to win $80)...LOSE
UNITED ARAB EMIRATES: UAE LEAGUE
AL SHAAB Vs. AL DHAFRA - OVER 2.5 @ 1.3 ($200 to win $60)...WIN

[KATCHASE]

Saturday, November 24 Plays:

ENGLAND BLUE SQUARE NORTH
Workington Vs. Bradford PA - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($200 to win $110)

GERMANY REGIONALLIGA BAYERN
Augsburg (Am) Vs. Aschaffenburg - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($200 to win $90)

SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
Brechin Vs. Forfar Athletic - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 ($200 to win $100)

[KATCHASE]

And Augsburg's a winner at 36 mins!!! Love it!...One down, now two more to go!

[KATCHASE]

Workington cashes! Just need one more goal in the Brechin game.

[KATCHASE]

And there it is!! Perfect day today going 3-0.

[kosti]

Saturday, November 24 Plays:

ENGLAND BLUE SQUARE NORTH
Workington Vs. Bradford PA - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($200 to win $110)

GERMANY REGIONALLIGA BAYERN
Augsburg (Am) Vs. Aschaffenburg - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($200 to win $90)

SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
Brechin Vs. Forfar Athletic - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 ($200 to win $100)

Thanks for the picks and win! Parlayed the three for a nice win. I tailed a few others on the forum and was unlucky but yours was very little stress!

[kensh3]

Great job, keep it up.

[KATCHASE]

Thanks for the picks and win! Parlayed the three for a nice win. I tailed a few others on the forum and was unlucky but yours was very little stress!

Wow...Good for you! In addition to my individual bets, I hit a nice trixie myself.

Great job, keep it up.

Working on tomorrow's games now.

[KATCHASE]

Record To Date:
45-21 (68.2%) +$558...All posted plays
13-2 (86.7%) +$684...Strictly System plays only since Monday, Nov 12/2012
3-0 +$300...Last day: Sat, Nov 24/12


Saturday, November 24 Results:
ENGLAND BLUE SQUARE NORTH
Workington Vs. Bradford PA - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($200 to win $110) WIN
GERMANY REGIONALLIGA BAYERN
Augsburg (Am) Vs. Aschaffenburg - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($200 to win $90) WIN
SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
Brechin Vs. Forfar Athletic - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 ($200 to win $100) WIN

[KATCHASE]

Sunday, November 25 Plays:

GERMANY OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD
Erlangen Vs. Neumarkt - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($200 to win $90)

LUXEMBOURG NATIONAL DIVISION
Jeunesse Canach Vs. Union Tetange - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($200 to win $110)

[hotelis]

why dont you play popular leagues?

[KATCHASE]

Adding the following "NON-System" play:
PARLAY games (A) and (B) below @ 1.93 ($100 to win $93)

GREECE FOOTBALL LEAGUE
(A) Gazoros Vs. O.Volos - Under 2.5 @ 1.42
(B) Niki Volos Vs. Panserraikos - Under 2.5 @ 1.36

[KATCHASE]

why dont you play popular leagues?

I put every single game in every league through my various filters. Whichever games make it through my filters and have odds available are plays for me.

[Tim Gerry Mander]

Sunday, November 25 Plays:

GERMANY OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD
Erlangen Vs. Neumarkt - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($200 to win $90)

LUXEMBOURG NATIONAL DIVISION
Jeunesse Canach Vs. Union Tetange - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($200 to win $110)

Hi Katchase,

Bwin is not offering a total goal market on the German game - where did you find this bet?

[KATCHASE]

Hi Katchase,

Bwin is not offering a total goal market on the German game - where did you find this bet?

MyBet and Tipico have this game available.

[kosti]

No Luxembourg on 365 unfortunately. Thanks for posting your picks thiugh

[KATCHASE]

Holding my breath on these games today...

[KATCHASE]

Niki Volos decides to show up today and loses the parlay...damn. Still have a glimmer of hope for the Jeunesse game...just need one more goal with 10 mins left.

[KATCHASE]

Ended up going 1-1 on my system plays and Niki Volos lost the two-teamer under parlay.
Pretty disappointing...

Oh well, I guess I can't expect to be perfect every day.

Sysyem plays are still looking good at 14-3 (82.4%) +$574, and all posted plays are 45-22 (67.2%) +$458.

No qualifying plays today, but looking forward to another profitable week!!!

[KATCHASE]

Record To Date:
45-22 (67.2%) +$458...All posted plays
14-3 (82.4%) +$574...Strictly System plays only since Monday, Nov 12/2012
1-2 -$210...Last day: Sun, Nov 25/12



Sunday, November 25 Results:
GERMANY OBERLIGA BAYERN NORD
Erlangen Vs. Neumarkt - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($200 to win $90)...WIN
LUXEMBOURG NATIONAL DIVISION
Jeunesse Canach Vs. Union Tetange - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($200 to win $110)...LOSE
PARLAY games (A) and (B) below @ 1.93 ($100 to win $93)
GREECE FOOTBALL LEAGUE
(A) Gazoros Vs. O.Volos - Under 2.5 @ 1.42...WIN
(B) Niki Volos Vs. Panserraikos - Under 2.5 @ 1.36...LOSE