[silvap]

Five games tonight on Brazil's second division and we keep looking for value where it can be found:

Here are my plays for tonight. All bets are for one unit and prices are as seen on pinnacle.

Criciuma vs ASA - Criciuma moneyline (1.73) - Criciuma has not won in their last three matches but only one of those matches was out of the norm - the home loss to America MN. Other than that, they drew 2-2 and lost 1-0, both on the road, versus the league leaders and the 3rd ranked team. Tonight they look to get back on track and resume their superb home record - 11 wins in 12 matches. They face ASA, 13th overall and only 17th in the away standings, with 9 losses in 12 road matches. Very good price for Criciuma here, who also have forward Lucca back.

Paraná -0.5 and -1 vs Gremio Barueri (1.71) - Paraná an average home team (in fact, they are 10th in a 20 league team in the home standings) facing last placed Gremio Barueri. With the worst home record and the worst away record, Gremio has been the punching bag of the league. They have 10 road losses in 12 games. Despite Paranás average record, they do have 5 wins in 6 matches facing the bottom half of the league at home, so they only seem to struggle against better opposition. Contemplated taking the -1 handicap at 2.02, but Gremio has lost by more than one goal only once in their last 6, so i rather cash a little profit in case of a simple win and hope that Paraná get a multiple goal lead.

Paraná vs Gremio Barueri - over 2.5 (1.89) - Only 33% of Paranás home games actually went over, but that number rises when they face the bottom teams (a 4-0 win, a 3-2 win and two 2-0 wins) as they cleary have an easier time scoring. As for Gremio's away matches, not only have 67% of those had at least 3 goals, but they have both scored in conceded in five of the six matches against the bottom half of the table teams.

America RN vs Sao Caetano - draw (0.75 units at 3.53). One good home team (America RN is 10th overall but 3rd best at home) versus the top away team in Brazil B - Sao Caetano, with only 2 losses on the road in 12 matches. If we look closer, we see that America has won their points mostly against the weaker teams, and have 1 win, 1 loss and 2 draws against the top 7 teams. Similiarly, Sao Caetano also with two draws against the better teams in the league. Going a little smaller and hoping for a good payout on what should be an evenly matched game.

That's it for Brazil tonight, looked into the other match two matches but found nothing I particularly liked.

Best of luck on your plays tonight guys

[JESSE1014]

Hey buddy followed you on these, parana let up a surprising goal 27 in but just tied in 42, no score in criciuma game yet.....

[JESSE1014]

18 min left and still 1-1 in parana game, getting really worried................

[JESSE1014]

WTF parana 10 minutes left still tied...............

[JESSE1014]

Paranas goalie made at least 4 amazing saves and game ends 1-1.........

[JESSE1014]

Damn Parana, talk about a kick to the nuts.........

2) BET ID=389891661

Parlay (3 Teams) 09/14/12 18:14 ET bet 206.38 to win 801.73 Result: Wager Lost

ASA(SerieB) 1 Criciuma(SerieB) 2 09/14/12(18:30 ET) Criciuma(SerieB) -149

Bragantino(SerieB) 0 Guaratingueta(SerieB) 2 09/14/12(20:00 ET) Guaratingueta(SerieB) -105

Gremio Barueri(SerieB) 1 Parana(SerieB) 1 09/14/12(18:30 ET) Parana(SerieB) -200

[JESSE1014]

just not my night, had dynamo dnb over kc and had a 1-0 lead going into extra time on the road and give up a goal in the 92 minute, ugh.........