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hei, i really dont see why i should give up or whats wrong with model, any thoughts/suggestions are appreciated.Originally Posted by PuffPaffy
my volume will improve alot during the next month, when i will be posting all the leagues that are atm starting new season, then i will get a decent sample size.
my model has been running since the beginning of the year and it is constantly achieving 4+ % closing line ROI, that means im taking Pinny´s opener and it im beating the no-vig closer for 4,15% ROI year to date
here is a break-down which proves to me, that i beat pretty much every league, be it top league or small
i myself am not seeing any other problem besides variance, again suggestions are welcome, im trying to improve my model
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2012 YTD (*vol = games wagered/all games)
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589 4,15% 7,5% n cl roi vol 1 Allsvenskan 7 2,27% 7% 2 Argentina B 11 5,09% 7% 3 Argentine 11 -1,72% 11% 4 Australia 2 4,35% 3% 5 Austri RZ EL 4 7,90% 6% 6 Austrian 3 4,97% 4% 7 Belgian 9 5,35% 10% 8 Belgian 2 2 7,62% 1% 9 Brazil Ser A 5 -1,90% 5% 10 Brazil Ser B 7 3,62% 7% 11 Bundesliga 9 2,75% 6% 12 Bundesliga 2 11 2,63% 8% 13 Bundesliga 3 2 1,63% 1% 14 Canadian SL 5 12,72% 11% 15 Chilean 4 8,21% 7% 16 Colombia A 0 17 Croati 1.HNL 4 7,68% 5% 18 Czech 13 4,01% 15% 19 Cyprus 1st D 0 0% 20 Danish 1 9 3,77% 11% 21 Danish L 1 3,65% 2% 22 Dutch 1 30 3,05% 21% 23 Dutch 2 15 4,62% 11% 24 Ecuador A 0 0% 25 Eng L1 13 4,58% 5% 26 Eng L2 5 3,33% 2% 27 Eng. Chship 7 6,58% 3% 28 Eng. Conf. 17 3,12% 8% 29 Eng. Premier 17 0,19% 8% 30 Finnish V 4 0,66% 4% 31 France 3 7 6,64% 4% 32 French 1 14 2,01% 7% 33 French 2 4 5,02% 2% 34 Greek 14 5,13% 12% 35 Hungary BL 6 -0,21% 7% 36 Icelandic 11 4,41% 20% 37 Irish 12 4,49% 14% 38 Irish Div1 16 4,03% 27% 39 Israel Prem 5 0,25% 5% 40 J2 League 9 6,11% 4% 41 J-League 11 1,73% 9% 42 La Liga 30 4,77% 15% 43 LFPB 0 44 Mexican 9 -0,66% 11% 45 N. Ireland P 4 -4,79% 6% 46 N.Zealand Ch 5 9,84% 45% 47 Norwegian 1 7 7,82% 8% 48 Norwegian T 6 7,89% 6% 49 Paraguay 0 0% 50 Paulista 11 8,46% 12% 51 Peru 1 3 -1,13% 3% 52 Poland O E 6 2,37% 7% 53 Portuguese 12 -1,36% 9% 54 Portuguese 2 2 0,90% 2% 55 Romania 1 13 3,72% 10% 56 Scot 1 3 -1,22% 3% 57 Scot 2 14 4,33% 15% 58 Scot 3 16 4,17% 16% 59 Scot Premier 3 4,71% 4% 60 Segunda Liga 18 9,94% 7% 61 Serbia SL 10 2,53% 12% 62 Serie A 16 4,48% 8% 63 Serie B 10 3,71% 5% 64 Slovakia CL 4 5,85% 5% 65 SloveniaPrva 3 -1,29% 5% 66 Superettan 6 7,25% 6% 67 Swiss 5 3,91% 9% 68 Swiss 2 9 10,40% 9% 69 Turkey SL 14 1,80% 10% 70 Ukraine P L 11 0,97% 19% 71 Uruguay 1 0 0% 72 USA (NASL) 1 8,76% 6%
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