1. #1
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Germany 2. Bundesliga, VfL Bochum - 1860 München

    Bochum is in a slump right now. They have not won the last 8 games (6 losses, 2 draws). 1860 lost 1 of their last 9 games away (5 wins, 3 draws). Bochum has a lot of injured players at the moment. And right now even midfielder Federico is questionable for the game. Bochums fans announced, that they are not supporting the team as much as they normally use to do. It is planned to be quiet for some time. No singing, no support. I don't know how long they are planning to do it though.
    1860 needs a win badly if they want to keep a minimal chance for third place.
    Bochum needs a win badly, as they are only 5 points away from relegation.
    I am expecting a highscoring game, with the better end for 1860.

    Not going to play this game big, but I do love the odds I'm getting, so I chose to play:
    (1 unit is 0.5 percent of my roll)
    5 units, win 1860 @+209 (3.09)
    5 units, over 2.5 @-107 (1.935)
    7.5 units, pk 1860 @+122 (2.22)
    2.5 unit, over 3 @+161 (2.61)

    And remember: NOTHING IS EVER SAFE! Tail me or fade me, but don't ever be mad at ME, when you are losing money! I do like this game, but this doesn't mean that you have to like it! Never ever tail one blindly, always do your own research, too!
    BOL to all of you! And let's hope, that this one is a WINNER

  2. #2
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    By the way, for those who think 10% is a big play, although I said I am not playing it big. We are only talking about my current roll @pinnacle. Not about the money I have behind, or the money I have at any other bookie!

  3. #3
    DarkNite
    DarkNite's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-09
    Posts: 5,023
    Betpoints: 60

    Anything could happen. Look at Genk on Saturday, I picked it and Genk won the game as I did not expected.

  4. #4
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Quote Originally Posted by DarkNite View Post
    Anything could happen. Look at Genk on Saturday, I picked it and Genk won the game as I did not expected.
    Right! I analyse the plays I post, and I won't post them if I don't think they have decent chances of winning. But in every forum, there are always guys around who look desperately for a pick that's a guaranteed winner. And they get mad in the case of losing money. Cause there are always donkies who are risking more money than they should. There are guys out there risking their rent or their salary on a single match. So I tried to make this very clear: I don't care if anyone loses money by blindly tailing any game I post! All I care about is MY money. Am I happy when users tail me and win? Hell yeah, of course, otherwise I would not post any plays. But am I concerned if anyone loses money with a pick i post? No! Because this is my daily business, this is what I do. And if a pick I posted loses, I can easily afford the loss of this pick. So everyone who tails me on any game I post should ask himself before tailing: Can I afford the loss of the amount of money I put on this game? If the answer is no, and you still do play it, I am not sorry at all.
    Last edited by zizoudane10; 04-15-12 at 02:01 AM.

  5. #5
    DarkNite
    DarkNite's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-12-09
    Posts: 5,023
    Betpoints: 60

    It's called The world of Gambling. If one cannot afford to lose, then better stop.
    No one knows for sure it's the sure bet.
    No one wants to lose money, but anything can happen.
    You are pretty right.

  6. #6
    manny24
    pay Bobby
    manny24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-22-07
    Posts: 20,088
    Betpoints: 649

    just got down on bochum small play at +150.

  7. #7
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Quote Originally Posted by manny24 View Post
    just got down on bochum small play at +150.
    Now we have at least one guaranteed winner here.

  8. #8
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Game starts in about 40 minutes.

  9. #9
    Shredder
    Shredder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-22-12
    Posts: 578

    I doubt we will see 3 goals. Good luck!

  10. #10
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Quote Originally Posted by Shredder View Post
    I doubt we will see 3 goals. Good luck!
    Thx pal, let's see what happens, anything between -20 and +28.3 units can happen in this one

  11. #11
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    15 minutes played, both teams are going straight forward. Bochum looking a little better right now, but nothing shocking. They are desperately trying to get an early goal, but are very nervous.

  12. #12
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    18. minute, 1:0 Bochum. Goalie looking absolutely horrible on this one. At least we have an early goal. 1860 has to open up a little, let's hope they keep the goals coming.

  13. #13
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Bochum looking REALLY strong now. Not going to hedge or anything, but for those who are interested: next to score - Bochum seems likely right now. As you can imagine, I don't like it, but there is still plenty of time. Come on guys give us some more goals!

  14. #14
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    2 great chances for 1860, unfortunately no goal.

  15. #15
    Shredder
    Shredder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-22-12
    Posts: 578

    1-2 with 30 to go, looking good!

  16. #16
    eXon
    eXon's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-02-12
    Posts: 973
    Betpoints: 24

    Played all 3 Bundesliga 2 matches over 2,5 need 1 more goal in the Ingolstadt - Karlsruhe match. But it looks like this is a pretty good call by you!

  17. #17
    swordsandtequila
    Soul Eating Machine
    swordsandtequila's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-23-12
    Posts: 9,766
    Betpoints: 6470

    Tailed you on the over, took over 2.5, 3 @ +120 (AH). Good call!

  18. #18
    Shredder
    Shredder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-22-12
    Posts: 578

    Nice result! Grats

  19. #19
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    5 units, win 1860 @+209 (3.09) -5
    5 units, over 2.5 @-107 (1.935) +4.675
    7.5 units, pk 1860 @+122 (2.22) cashback +-0
    2.5 unit, over 3 @+161 (2.61) +4.025
    Total: +3.7 units

    I would have been really happy without the goal in the 92 minute that tied it up for Bochum which would have been 22,125 units profit, instead of 3.7 units, a difference of more than 18 units... With this last goal I can't be to happy right now, but in the end we are in the green. And that is all that matters! Hope some of you guys made some profit, too!
    Last edited by zizoudane10; 04-15-12 at 09:54 AM.

  20. #20
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    Quote Originally Posted by eXon View Post
    Played all 3 Bundesliga 2 matches over 2,5 need 1 more goal in the Ingolstadt - Karlsruhe match. But it looks like this is a pretty good call by you!
    And you did get your late goal in the 86 minute. Nice one

  21. #21
    zizoudane10
    SPECIAL MODERATOR
    zizoudane10's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-12
    Posts: 7,276
    Betpoints: 287

    I am still thinking about a play with 4 or 5 units on the under 2.5 in tomorrows game between Dynamo Dresden and Fortuna Düsseldorf. Some good reasons to do so. Line is @+102 (2.02) at the moment. Not going to make a new thread only for this one. If you want to know if I played it, check in, in about 10-15 hours.

Top