1. #1
    Lookingtostart
    Lookingtostart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-11
    Posts: 1,584
    Betpoints: 4542

    Man City vs Sunderland

    Sunderland seem to have a spade of injuries, but how much will home advantage consolidate that? City with a few players back, -1 seems to be a good option @ $2.07, perhaps over 2.5 @ $1.8.

    I'm close to pulling the trigger, give me a reason not to...

  2. #2
    hedgejob
    hedgejob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-09
    Posts: 2,561
    Betpoints: 5164

    -1 has gone from 1.87 to 2.17, that's major movement. City are playing without as much pressure since United dropped points and with their African players about to leave City want a win. But that line movement spooks me.

  3. #3
    hedgejob
    hedgejob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-09
    Posts: 2,561
    Betpoints: 5164

    Here's why:

    City rest Sergio Aguero, Mario Balotelli and David Silva

  4. #4
    LovetoSpooge
    LovetoSpooge's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-20-10
    Posts: 426

    looks good to me. I laid the draw but don't see any problem with this play either.

    Edit, upon seeing the above news maybe not so good.

  5. #5
    adamo1018
    adamo1018's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-16-11
    Posts: 451
    Betpoints: 248

    What do you think about the under, hedge?

  6. #6
    showtiime
    Update your status
    showtiime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-11
    Posts: 2,850
    Betpoints: 5853

    They're rested but silva & aguero are on the bench so I imagine if things aren't going well after the hour mark they'll come in. City have a chance to put some distance between themselves and the rest and I imagine that Mancini will want to take advantage of United's slip up yesterday.

    Regardless, probably still would've stayed away if I saw the team sheet even though their replacements are still quality.

    Under may be the play now.

  7. #7
    Lookingtostart
    Lookingtostart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-11
    Posts: 1,584
    Betpoints: 4542

    Lucky I didn't pull the trigger, I was also thinking of 1st half plays but those outs are too much for Man City.

  8. #8
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    Massive line drop. City ML went from -200 to -150 in the blink of an eye?!@

  9. #9
    gobucks
    gobucks's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 01-15-09
    Posts: 1,283
    Betpoints: 21592

    went for 1-0 Man City win exact score +640 at 5 Dimes.

  10. #10
    hedgejob
    hedgejob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-09
    Posts: 2,561
    Betpoints: 5164

    Quote Originally Posted by adamo1018 View Post
    What do you think about the under, hedge?
    Wouldn't touch it. Sunderland are missing their regular keeper and defense is their weakness at best of times. If City can put 6 past United they can put 3 past Sunderland even without Silva and Aguero.

  11. #11
    lian6281
    lian6281's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-05-11
    Posts: 23
    Betpoints: 54

    Sunderland will probably score at home 1-1 or 2-1 man city will likely hit

  12. #12
    Lookingtostart
    Lookingtostart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-11
    Posts: 1,584
    Betpoints: 4542

    Line swinging back the other way, took them -.5 and -1. I think Sunderland outs can't be denied either.

  13. #13
    showtiime
    Update your status
    showtiime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-11
    Posts: 2,850
    Betpoints: 5853

    Not really any clear cut opportunities for city, hopefully see silva & aguero after HT.

  14. #14
    Glada Tartan
    Swedish brännboll-expert ;D
    Glada Tartan's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-06-09
    Posts: 2,820

    Got a small bet on over 2,5 @ 2,0

  15. #15
    lunchbawks
    NB#
    lunchbawks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-31-10
    Posts: 12,873
    Betpoints: 173

    city playing absolutely terrible. . find the net already

  16. #16
    showtiime
    Update your status
    showtiime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-11
    Posts: 2,850
    Betpoints: 5853

    Don't think it's gonna happen, sunderland should be in front, Sessegnon should've cut back and it would be 1-0, sunderland defending well, even with a makeshift back line. really tight in the middle, and when city bring it wide the service has been poor. wouldn't shock me to see city knick it at the death although I'm not optimistic.

  17. #17
    Lookingtostart
    Lookingtostart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-11
    Posts: 1,584
    Betpoints: 4542

    Fixed. Ji was offside.

  18. #18
    showtiime
    Update your status
    showtiime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-11
    Posts: 2,850
    Betpoints: 5853

    Sunderland 1-0!

    All over, offside but no flag.

  19. #19
    Wiesnak
    Update your status
    Wiesnak's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-10
    Posts: 2,066

  20. #20
    Lookingtostart
    Lookingtostart's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-25-11
    Posts: 1,584
    Betpoints: 4542

    You just can't have three major upsets like that in one round in any competition, there's no such thing as a coincidence.

  21. #21
    manutd19
    manutd19's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 05-24-11
    Posts: 340

    Hmm

  22. #22
    allin1
    Update your status
    allin1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-11
    Posts: 4,555

    Quote Originally Posted by Lookingtostart View Post
    You just can't have three major upsets like that in one round in any competition, there's no such thing as a coincidence.
    maybe it's the weather

  23. #23
    Wordsworth
    Update your status
    Wordsworth's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-11
    Posts: 292
    Betpoints: 756

    Quote Originally Posted by Lookingtostart View Post
    You just can't have three major upsets like that in one round in any competition, there's no such thing as a coincidence.
    Sorry if you lost friend... But three fixed matches, orchestrated between 6 teams? I beg to differ. You may see it in a single 'nobody gives a %#&!' cup match south of Stuttgart *cough* Palermo v. Siena *cough*. EPL is volatile, and top tier teams have failed the role as favorites since boxing day. I think coincidence is a more viable explanation than match fixing.

  24. #24
    cro
    Toronto Blue Jays to smash Fister
    cro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-09
    Posts: 1,088
    Betpoints: 610

    I bet sunderland live @$6. sometimes its better to watch a bit of the game and see how someone plays without their playmaker
    Last edited by cro; 01-01-12 at 04:48 PM.

  25. #25
    allin1
    Update your status
    allin1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-11
    Posts: 4,555

    Quote Originally Posted by cro View Post
    I bet sunderland live @$6. sometimes its better to watch a bit of the game and see how someone plays without their playmaker
    was it that bad? I haven't seen the match but even with the reserves team I was expecting a comfortable win.

    Also I understand that the goal was really a lucky one in the last minute.

  26. #26
    JOHON8
    gambling fallacy
    JOHON8's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-28-10
    Posts: 7,712
    Betpoints: 338

    City dominated the game, it's pretty unbelievable how many chances they missed, hitting the crossbar and hitting it too hard over the bar. It was probably a little bit of new years hangover. I'm not trying to side with any teams here but that Sunderland goal was clearly offside.

  27. #27
    ULTRANORTH
    ULTRANORTH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 57
    Betpoints: 486

    sorry i think lookingtostart has a point

    here's some questionable results

    city beat utd 6-1 at old trafford
    man utd beat arsenal 8-2
    arsenal beat chelsea 4-3 after losing to blackburn 3-2
    villa beat chelsea 3-1 at the bridge
    city can't beat west brom and then lose to sunderland 1-0
    united lose to blackburn 3-2

    doesn't make sense man

  28. #28
    ULTRANORTH
    ULTRANORTH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 57
    Betpoints: 486

    sorry i think lookingtostart has a point

    here's some questionable results

    city beat utd 6-1 at old trafford
    man utd beat arsenal 8-2
    arsenal beat chelsea 4-3 after losing to blackburn 3-2
    villa beat chelsea 3-1 at the bridge
    city can't beat west brom and then lose to sunderland 1-0
    united lose to blackburn 3-2

    doesn't make sense man

  29. #29
    showtiime
    Update your status
    showtiime's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-16-11
    Posts: 2,850
    Betpoints: 5853

    Yeah you guys are right, the 3 biggest clubs in english football were fixing matches in the same round, it's a sure thing.

  30. #30
    CasperSky
    CasperSky's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-01-12
    Posts: 175
    Betpoints: 2137

    Questionable result or not

    It is not unusual for English teams to decide the result in the last minute, but let's be realistic about this result. Top teams sometime are not focused and with a trainer like Mancini who doesn't know how to structure an offensive team and to have a good strategy the outcome is a loosing one.
    City has a wonderful team, but a bad trainer in relationship with the players and which does not know how to put them in the ground. Pay attention that this result continues the previous loosing series and be expected in the future not to be reliable.

  31. #31
    allin1
    Update your status
    allin1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-07-11
    Posts: 4,555

    so are you guys saying that champions league matches were fixed too? it doesn't make any sense. I don't think they can make more money from getting out of champions league with fixed games than from qualifying... just because these teams are top of the EPL doesn't mean they are the best in the world at their current form. Honestly, Man Utd got the easiest group possible and they messed it up. I don't think it has anything to do with fixing. Sir Alex hates losing more than he loves winning...

  32. #32
    Wiesnak
    Update your status
    Wiesnak's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-06-10
    Posts: 2,066

    Quote Originally Posted by ULTRANORTH View Post
    sorry i think lookingtostart has a point here's some questionable results city beat utd 6-1 at old trafford man utd beat arsenal 8-2 arsenal beat chelsea 4-3 after losing to blackburn 3-2 villa beat chelsea 3-1 at the bridge city can't beat west brom and then lose to sunderland 1-0 united lose to blackburn 3-2 doesn't make sense man
    if i remember right arsenal won 5-3 @ chelsea and lost 4-3 to blackburn and it makes perfect sense when u realize that epl, la liga, champions league are all scripted...

  33. #33
    ULTRANORTH
    ULTRANORTH's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-30-11
    Posts: 57
    Betpoints: 486

    thanks for the correction but you get my point, dont be oblivious guys...what about when sunderland beat chelsea last year? did you see the goals? its like the chelsea players did all they could to help them win....what about de gea? how poor was he against blackburn, twice he came out and ****** up, this is a top class keeper, signed by sir alex, he's supposed to be the best in the world and he does a howler like that, he didn't even look like he wanted to catch the ball

  34. #34
    ultrasouth
    Update your status
    ultrasouth's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-22-10
    Posts: 1,175
    Betpoints: 1256

    Players are human they will do howler's but when a keeper does it a goal will occur 95% of the time what makes you think he a top keeper cause Ferguson signed him?

  35. #35
    cro
    Toronto Blue Jays to smash Fister
    cro's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-16-09
    Posts: 1,088
    Betpoints: 610

    The top clubs lost because they have players who have more money and partied harder, they also have more foreigners who probably traveled to see family. That is more of a likely explanation than a whole team of players on million dollar salaries fixing matches for a few dollars. At most in these types of leagues 1 or 2 players or the referee can be involved in match fixing, but they can't always influence things their way, and i don't think the referee was a big influence in these losses.

    These days in soccer anyone can beat anyone on any given day. Especially in the EPL which is the most even league.

12 Last
Top