1. 12-08-11 01:23 AM #1
    apeterlives
    apeterlives's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-26-10
    Posts: 572
    Betpoints: 283

    FIFA Club World Cup (Kashiwa vs. Auckland)

    Hey, anyone have any opinions on this match? Thinking of taking the over 3 goals fulltime and maybe Kashiwa -2 (they have looked impressive so far).

    “As J.League champions, many people in Japan are expecting big things from us,” Kitajima told FIFA.com. “As a team, we want to win, while personally I just want to score whenever I’m on the field and contribute to the team.”
    “We’ll give our all in every match,” Kitajima said, adding that the FIFA Club World Cup is “a stage I’ve dreamed of playing on". "I don’t want to just take part, I want to play well and win," he added. "The team feels the same, no matter what the game is."
    http://www.fifa.com/clubworldcup/new...165/index.html
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 12-08-11 01:44 AM #2
    TheAntFather
    Enlightenment
    TheAntFather's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-14-11
    Posts: 3,021
    Betpoints: 0

    I'll play the OVER 3 goals.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 12-08-11 01:49 AM #3
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    Auckland is a amateur team...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 12-08-11 02:34 AM #4
    decado
    decado's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-23-10
    Posts: 2,392
    Betpoints: 24

    domingues and tanaka to score anytime.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 12-08-11 02:57 AM #5
    agentu75
    agentu75's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-11
    Posts: 649
    Betpoints: 48

    Hosts Kashiwa Reysol trained by Nelson Baptist recorded in the last games played a total of four victories with Albirex Niigata 4-0 at home with Ventforet Kofu 6-1 at home, with Shimizu S-Pulse 2-1 away and Urawa Reds 3-1 away in the last match played on 3 December 2011 with a draw 1-1 Cerezo Osaka ppropriu field. Their guests today Auckland City
    recorded in a total of 5 games played with Kolo consecutive wins 4-1 away, with Team Wellington 4-2 at home, with Waitakere United 3-1 away, with Hekari United 2-0 at home, with Young Heart Manawutu 5-0 at home in the last match played on 27 November 2011. Kashiwa Reysol also recorded in the last 3 / 5 games to break at least 2 golurii nscrise and Auckland City have just 3 / 5 games with at least 2 goals scored to break.

    I'll play the over !
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 12-08-11 03:01 AM #6
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Would you guys still take the over at 3.5?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 12-08-11 03:06 AM #7
    TheAntFather
    Enlightenment
    TheAntFather's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-14-11
    Posts: 3,021
    Betpoints: 0

    Which book has it at OVER 3.5? bookmaker has it at OVER 3 and BetIslands at OVER 3.25.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 12-08-11 03:22 AM #8
    dmiles1021
    YouWager.eu
    dmiles1021's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-10-07
    Posts: 1,412
    Betpoints: 6

    ill take the under at +120 odds guys
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 12-08-11 03:30 AM #9
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    If I were to make a play I would take Reysol -2-106. I don't think Auckland is going to score at all.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 12-08-11 03:34 AM #10
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by TheAntFather View Post
    Which book has it at OVER 3.5? bookmaker has it at OVER 3 and BetIslands at OVER 3.25.
    5 Dimes is Over 3.5 (-110) and 3.25 (-137)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 12-08-11 03:47 AM #11
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Wow 5Dimes went from -2 (-110) to -2 (+115) in minutes
    Last edited by riffraff24; 12-08-11 at 03:50 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 12-08-11 03:51 AM #12
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    RLM More often than not you're better taking the +114
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 12-08-11 03:52 AM #13
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    I already locked it in at -110 ...owell it wont matter if it wins!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 12-08-11 03:53 AM #14
    TheAntFather
    Enlightenment
    TheAntFather's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-14-11
    Posts: 3,021
    Betpoints: 0

    Auckland City was +2 (-110) 20 minutes ago, now it's Auckland City +2 (-140) at BetIslands right now.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 12-08-11 03:54 AM #15
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    you mean +?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 12-08-11 03:56 AM #16
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    the juice is loose, watch reysol win 3-0 lol
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 12-08-11 03:58 AM #17
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by FindTheLock View Post
    the juice is loose, watch reysol win 3-0 lol
    i'd be even since i flat betted with -2 and the over. Now a 2-1 game and id be ******. but **** this negativity. lets get this!!
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 12-08-11 04:04 AM #18
    TheAntFather
    Enlightenment
    TheAntFather's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-14-11
    Posts: 3,021
    Betpoints: 0

    Bookmaker now has Reysol -1.5, it was Reysol -2 just a couple of minutes ago.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 12-08-11 04:05 AM #19
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by TheAntFather View Post
    Bookmaker now has Reysol -1.5, it was Reysol -2 just a couple of minutes ago.
    this is fishy. Just jumped from +114 to +123 on 5Dimes instantly
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 12-08-11 04:05 AM #20
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    someone must have hit that hard on the +2... maybe a fix??
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 12-08-11 04:07 AM #21
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Can anyone see the % of bets going on each side?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 12-08-11 04:11 AM #22
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    At one point it was + odds for Auckland +2. Now it's + odds for Kashiwa. Could have had guaranteed profit if we were on auckland early haha.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 12-08-11 04:12 AM #23
    TheAntFather
    Enlightenment
    TheAntFather's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-14-11
    Posts: 3,021
    Betpoints: 0

    If everyone knows that Reysol is the better team, why would the books open themselves up to get burned on Reysol -1.5. I bet everyone and their mom is betting Reysol -1.5 right now. It looks too good to be true.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 12-08-11 04:12 AM #24
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    I would buy out of all bets if possible... this game seems fishy. maybe it will be as we all expected, but the line movement on such an obscure game is odd to say the least.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 12-08-11 04:13 AM #25
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by TheAntFather View Post
    If everyone knows that Reysol is the better team, why would the books open themselves up to get burned on Reysol -1.5. I bet everyone and their mom is betting Reysol -1.5 right now. It looks too good to be true.
    I agree but im too pussy to buy out of this. aghhhhhhhh
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 12-08-11 04:15 AM #26
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    I'm not betting on this game, but I am going to watch it with interest to see how it pans out.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 12-08-11 04:17 AM #27
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Maybe we are over reacting. Or maybe its a complete setup. We'll see.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 12-08-11 04:20 AM #28
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    The more i think about it the more nervous im getting lol. a 2 pt spread on an obscure match would be the ideal game to fix. aggggh
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 12-08-11 04:24 AM #29
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    it almost makes me want to sprinkle a little bit on the Auckland ML. I am envisioning 3 red cards or something crazy and fishy...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 12-08-11 04:33 AM #30
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    Quote Originally Posted by FindTheLock View Post
    it almost makes me want to sprinkle a little bit on the Auckland ML. I am envisioning 3 red cards or something crazy and fishy...
    I don't know. Is the +30 juice this big of a red flag? possibly. Its back down to +111 at 5Dimes.

    Is it possible that there was such a small amount of plays on this game that it caused the lines to bounce around?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 12-08-11 04:37 AM #31
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    could be just a ploy to get us second guessing... this might be one of those too good to be true bets that actually turns out to be true. I mean I don't know how an Amateur side could beat a pro side in this sport. Reysol has some good players on their team that get paid to play, while Auckland are just a bunch of 9-5 time clock punchers that play for fun.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 12-08-11 04:39 AM #32
    hedgejob
    hedgejob's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-21-09
    Posts: 2,561
    Betpoints: 5164

    Reysol won the J-League on the last match day this past weekend. They would have done some serious partying since so who knows how they are going to pull up. Everyone is on the over which is scary.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 12-08-11 04:39 AM #33
    riffraff24
    ...and out come the wolves
    riffraff24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-11
    Posts: 7,234
    Betpoints: 55

    The only preview stories I can find on the match quotes the amateur side's coach saying he things his squad can pull off a win. Its possible that people are reading that and assuming it will stay within 2....btw all the way back to +104 on 5dimes
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 12-08-11 04:41 AM #34
    Hory
    Hory's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-23-10
    Posts: 98
    Betpoints: 1

    It's happened before, Auckland City beat pro sides from Africa and the Middle East in the 2009 competition.

    But yea, I'm on the Reysol -1.5 hard
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 12-08-11 04:43 AM #35
    FindTheLock
    ...
    FindTheLock's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-10
    Posts: 7,194
    Betpoints: 191

    Middle east pro teams=Amateur teams ... japan gets brazilian's playing over there who have a lot of skill.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
123 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Soccer Betting | Next Thread »