Zenit St. Petersburg vs. Bate Borisov
Bate Borisov is being grossly underrated by the bookmakers. They're being priced as a +950 dog. Borisov currently sits atop the Belorrusian league where they're yet to lose a road game. They're 8-0-5 on the road in their league. On the flip side, Zenit are 5th overall in the Russian league but 9th on home record because their home form isn't as good as their road form. They're 5-4-3 at home, which amounts to a 33% home loss rate. Borisov's modest road form should counter whatever Zenit will throw at them.
Verdict: draw +420
Fiorentina vs. Bayern Munich
Bayern Munich is in a funk right now. Nothing is easier nowadays than scoring against Bayern Munich. The offenses here are about even so let's go with the better defense.
Final note: Munich have only won one of their L5 home games (that's a horrible 20% home win rate) . While Fiorentina have a 33% road win rate, I'd rather play on the side of 33% than lay the wood on 20%.
Fiorentina +350
Real Madrid vs. Juventus
Juventus haven't beaten Madrid in the CL series. Juventus aren't even winning against inferior domestic opposition right now. How can they cope with a Madrid offense that boasts of Raul and Van Nilsteroy? Raul is the highest goal scorer of all times in the CL series and Van Nilsteroy isn't far behind. The presence of these 2 guys on the line-up makes Madrid an automatic pick.
Real Madrid +150
Chelsea/Man United parlay -120
No explanations needed. Chelsea is at home to a disastrous Roma and the free-scoring Man Utd are at home to a non-scoring Celtic.
Liverpool vs. Atletico Madrid
This game will be played at a neutral venue, so Atletico doesn't really have much of a home advantage. It's tempting to pick Liverpool here but Torres isn't playing.
Verdict: draw +220
Barcelona vs. Basel
This is one game many will expect more than 2 goals. That's not likely. The hosts (Basel) will try to contain the visitors all day. Barcelona now have a habit of not scoring in the first half of this kind of games. Expect a goalless 1H here. It looks improbable that there'll be more than 2 goals in the 2H of this contest.
Verdict: Goals Under 2.5 +130