1. #1
    profits hunter
    profits hunter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-12-20
    Posts: 36
    Betpoints: 110

    How do you pick your games?

    all i look is the form of last 5 games
    the win to loss ratio for home vs away games


    i.e.
    Portland had 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games at Home
    Lakers had 2 wins and 3 losses away

    so i woulld bet on Portland to win
    and i would lose btw

  2. #2
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Good as any other just a guess everyday and all random if you understand math

    Hunch player here

    Good luck guy

  3. #3
    Otters27
    Otters27's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-14-07
    Posts: 30,688
    Betpoints: 434

    Games on neutral court. Changes everything

  4. #4
    RudyRuetigger
    Leave of absence until March Madness
    RudyRuetigger's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-10
    Posts: 64,799
    Betpoints: 55

    Same way I pick my nose

    1 finger at a time with deep access to the right spots

  5. #5
    Bostongambler
    Bostongambler's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 02-01-08
    Posts: 35,931
    Betpoints: 14392

    🎯 ......

  6. #6
    lonegambler23
    Org Mafia
    lonegambler23's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-22-16
    Posts: 9,697
    Betpoints: 13520

    Quote Originally Posted by profits hunter View Post
    all i look is the form of last 5 games
    the win to loss ratio for home vs away games


    i.e.
    Portland had 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games at Home
    Lakers had 2 wins and 3 losses away

    so i woulld bet on Portland to win
    and i would lose btw
    jesus

  7. #7
    stake1
    stake1's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-19-18
    Posts: 18,013
    Betpoints: 2438

    For hoops? I find out what morono is air betting, then I put actual money on the opposite. Working very well
    Points Awarded:

    Buckandadime gave stake1 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  8. #8
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 1201

    ^^^^^^^^^
    What Stake said...

  9. #9
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    guess right real simple

  10. #10
    profits hunter
    profits hunter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-12-20
    Posts: 36
    Betpoints: 110

    not a single srs answer
    it seems boys you have too much free time in your life

  11. #11
    Buckandadime
    Act as if
    Buckandadime's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-21-15
    Posts: 8,819
    Betpoints: 1201

    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Good as any other just a guess everyday and all random if you understand math

    Hunch player here

    Good luck guy
    Quote Originally Posted by Otters27 View Post
    Games on neutral court. Changes everything
    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    For hoops? I find out what morono is air betting, then I put actual money on the opposite. Working very well
    Quote Originally Posted by profits hunter View Post
    not a single srs answer
    it seems boys you have too much free time in your life

  12. #12
    cincinnatikid513
    contra spem spero
    cincinnatikid513's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-23-17
    Posts: 45,361
    Betpoints: 100

    whatever is starting next

  13. #13
    mjsuax13
    mjsuax13's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 03-14-15
    Posts: 22,018
    Betpoints: 886

    NBA: I go to every single “tout” site or gambling forum and see what all the losers are on and usually go the opposite. SBR, Picks and Parlays, Pick Dawgs, Covers, Wager Talk, etc... Look at oddshark, check out SBR, check out some history (tougher now than ever) and then see if Morino or Seaweed are making a play on the same game. For overs, I count out the possessions and the probability based on FGP to see if they will get close, for sides I usually just take who I think is the better team and then sometimes I take a shot on the dog ML knowing they could win a close game.

    MLB: this year hasn’t been great for me but normally you can get 50-60 games of trends from teamrankings.com and see who is covering over/unders, run lines, etc... and then play the two teams that are above 60% cover rate in each, I played them all last year after that and Seattle was an ATM on overs. I also check out the other loser forums, SBR losers, SBR key players, etc... Some guys have strong seasons. MLB favorites seem to be rolling in this short season. I don’t know... 60 games is not enough time for me to play a trend. Follow some guys on here.

    Twitter has a ton of wanna be gamblers but also some real losers. Just look at the comments under tweets and see who the majority are on and bet opposite.

    Lastly, Seaweed, Morino, JJ and QH are great fades. Also, any new clown that pops in with an all in bet. Anyone saying “all in” is a buried shit for brains most likely.

  14. #14
    mjsuax13
    mjsuax13's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 03-14-15
    Posts: 22,018
    Betpoints: 886

    All this neutral shit this year takes away historical edge at home/away. It’s just hoops and hockey.

  15. #15
    mjsuax13
    mjsuax13's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 03-14-15
    Posts: 22,018
    Betpoints: 886

    You could be making a ton off tailing LT, Sammy Stache and Mr October in baseball.

  16. #16
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
    JayLA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-12
    Posts: 7,806
    Betpoints: 1219

    Depends on the sport.
    Soccer for me is from, attacking, shot on goal...I'm looking for games that dictate there will be a high pace and shoddy goalkeeping

    American sports are about match ups.

    I dunno how guys are betting NBA when we have o idea if itll be a bench game, how long they'll keep superstars in etc.

    Baseball pitchers obviously.

    Football, my friend and I run a model based on matchups that he uses for fantasy football. So, I'll get the numbers and tweak them.

    That said, I'm a losing gambler and no one should listen to me

  17. #17
    mjsuax13
    mjsuax13's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 03-14-15
    Posts: 22,018
    Betpoints: 886

    Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
    Depends on the sport.
    Soccer for me is from, attacking, shot on goal...I'm looking for games that dictate there will be a high pace and shoddy goalkeeping

    American sports are about match ups.

    I dunno how guys are betting NBA when we have o idea if itll be a bench game, how long they'll keep superstars in etc.

    Baseball pitchers obviously.

    Football, my friend and I run a model based on matchups that he uses for fantasy football. So, I'll get the numbers and tweak them.

    That said, I'm a losing gambler and no one should listen to me
    LOL. Well said. NBA playoffs are usually good to bet. Regular season about key games. To your point, you never know who is playing or who is sitting.

  18. #18
    mjsuax13
    mjsuax13's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 03-14-15
    Posts: 22,018
    Betpoints: 886

    Vegas Dave another guy to fade.

  19. #19
    JayLA
    On to the next one...
    JayLA's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-12
    Posts: 7,806
    Betpoints: 1219

    Quote Originally Posted by mjsuax13 View Post
    LOL. Well said. NBA playoffs are usually good to bet. Regular season about key games. To your point, you never know who is playing or who is sitting.
    yeah mean even with baseball, pitchers are getting scratched left and right all sorts of shit is happening this year

    Nfl is going to be the same where they'll be subs all game. Hard to bet this year

  20. #20
    The General
    The General's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 13,279
    Betpoints: 108

    Experience breeds solid intuition.

  21. #21
    mjsuax13
    mjsuax13's Avatar Moderator
    Join Date: 03-14-15
    Posts: 22,018
    Betpoints: 886

    Quote Originally Posted by JayLA View Post
    yeah mean even with baseball, pitchers are getting scratched left and right all sorts of shit is happening this year

    Nfl is going to be the same where they'll be subs all game. Hard to bet this year
    Good point Jay. It’s happened to me numerous times this year. All bets action mostly.

  22. #22
    profits hunter
    profits hunter's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-12-20
    Posts: 36
    Betpoints: 110

    Quote Originally Posted by The General View Post
    Experience breeds solid intuition.
    intuition is gambling mate

    i need history
    i need form
    i need stats of 2pts and 3pts and possesions and everything
    i need when their last and next game is
    i want to know the fukken weather

    profits come from possibilities and you need the coorrect info to bring stats with your side

  23. #23
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    I know guys that just pick out of a hat or a can and they’re just as good as the guys that study

  24. #24
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10886

    Look at some write ups
    Look at records
    Look at injuries
    Weather if it’s outside
    Try not to put more than 10 minutes per game
    Look at momentum/ try to catch a hot team
    Gut instincts
    Maybe research picks at SBR
    place a bet
    That’s about it

  25. #25
    Unrivaled
    Unrivaled's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-24-11
    Posts: 6,685
    Betpoints: 5234

    I flip a coin and bet against myself.
    Points Awarded:

    Shute gave Unrivaled 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  26. #26
    Shute
    Shute's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 03-20-17
    Posts: 11,822
    Betpoints: 10886

    All data is usually already baked into the line
    Hard to catch on “off-line”

  27. #27
    HockeyRocks
    HockeyRocks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-10-13
    Posts: 6,069
    Betpoints: 6014

    Quote Originally Posted by profits hunter View Post
    not a single srs answer
    it seems boys you have too much free time in your life
    Most SBR posters don't have any dough...

  28. #28
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    Fade jjgold and seaweed.

  29. #29
    jjgold
    jjgold's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-05
    Posts: 388,190
    Betpoints: 10

    Paver It’s not a bad strategy

  30. #30
    Mr KLC
    Mr KLC's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 12-19-07
    Posts: 30,631
    Betpoints: 432

    It's just like someone who picks their nose. You dig for the gold.

  31. #31
    thomorino
    thomorino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-17
    Posts: 45,842

    Quote Originally Posted by mjsuax13 View Post
    NBA: I go to every single “tout” site or gambling forum and see what all the losers are on and usually go the opposite. SBR, Picks and Parlays, Pick Dawgs, Covers, Wager Talk, etc... Look at oddshark, check out SBR, check out some history (tougher now than ever) and then see if Morino or Seaweed are making a play on the same game. For overs, I count out the possessions and the probability based on FGP to see if they will get close, for sides I usually just take who I think is the better team and then sometimes I take a shot on the dog ML knowing they could win a close game.

    MLB: this year hasn’t been great for me but normally you can get 50-60 games of trends from teamrankings.com and see who is covering over/unders, run lines, etc... and then play the two teams that are above 60% cover rate in each, I played them all last year after that and Seattle was an ATM on overs. I also check out the other loser forums, SBR losers, SBR key players, etc... Some guys have strong seasons. MLB favorites seem to be rolling in this short season. I don’t know... 60 games is not enough time for me to play a trend. Follow some guys on here.

    Twitter has a ton of wanna be gamblers but also some real losers. Just look at the comments under tweets and see who the majority are on and bet opposite.

    Lastly, Seaweed, Morino, JJ and QH are great fades. Also, any new clown that pops in with an all in bet. Anyone saying “all in” is a buried shit for brains most likely.
    You are down over 30 units in the last month fading me, shut the fuk up you dumb shit.

  32. #32
    thomorino
    thomorino's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-01-17
    Posts: 45,842

    Quote Originally Posted by mjsuax13 View Post
    NBA: I go to every single “tout” site or gambling forum and see what all the losers are on and usually go the opposite. SBR, Picks and Parlays, Pick Dawgs, Covers, Wager Talk, etc... Look at oddshark, check out SBR, check out some history (tougher now than ever) and then see if Morino or Seaweed are making a play on the same game. For overs, I count out the possessions and the probability based on FGP to see if they will get close, for sides I usually just take who I think is the better team and then sometimes I take a shot on the dog ML knowing they could win a close game.

    MLB: this year hasn’t been great for me but normally you can get 50-60 games of trends from teamrankings.com and see who is covering over/unders, run lines, etc... and then play the two teams that are above 60% cover rate in each, I played them all last year after that and Seattle was an ATM on overs. I also check out the other loser forums, SBR losers, SBR key players, etc... Some guys have strong seasons. MLB favorites seem to be rolling in this short season. I don’t know... 60 games is not enough time for me to play a trend. Follow some guys on here.

    Twitter has a ton of wanna be gamblers but also some real losers. Just look at the comments under tweets and see who the majority are on and bet opposite.

    Lastly, Seaweed, Morino, JJ and QH are great fades. Also, any new clown that pops in with an all in bet. Anyone saying “all in” is a buried shit for brains most likely.
    And you are down like everyone else who has tried to fade, post and track, you never will though because you are full of shit.

  33. #33
    KrisBryant17
    KrisBryant17's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-20
    Posts: 28
    Betpoints: 85

    Throw darts pal

  34. #34
    Hot Jerry
    Hot Jerry's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-16-13
    Posts: 5,545
    Betpoints: 4638

    LOL - out of barrel - lol .

  35. #35
    clockwise1965
    clockwise1965's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-01-13
    Posts: 6,751
    Betpoints: 18366

    Quote Originally Posted by KrisBryant17 View Post
    Throw darts pal
    or flip a coin

12 Last
Top