How do you pick your games?

**jjgold** · 08-23-20, 06:10 AM

Good as any other just a guess everyday and all random if you understand math

Hunch player here

Good luck guy

**Otters27** · 08-23-20, 06:11 AM

Games on neutral court. Changes everything

**RudyRuetigger** · 08-23-20, 06:36 AM

Same way I pick my nose

1 finger at a time with deep access to the right spots

**Bostongambler** · 08-23-20, 06:40 AM

🎯 ......

**lonegambler23** · 08-23-20, 06:55 AM

Originally posted by profits hunter

all i look is the form of last 5 games
the win to loss ratio for home vs away games

i.e.
Portland had 4 wins and 1 loss in their last 5 games at Home
Lakers had 2 wins and 3 losses away

so i woulld bet on Portland to win
and i would lose btw

jesus

**stake1** · 08-23-20, 07:47 AM

For hoops? I find out what morono is air betting, then I put actual money on the opposite. Working very well

**Buckandadime** · 08-23-20, 08:13 AM

^^^^^^^^^
What Stake said...

**jjgold** · 08-23-20, 08:22 AM

guess right real simple

**profits hunter** · 08-23-20, 08:22 AM

not a single srs answer
it seems boys you have too much free time in your life

**Buckandadime** · 08-23-20, 09:06 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Good as any other just a guess everyday and all random if you understand math

Hunch player here

Good luck guy

Originally posted by Otters27

Games on neutral court. Changes everything

Originally posted by stake1

For hoops? I find out what morono is air betting, then I put actual money on the opposite. Working very well

Originally posted by profits hunter

not a single srs answer
it seems boys you have too much free time in your life

**cincinnatikid513** · 08-23-20, 09:15 AM

whatever is starting next

**mjsuax13** · 08-23-20, 09:29 AM

NBA: I go to every single “tout” site or gambling forum and see what all the losers are on and usually go the opposite. SBR, Picks and Parlays, Pick Dawgs, Covers, Wager Talk, etc... Look at oddshark, check out SBR, check out some history (tougher now than ever) and then see if Morino or Seaweed are making a play on the same game. For overs, I count out the possessions and the probability based on FGP to see if they will get close, for sides I usually just take who I think is the better team and then sometimes I take a shot on the dog ML knowing they could win a close game.

MLB: this year hasn’t been great for me but normally you can get 50-60 games of trends from teamrankings.com and see who is covering over/unders, run lines, etc... and then play the two teams that are above 60% cover rate in each, I played them all last year after that and Seattle was an ATM on overs. I also check out the other loser forums, SBR losers, SBR key players, etc... Some guys have strong seasons. MLB favorites seem to be rolling in this short season. I don’t know... 60 games is not enough time for me to play a trend. Follow some guys on here.

Twitter has a ton of wanna be gamblers but also some real losers. Just look at the comments under tweets and see who the majority are on and bet opposite.

Lastly, Seaweed, Morino, JJ and QH are great fades. Also, any new clown that pops in with an all in bet. Anyone saying “all in” is a buried shit for brains most likely.

**mjsuax13** · 08-23-20, 09:31 AM

All this neutral shit this year takes away historical edge at home/away. It’s just hoops and hockey.

**mjsuax13** · 08-23-20, 09:32 AM

You could be making a ton off tailing LT, Sammy Stache and Mr October in baseball.

**JayLA** · 08-23-20, 09:39 AM

Depends on the sport.
Soccer for me is from, attacking, shot on goal...I'm looking for games that dictate there will be a high pace and shoddy goalkeeping

American sports are about match ups.

I dunno how guys are betting NBA when we have o idea if itll be a bench game, how long they'll keep superstars in etc.

Baseball pitchers obviously.

Football, my friend and I run a model based on matchups that he uses for fantasy football. So, I'll get the numbers and tweak them.

That said, I'm a losing gambler and no one should listen to me

**mjsuax13** · 08-23-20, 09:41 AM

Originally posted by JayLA

Depends on the sport.
Soccer for me is from, attacking, shot on goal...I'm looking for games that dictate there will be a high pace and shoddy goalkeeping

American sports are about match ups.

I dunno how guys are betting NBA when we have o idea if itll be a bench game, how long they'll keep superstars in etc.

Baseball pitchers obviously.

Football, my friend and I run a model based on matchups that he uses for fantasy football. So, I'll get the numbers and tweak them.

That said, I'm a losing gambler and no one should listen to me

LOL. Well said. NBA playoffs are usually good to bet. Regular season about key games. To your point, you never know who is playing or who is sitting.

**mjsuax13** · 08-23-20, 09:47 AM

Vegas Dave another guy to fade.

**JayLA** · 08-23-20, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

LOL. Well said. NBA playoffs are usually good to bet. Regular season about key games. To your point, you never know who is playing or who is sitting.

yeah mean even with baseball, pitchers are getting scratched left and right all sorts of shit is happening this year

Nfl is going to be the same where they'll be subs all game. Hard to bet this year

**The General** · 08-23-20, 09:59 AM

Experience breeds solid intuition.

**mjsuax13** · 08-23-20, 10:07 AM

Originally posted by JayLA

yeah mean even with baseball, pitchers are getting scratched left and right all sorts of shit is happening this year

Nfl is going to be the same where they'll be subs all game. Hard to bet this year

Good point Jay. It’s happened to me numerous times this year. All bets action mostly.

**profits hunter** · 08-24-20, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by The General

Experience breeds solid intuition.

intuition is gambling mate

i need history
i need form
i need stats of 2pts and 3pts and possesions and everything
i need when their last and next game is
i want to know the fukken weather

profits come from possibilities and you need the coorrect info to bring stats with your side

**jjgold** · 08-24-20, 07:00 PM

I know guys that just pick out of a hat or a can and they’re just as good as the guys that study

**Shute** · 08-24-20, 07:11 PM

Look at some write ups
Look at records
Look at injuries
Weather if it’s outside
Try not to put more than 10 minutes per game
Look at momentum/ try to catch a hot team
Gut instincts
Maybe research picks at SBR
place a bet
That’s about it

**Unrivaled** · 08-24-20, 07:17 PM

I flip a coin and bet against myself.

**Shute** · 08-24-20, 07:22 PM

All data is usually already baked into the line
Hard to catch on “off-line”

**HockeyRocks** · 08-24-20, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by profits hunter

not a single srs answer
it seems boys you have too much free time in your life

Most SBR posters don't have any dough...

**pavyracer** · 08-24-20, 09:01 PM

Fade jjgold and seaweed.

**jjgold** · 08-24-20, 09:12 PM

Paver It’s not a bad strategy

**Mr KLC** · 08-24-20, 09:16 PM

It's just like someone who picks their nose. You dig for the gold.

**thomorino** · 08-24-20, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

NBA: I go to every single “tout” site or gambling forum and see what all the losers are on and usually go the opposite. SBR, Picks and Parlays, Pick Dawgs, Covers, Wager Talk, etc... Look at oddshark, check out SBR, check out some history (tougher now than ever) and then see if Morino or Seaweed are making a play on the same game. For overs, I count out the possessions and the probability based on FGP to see if they will get close, for sides I usually just take who I think is the better team and then sometimes I take a shot on the dog ML knowing they could win a close game.

MLB: this year hasn’t been great for me but normally you can get 50-60 games of trends from teamrankings.com and see who is covering over/unders, run lines, etc... and then play the two teams that are above 60% cover rate in each, I played them all last year after that and Seattle was an ATM on overs. I also check out the other loser forums, SBR losers, SBR key players, etc... Some guys have strong seasons. MLB favorites seem to be rolling in this short season. I don’t know... 60 games is not enough time for me to play a trend. Follow some guys on here.

Twitter has a ton of wanna be gamblers but also some real losers. Just look at the comments under tweets and see who the majority are on and bet opposite.

Lastly, Seaweed, Morino, JJ and QH are great fades. Also, any new clown that pops in with an all in bet. Anyone saying “all in” is a buried shit for brains most likely.

You are down over 30 units in the last month fading me, shut the fuk up you dumb shit.

**thomorino** · 08-24-20, 09:33 PM

Originally posted by mjsuax13

NBA: I go to every single “tout” site or gambling forum and see what all the losers are on and usually go the opposite. SBR, Picks and Parlays, Pick Dawgs, Covers, Wager Talk, etc... Look at oddshark, check out SBR, check out some history (tougher now than ever) and then see if Morino or Seaweed are making a play on the same game. For overs, I count out the possessions and the probability based on FGP to see if they will get close, for sides I usually just take who I think is the better team and then sometimes I take a shot on the dog ML knowing they could win a close game.

MLB: this year hasn’t been great for me but normally you can get 50-60 games of trends from teamrankings.com and see who is covering over/unders, run lines, etc... and then play the two teams that are above 60% cover rate in each, I played them all last year after that and Seattle was an ATM on overs. I also check out the other loser forums, SBR losers, SBR key players, etc... Some guys have strong seasons. MLB favorites seem to be rolling in this short season. I don’t know... 60 games is not enough time for me to play a trend. Follow some guys on here.

Twitter has a ton of wanna be gamblers but also some real losers. Just look at the comments under tweets and see who the majority are on and bet opposite.

Lastly, Seaweed, Morino, JJ and QH are great fades. Also, any new clown that pops in with an all in bet. Anyone saying “all in” is a buried shit for brains most likely.

And you are down like everyone else who has tried to fade, post and track, you never will though because you are full of shit.

**KrisBryant17** · 08-24-20, 09:38 PM

Throw darts pal

**Hot Jerry** · 08-24-20, 09:43 PM

LOL - out of barrel - lol .

**clockwise1965** · 08-24-20, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by KrisBryant17

Throw darts pal

or flip a coin