[SsgKen]

Most touts never take a no play day.

BIG DOG has;

NO PLAYS TUESDAY
A lot of Rookies, & Big Favorites

[SsgKen]

The Leader is the only player worth following now. 2-1 last 3 days. 42-18-1 2789

910 LA Dodgers -1.5 (-129) 5-4 loser.

Today;

42-19-1 2660

Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -135 Now -145

[SsgKen]

Mr 22K parlay;

Wager
				Pending	2 Team Parlay
				Pending	7/3/19 7:05pm MLB Baseball 963 Boston Red Sox -265* vs Toronto Blue Jays
				Pending	7/3/19 7:10pm MLB Baseball 966 Tampa Bay Rays -200* vs Baltimore Orioles

[SsgKen]

The Leader is the only player worth following now. 2-1 last 3 days. 42-18-1 2789

910 LA Dodgers -1.5 (-129) 5-4 loser. winner

Today;

42-19-1 2660

Pittsburgh Pirates +1.5 -135 Now -145

22K parlay loser

[SsgKen]

BIG DOG computers took:

PREDICTIONS for WEDNESDAY JULY 3rd

MIN -101 = K. GIBSON winner

MIL -130 = J. CHACIN loser 0-3

1 UNIT PLAY = BET $130


1 UNIT PLAY = BET $101

MIN +145 RL = K. GIBSON wins game 4-3 but loses bet 1 UNIT PLAY = BET $100

+100-130-100=$130 losing day. Not a dependable fade yet.

[SsgKen]

My first notes on Oddsmaker for Mr 22K was on Aug 1, 2018. I noted action of $5,000. He must have had a series of winners; starting with my $1000 plus their matching $1000 with 35X rollover (I thought it was 15X). So it was just a bit of time after the All-Star game the Mr 22K really started hitting pushing the $2000 to $5000; up $3000 by betting conservatively. Thinking no one streaks forever, I bet every dollar in the account trying to hit the needed $70,000 of total action for a withdrawal. My $22,000 has been paid about a little faster than bi-monthly, now @ $6400.


July third. 3-4 losing day

25* Ciinci -145 win

23* LAA - 115 win

18* Houst - 140 win

________________________________

25* Det + 125 lose

25* Oak -105 lose

23* Mets + 125 lose

20* ML Par Bost -270 / TB - 205 loses both sides. One hell of a UD ML parlay. Must have been ~+500

[SsgKen]

Mr. 22K takes;

20* Kyrigos +1.5 (+155)

20* Over 38.5

12* +305 ML

[SsgKen]

Mr. 22K takes;

20* Kyrigos +1.5 (+155)
20* Over 38.5
12* +305 ML

Fade or play. I'm taking the first two.


25* LAA +105

25* Under 4.5 Milw

24* Tor -110

22* Det + 100

20* Under 6 Atl F5 innings

20* KC +120

20* Minny - 140

20* Yanks - 110

18* Cubs-115

15* Milw - 110

[SsgKen]

The Leader takes;

43-19-1 2760

Pittsburgh Pirates +111

[SsgKen]

The Leader took 43-19-1 2760
Pittsburgh Pirates +111

Today 43-20-1 2660;
Colorado / Arizona Over 8.5 -119
________________________________________ ________________
M 22K
tennis was too late to post. loser 25*

15* Under 4.5 Milw win
20* Yanks - 110 win
18* Cubs-115 win
22* Det + 100 win

24* Tor -110 loser

25* LAA +105 loser

20* Under 6 Atl F5 innings score=11 loser
20* KC +120 loser
20* Minny - 140 loser
win 4 lose 5
Not a good fade.

[SsgKen]

When the Leader loses 2 in a row, it's time to take a break.

Good bye for now.

[SsgKen]

Rockies lost by 17 runs to the Giants in Game 1 of their doubleheader.

Since 2005, teams favored after losing their previous game by 15 or more runs have gone 26-11 (+9.36 units)

Game 2 ... Colorado -135

[SsgKen]

It is time for looking for winners again Tuesday 7/16
________________________________________ ________

big bettor Reds TT OVER 4.5 @ -132 $500 win
Marlins TT OVER 3.5 @ -122 $750 win
Dodgers TT OVER 5.5 @ -123 $500 win
________________________________________ _______
The Leader Indians over 10 score 8-0 lose
________________________________________ ____________

Mr 22K on Tuesday 7/16
25* Milw -175 win 25
18* Toronto +170 win 31.50
18* Mets +150 win 27
16* Ariz + 145 win 23.20
25* Stl -175 lose 43.75
23* Wsox - 120 lose 11-0 27.60
22* TB +145 lose 22
22* Under 8 SD 12-7 lose 24

106.7-117.35= Tuesday total -10.65 times $5 per star

________________________________________ ___________________

Mr. 22K All plays ACTION Wednesday 7/17/2019
5-2-2= win +3 times your star $5 I played 22* average up $330
________________________________________ ___________________


Today's bets later as posted

[SsgKen]

The Leader

Lost last time out cause the Phillies bullpen is one of the worst I've ever seen....

7/15 Royals +1.5 (-140) winner Junis

________________________________________ ____

today

Play of the Day 7/18
Marlins +1.5 (-160)
_______________________________________

Good picker #2

2-0 last 2

For today

Detroit Tigers ML +183 and

Detroit Tigers +1.5 (-115)

____________________________________

BIG BETTOR;

Marlins have been good to me over the year,

I’m stacking all on this game

Miami Marlins ML @ +105 $750

Miami Marlins +1.5 @ -161 $500

Miami Marlins TT OVER 3.5 @ -106 $350

Miami Marlins F5 +.5 @ -140 $250


BIG DOG computer picker

PREDICTIONS for
THURSDAY JULY 18th

PHILLY -103 - A. NOLA
1 Unit - Bet $103
​
​
SEASON 2ND HALF

FAVORITES 5 - 0 = 100.0% $500
DOGS 0 - 3 = 0.0% -$209
ALL 5 - 3 = 62.5% $291

[SsgKen]

It is back to looking for me for a while.

[SsgKen]

Dodgers are now 40-0 in day games as a home favorite of at least -200.

Greinke is 32-12-4 (+$708 / 14.7% ROI) as an F5 home favorite since he signed with Arizona.

Rockies 2-12 their last 14 ... 0-14 on the Run Line. Play their opponents.

Notable F5 Trends:


BAL 0-7 in Last 7
TB 7-1-1 in Last 9
CWS 1-9-1 in Last 11
OAK 20-5-2 in Last 27
DET 0-12-1 Last 13 at home
DET Under in 8 of Last 11 at home
COL Under in 14 of Last 17 on road
CIN Under in 8 of Last 9 at home
TB Under in 7 of Last 7 at home
WSH Under in 8 of Last 9
NYY Under in 8 of Last 9
MIN Under in 8 of Last 8
MIL Under in 8 of Last 8

[SsgKen]

No one I follow seems to be consistent. I noticed the last three days the road team won more than lost. I took a bet on every road team.
This is the time one year ago mr 22K and a few others pushed my 2K to 5K betting modestly. I thought the oddsmaker rollover was 7X, I asked for $1000 back to play on house money. Reply was R/O was 35X. I bet every dime on action of 5K July 27, 6k, next day, 7k @ noon winning 2k betting the avalible cash of 2k, to July 31 8k, to Aug 2 over 76k of action. I finally got a $2000 check and cut off to $50 bets.

Detroit Tigers to win +120
San Francisco Giants +135
Texas Ranger -103 Houston
Astros -114
Cleveland Indians to win -129
Minnesota Twins to win -160
Chicago Cubs to win -110
New York Yankees -126
Arizona Diamondbacks -180
Pittsburgh Pirates +155
Tampa Bay Ray -150
Atlanta Braves to win -127
Los Angeles Dodgers -170





Old news;

7/23 Mr. 22K

30* Cubs -110 win 30

30* Minny +110 win 33

24* Under 7.5 TB win 24

18* Seattle-125 win 18

25* Det +140 lose 25

23* SD -140 lose 23

20* LAA +165 lose 20

20* Cinci +140 lose 20

18* Par Wash - 230 / Houst -155 lose 18

18* Pitt -125 lose 18

win 97 lose ~126= -29

next day

16* Baltimore +210 win 33

15* Texas + 165 win 24
winners total 77
22* WSOX +130 lose

22* Under 8.5

Wsox lose

20* Yanks -115 lose

22+24+23= 69 win 8


yesterday

Mr 22K

26* Miami-105 win

24* Cinci +105 win22

* Bost-125 win

17* Cubs -110 lose

28* Minny +105 lose

winning day 72-45= 27*

Good picker

Indians, -150 (2 units) win
Rangers +1.5, -125 win

Tex Oak under 9.5, -120 lose
Yankees, -125 (3 units) lose
lose on day 3-4


the Leader CWS lose

[SsgKen]

Winners 7 but in real life 9. Losers 6. A 9-6 winning day if I made it around 11:00 am and 9-5 if I did not play the Yanks away (breaking trend test.)


No line on two games at 04:42 when I made these bets so I missed the Rockies 12-2 and Orioles 9-3 winners. Also, I do not like to play the Yankees away but I took it anyway. That's two winners missed and one I was capper enough to call as a no-play but I took it anyway.

I give myself a "B" on noticing the trend but an F on paying attention to the missing lines. Saturday bets to be made around noon. Yanks are 0-2 away with 2 games left in series. A no-play for me but a bet Sunday if they start 0-3.

[SsgKen]

A classic answer from a coach is "after a deep hit to center, does the runner on second try for home or stay safely on third? Answer; if we are at home, he tries for home but away he sits on third. Babe Ruth said "that year I could have hit .600 if I tried for singles but that is not what the fans pay to see."
Fooled By Randomness "The more data we have the more likely we are to drown in it"


Observation: Members who were using classical statistical analysis like STAT MAN started up 35 $100 betting units early then changing nothing, he goes on a losing streak over 44 units knocking himself out of the early contest. Prediction: Home teams will play to win on the weekends 2-0 so far.Prediction: road teams will win on the road on poorly attended weekdays.3-0 observed. Pay no attention to statistical analysis.

Los Angeles Angels +185 win

Oakland Athletics +145 win

Miami Marlins +147 win

Washington Nationals +104 win

Kansas City Royals +160 win

San Diego Padres +102 lose

St. Louis Cardinals +125 lose

Chicago White Sox +170 lose

home dogs 5-3 up 4.41 units up 1.85+1.45+1.47+1.04+1.60-1-1-1=4.41

Cincinnati Reds -155 win

Seattle Mariners -115 win

New York Mets -129 win

Los Angeles Angels -220 win

Oakland Athletics -210 win

Milwaukee Brewers -111 lose

Boston Red Sox -185 lose

home favs 5-2 up .08 with vigc
all it to break even
missed because of late line Philly win
Toronto loses

**************************************** **************

TODAY ROAD TEAMS TO WIN

early lines Detroit Tigers +200

Los Angeles Dodgers -139

Toronto Blue Jays +102

Pittsburgh Pirates +160

Arizona Diamondbacks -109

Atlanta Braves +135

[SsgKen]

Tuesday; taking all home teams with ML < -150

Oakland Athletics -122
Colorado Rockies +132
Kansas City Royals -111
St. Louis Cardinals +110
Chicago White Sox +132
Texas Rangers -125
Miami Marlins +128
Boston Red Sox -138
Cincinnati Reds -142
Cleveland Indians +120
Washington Nationals -112
Philadelphia Phillies -124



Mr. 22K had a great day yesterday; waiting for today.
24* Wash -150 win

23* Miami -105 win

22* Cinci -215 win

20* SD -260 win

18* Colo + 115 win

15* Det + 220 win

18* Over 13 Colo lose

20* U 7.5 Miami lose

[SsgKen]

The capper I called "the Leader" pick of the day;

Chicago White Sox

+1.5 -120

[SsgKen]

Mr 22K takes

27* Atl -105

27* Tor -110

24* TB +125

24* Cleve +130

24* Seattle + 115

24* Wsox + 135

24* Miami +130

22* Milw +110

18* Colo +140

15* Over 10.5 Atl

[SsgKen]

The capper I called "the Leader" pick of the day;
That's it. No one is hitting. Sorry guys. I had run my $495 "seed money" up to $2200 but that's gone.
Chicago White Sox

+1.5 -120

[SsgKen]

No pick but some stats;

Most Profitable Pitchers to Fade (meaning bet the other team)

Chris Sale:+17.61u (14-8)
Jacob deGrom:+12.49u (14-8)
Max Scherzer:+9.28u (11-9)
Tyler Mahle:+8.78u (15-4)
Jhoulys Chacin:+7.1u (13-6)
Jack Flaherty:+6.78u (12-10)
Trevor Richards:+6.27u (16-4)

[SsgKen]

Aaron Sanchez makes his first start for Houston today as a -210 Home Favorite ... His ERA is 6.07 this season

Starters with an ERA of 6.00 or more who are Home Favorite’s of -200 or more after the All-Star Break are solid since 2008:

SU: 17-0
RL: 14-3

Houston Astros to win

ODDS: Point Spread (-1.5) -115



Houston Astros to win

ODDS: -210

I made two bets because oddsmaker has me at a $50 limit.

[Roscoe_Word]

Aaron Sanchez makes his first start for Houston today as a -210 Home Favorite ... His ERA is 6.07 this season

Starters with an ERA of 6.00 or more who are Home Favorite’s of -200 or more after the All-Star Break are solid since 2008:

SU: 17-0
RL: 14-3

Houston Astros to win

ODDS: Point Spread (-1.5) -115



Houston Astros to win

ODDS: -210

I made two bets because oddsmaker has me at a $50 limit.

Good stats. Counter-intuitive. $50 limit for a base sides? Wow!

[SsgKen]

Good stats. Counter-intuitive. $50 limit for a base sides? Wow!

I have a thread on oddsmaker rated F that I won $22,000 2 years ago and I still have $5400 to collect.

[SsgKen]

thread here;
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...shall-see.html

So I was up over $1000 buying bitcoins on a dip. I then get an email in July offering a 100% bonus on my decade-old oddsmaker account. I checked and there was still $500 in their "Free Money" where on a $30 bet, they only deduct $29 giving over a 3% deduction on the vig. I was following some amazing bettors in MLB and I quickly put $16,000 at risk and requested a $2000 withdrawal, their maximum. I was told my SUMMER2018 bonus was my $1000+their $1000 had a 30X rollover or $60,000.

I started logging my money at risk on July 27 of $5000, then each day almost my full total until Aug 2 @ $8,200. for a total of over $76,000. Why not? I was winning. So August 4 I requested my $2000 with some fee. For a while, I felt good until I logged in here and saw the F rating.

Color me stupid. I am a good picker but a bad bettor. I put money into bookmaker and other A-rated 'books. I faded these bets at oddsmaker. All that did on my losing Phillies $950--->$500 @ bookmaker but won more maybe useless credits $950 @ oddsmaker for a total of $18,488.
If I ever get paid, I will post here. At least my $1000+their $500 bookmaker account is now $6,049. I always put any gaming winning on my Form 1040 as I am on an IRS watch list so I use real money instead of units. I will be funding more A rated 'books soon because some football props are almost like free money but a risk limit of $100.

[SsgKen]

Aaron Sanchez makes his first start for Houston today as a -210 Home Favorite ... His ERA is 6.07 this seasonStarters with an ERA of 6.00 or more who are Home Favorite’s of -200 or more after the All-Star Break are solid since 2008:SU: 17-0
RL: 14-3

Houston Astros to win

ODDS: Point Spread (-1.5) -115



Houston Astros to win

ODDS: -210

I made two bets because oddsmaker has me at a $50 limit.

Both winners. 9-0 Houston Astros also fin first 5.

[SsgKen]

No pick but some stats;

Most Profitable Pitchers to Fade (meaning bet the other team)

Chris Sale:+17.61u (14-8)
Jacob deGrom:+12.49u (14-8)

At these odds, I am taking;

Straight
	Miami Marlins - Game #1(S. Alcantara -R) VS New York Mets - Game #1(J. deGrom -R)
	#1		+274
	Action (any pitchers)vs. deGrom listed
	Risk 109.50 To Win 300.03

Mr 22K is cold. He took not the Yankees.

[SsgKen]

With J. deGrom pitching this should be a hit fest. Over 8 -107

[SsgKen]

BIG BETTOR has been doing well hitting 5 of 6 yesterday. Here is his post:

I made a round robin of 3s,4,s,5s, for $4 each

Total Risk : 414.00
Total Potential Win : 9,156.73

and a single parlay of:

Parlay $50.00 $4,550.86
Baseball - 978 Minnesota Twins -½ -115 for 1st 5 Innings

Baseball - 963 New York Yankees/Baltimore Orioles over 11 +100 for Game

Baseball - 970 Tampa Bay Rays -1½ -105 for Game

Baseball - 967 Kansas City Royals/Boston Red Sox over 11 +101 for Game

Baseball - 973 Los Angeles Angels/Cincinnati Reds over 10 -105 for Game

Baseball - 975 Oakland Athletics +1½ -155 for Game

Baseball - 960 Los Angeles Dodgers -1½ -105 for Game

good luck to all.

[SsgKen]

Yesterday was a disaster.

I found out Mr 22K tweets as;
Dino K
@gg_goldengreek
28* Par : TB -225 / Houst -370 win

25* Atl - 115 win

18* Det +115 win

22* Stl +120 lose

17* U 9 Houst lose

[SsgKen]

Crap. Those are today's plays. 11:50 AM · Aug 7, 2019 I used yesterday games.

[SsgKen]

Padres 1st game back from a road trip, F5 and Full Game Under is combined (15-0-1)

Tonight is their 1st game back from a two game series in Houston.