maybe the type of sports betting that you do, who knows what's going on in the minds of the average losing gamblerOriginally Posted by KVB
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03-01-20 12:15 AM #89566
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03-01-20 12:19 AM #89567
if it happens with other cannabinoids, why not? too many factors to tell what's what, hard to understand the entourage effect Originally Posted by KVB
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03-01-20 12:38 AM #89568
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03-01-20 01:10 AM #89569
Absolutely amazing post , like all your others Originally Posted by turtledoves
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03-01-20 01:22 AM #89570
Wh1te B0y Fr0m Fr3nchL1cK
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03-01-20 01:25 AM #89571
He to mention the warmup jacket
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03-01-20 01:33 AM #89572
Fuk, now we have an issue as Houston won by one point. The trigger was at Houston +1 and this will could affect our trading and signals as a win became a tie. Originally Posted by KVB
May have to carry two sets of tracking now.
I really fukked up here.
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03-01-20 01:38 AM #89573
last of equipment comes tomorrow.
Last edited by turtledoves; 03-03-20 at 11:54 PM.
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03-01-20 01:41 AM #89574
you'll always be my dog Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow
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03-01-20 02:10 AM #89575
Bruh, that’s a lot of colorful dildos. Originally Posted by turtledoves
last of equipment comes tomorrow.
controller and sensors. gonna run tubing from tank to oscillating fan. not sure if I need portable 2 hose a/c or if the LEDs are cool enough sealed. exhaust can trigger based on temps. dripper domes fit nice. we'll see how it leaks.
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03-01-20 02:15 AM #89576
Ribbed, for her pleasure.
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03-01-20 11:48 AM #89577
the kids will have fun with it
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03-01-20 12:01 PM #89578
I haven’t looked at this thread in 2 yrs and I come in to see a giant pack of dildos. Why am i not surprised?
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03-01-20 12:07 PM #89579
What's with the rainbow dildos?
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03-01-20 12:32 PM #89580
Let's get this thread back on track.
Points Awarded:
KVB gave DiggityDaggityDo 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: stevek173
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03-01-20 12:41 PM #89581
Originally Posted by grease lightnin
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03-01-20 01:44 PM #89582
Here's the KVB NBA Contrarian Fund after 107 plays with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison. The snapshot of the last summary is at the top with the subsequent plays and running numbers following...
1 Unit Closing Beat BTC Record Date NBA Contrarian Fund per bet Line Closer? Average 48-58 Feb 28 Summary -12.56 32-31-43 0.028302 557 48-58-1 29-Feb HOU -1 (-105) 0 -1.5 Y 0.5 48-58-1 Total -12.56 33-31-43 0.03271
Houston will be tracked as the push that was posted but notice what a difference just one game can make.
The closing line comparison is on the rise, but would have risen more...
Here are the units, push with Houston or not, we may see some sideways action in the market...
But let's look closer at the technicals with the true Houston +1 on Feb 29th built in...
First, I want to point out just how difficult sports betting is even when you have a cash cow like the one I'm showing here. One simple miss can derail a lot of work.
Second, I want to point out the importance of the Houston game and the move all the way to -1.5 and even -2 in some places at this point in the markets.
Third, as we saw it end at Houston -1 readers are starting to get a glimpse of how they bring it in the context of what's being brought.
Finally, look closely at the pattern in the adjusted chart above, showing the true Hou +1 trigger. We are still in any one of the three patterns highlighted in the example below, with the NBA chart stretching it out just a bit; that mechanism with NBA is also something I've mentioned recently and plays out in the professional sports more often than not in a dragged out fashion...
All we can do now is patiently wait to see where we end up from here. As we close in on a signal expect to see this adjusted chart a few more times.
In 20 plays it won't matter about a push or cover for Houston as it will be out of our technical range. In the end the final SBR Contrarian Fund total tracking may be short a unit than than it's real performance, but if you remember there were enough mistakes pointed out pregame to put the MLB Contrarian Fund, which ended up more than +7 units, to actually be up more than 15 units...which was the reality of the MLB Fund.
"Push it through the door
Cuz in between the lines
I'm gonna pack more lines..."
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03-01-20 03:46 PM #89583
I see a shipment of plastic Easter eggs, you see dildos. Why am i not surprised? Originally Posted by grease lightnin
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03-01-20 03:57 PM #89584
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03-01-20 04:36 PM #89585
The KVB NBA Contrarian Fund has picked up...
574 1-Mar NO +1.5 (-101)
Here we go!!
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03-01-20 04:56 PM #89586
Originally Posted by KVB
Here's the KVB NCAAB Technical Value Fund through 57 plays with links to each play and a crude closing line comparison.
This Fund is 37-20, +14.86 units. I have added two columns to the tracking spreadsheet. I didn't post the forecasts so I can't rightfully show you average line error but we can do Action Points...a popular SBR contests tie breaker.
The action points are how much the bet covered or didn't cover the spread. If a team is +5 points and they lose by 7, the action points are -2. If they lose by 3, the action points are +2. If the +5 team wins outright by 2 points, then the action points are +7 points.
The final column is the result if the moneyline had been bet on each team instead of the spread. I used closing moneylines here and because the Fund is slightly ahead of the closer the +3.66 profit would have been slightly higher if the moneylines had been bought at the trigger times. Since this Fund triggers at the market open, I guess I should have used the moneyline openers...lol.
Record Date NCAAB Technical Value Fund 1 Unit Closing Beat BTC ATS Action 1 unit ATS per bet Line Closer? Average Points ml close 715 1-0 20-Nov ELON +31 (-110) 0.91 29.5 Y 1.5 17 -1 769 2-0 21-Nov MISSOURI ST +8 (-108) 0.93 6.5 Y 1.5 4 -1 833 3-0 25-Nov STANFORD +5 (-110) 0.91 4.5 Y 0.5 14 1.8 763 3-1 28-Nov TEX A&M +1.5 (-105) -1 3 N -1.5 -7.5 -1 839 3-2 29-Nov TENN +1.5 (-109) -1 2 N -0.5 -1.5 -1 627 4-2 30-Nov N KENTUCKY +17 (-105) 0.95 15 Y 2 11 -1 747 5-2 3-Dec LOYOLA CHI +1 (-101) 0.99 1 PUSH 0 13 0.95 749 6-2 N KENTUCKY +4 (-105) 0.95 4 PUSH 0 26 1.55 737 6-3 7-Dec COLORADO +9.5 (-105) -1 10.5 N -1 -4.5 -1 773 7-3 8-Dec WICHITA ST +5.5 (-110) 0.91 3.5 Y 2 24.5 1.46 790 7-4 TEX A&M +8.5 (-105) -1 10.5 N -1.5 -1.5 -1 724 8-4 19-Dec UL MONROE +1.5 (-105) 0.95 4 N -2.5 0.5 -1 687 8-5 21-Dec N KENTUCKY +6 (-110) -1 8 N -2 -11 -1 708 9-5 TEX A&M +6.5 (-110) 0.91 6.5 PUSH 0 21.5 2.22 748 10-5 COLORADO +5 (-110) 0.91 5 PUSH 0 7 1.89 624 11-5 2-Jan CHARLOTTE +1 (-110) 0.91 0 Y 1 8 0.95 691 12-5 4-Jan ND +3.5 (-105) 0.95 3.5 PUSH 0 4.5 1.39 759 12-6 TEXAS +9.5 (-105) -1 8.5 Y 1 -5.5 -1 639 12-7 7-Jan LOYOLA CHI +1 (-105) -1 1.5 N -0.5 -2 -1 785 12-8 8-Jan ND + 4.5 (-112) -1 2.5 Y 2 -0.5 -1 621 13-8 11-Jan BG +1.5 (-105) 0.95 0 Y 1.5 9.5 0.85 646 14-8 ND +3.5 (-105) 0.95 3 Y 0.5 0.5 -1 821 15-8 15-Jan TEXAS +3 (-105) 0.95 3.5 N -0.5 15 1.45 839 16-8 ND +2 (-105) 0.95 2 PUSH 0 6 1.15 611 17-8 16-Jan CHARLOTTE +5.5 (-105) 0.95 6 N -0.5 7.5 2.26 656 17-9 18-Jan TEXAS +8 (-105) -1 8 PUSH 0 -1 -1 735 17-10 18-Jan CHARLOTTE +6.5 (-110) -1 6 Y 0.5 -10.5 -1 765 17-11 STANFORD +1.5 (-105) -1 3.5 N -2 -2.5 -1 871 18-11 20-Jan CHARLOTTE +4.5 (+100) 1 4.5 PUSH 0 0.5 -1 875 18-12 TEXAS +9 (-110) -1 8.5 Y 0.5 -29 -1 619 19-12 21-Jan E MICH +9 (-105) 0.95 8.5 Y 0.5 6 -1 631 19-13 25-Jan E MICH +4.5 (-110) -1 4 Y 0.5 -0.5 -1 746 20-13 DARTMOUTH +5 (-105) 0.95 4.5 Y 0.5 -1 -1 845 20-14 26-Jan LOYOLA CHI +4.5 (-105) -1 4 Y 0.5 -0.5 -1 835 21-14 29-Jan TEXAS +4 (-105) 0.95 4 PUSH 0 5 1.6 629 21-15 30-Jan CHARLOTTE +9.5 (-105) -1 9.5 PUSH 0 -3.5 -1 861 21-16 31-Jan DARTMOUTH +5 (-108) -1 5.5 N -0.5 -17 -1 634 22-16 1-Feb E MICH +3.5 (-105) 0.95 3.5 PUSH 0 7.5 1.45 752 23-16 STANFORD +2 (-105) 0.95 2.5 N -0.5 12 1.25 867 24-16 3-Feb TEXAS +14 (+100) 1 14.5 N -0.5 3 -1 614 25-17 16-Jan E MICH +4 (-105) 0.95 3.5 Y 0.5 8 1.42 813 26-17 5-Feb GEORGIA +10 (-110) 0.91 9.5 Y 0.5 4 -1 683 26-18 6-Feb STANFORD +1.5 (-105) -1 1 Y 0.5 -6.5 -1 853 27-18 7-Feb DARTMOUTH +4.5 (-105) 0.95 3.5 Y 1 2.5 -1 671 27-19 15-Feb GEORGIA +1 (-110) -1 -1 Y 2 -4 -1 800 28-19 19-Feb GEORGIA +3.5 (-110) 0.91 4 N -0.5 13.5 1.76 657 28-20 22-Feb LOYOLA CHI +1 (-105) -1 -1 Y 2 -11 -1 824 29-20 23-Feb E CAROL +3 (-110) 0.91 3.5 N -0.5 7 1.46 872 30-20 24-Feb TEXAS +5.5 (-102) 0.98 5.5 PUSH 0 15.5 2.02 783 31-20 26-Feb GEORGIA +5.5 (-110) 0.91 6 N -0.5 1.5 -1 819 32-20 E CAROL +8.5 (-110) 0.91 7.5 Y 1 3.5 -1 609 33-20 27-Feb IONA +1.5 (-105) 0.95 1.5 PUSH 0 19.5 1.14 669 34-20 PORTLAND +17.5 (-105) 0.95 17 Y 0.5 1.5 -1 605 35-20 29-Feb TEXAS +11 (-105) 0.95 11.5 N -0.5 21 5.57 611 36-20 LOYOLA CHI +3 (-105) 0.95 2 Y 1 4 1.11 636 36-20 E CAROL +6 (-110) -1 5.5 Y 0.5 -15 -1 718 37-20 GEORGIA +1 (-105) 0.95 1 PUSH 0 Action 11 0.96 Points: 37-20 Total: 14.86 26-17-14 0.175 mean: 3.5 3.66 median: 3.5
If you look at the Action Points list, you can see wide range of numbers. Despite the scattered cursory look, both the mean and median points in that list are the same at +3.5 points. As sometimes the wheels come off in a game in, either direction, it's interesting that the average and median are the same.
The Action Points is one way to assess the how the bring it part of the equation and can be done against the triggered lines and the close. This way we can get a relative market comparison. It's not the best, it's the start I'm offering. Also, this is not a market tracking Fund so the way that information is treated is not the same. I just wanted to introduce the stat and challenge readers to track their action points as well.
While we like the positive action points the closing line comparison can tell us much more. It's nice to see a positive running average but it would nicer to get it closer to .5 points...
The Units have looked like this...
Not much to say here, just wish we generated more plays as it's been cookin' in this kitchen...
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03-01-20 05:40 PM #89587
Originally Posted by grease lightnin
2 years ?
Two years?
Then kindly go fukk yourself Greaser
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03-01-20 05:45 PM #89588
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03-01-20 05:54 PM #89589
Glad he lost Originally Posted by KVB
Looking like a idiot doing that shit
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03-01-20 05:54 PM #89590
Tell ya what , i wouldn't want to be a UFC ref
For many reasons
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03-01-20 07:45 PM #89591
Davis announced out and NO becomes a -1.5 to -2 point favorite. Sound familiar? Originally Posted by KVB
Here's the chart if NO covers the +1.5...
Here it is if NO +1.5 fails...
I hate to lead eary and NO scored first, led after one quarter, and leads now 39-38.
Which pattern do you think I expect to see with the NBA, who "stretches it out" as I've been saying?
Last edited by KVB; 03-01-20 at 07:49 PM. Reason: forgot to put chart
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03-01-20 07:58 PM #89592
So with NO up 50-45 over the Lakers, I have picked up Lakers +150 LIVE, despite no Davis.
Risky, but +150 is worth it as the Lakers can win and still not cover the -1.5.
If NO, the Contrarian Fund play covers, we don't have a trading signal, but it's close.
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03-01-20 08:05 PM #89593
This has to be the most incredible thread ever posted on any forum anywhere.
Fidel has an amazing talent.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: KVB
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03-01-20 08:19 PM #89594
Lakers with a 2 point lead at half. This is a key time for the market and I sure as hell wasn't the only looking to grab LA at good odds. Originally Posted by KVB
Taking the lead BEFORE the half negates the half time pressure that would have been on the Lakers.
Now any Lakers pressure on the 2nd half line can fail because with the Lakers having a 3 point lead, New Orleans can win the second half and cover the +1.5 leaving it open to still lose the game and not cover the closing line, which has them favored.
As a result, we should see the halftime line grow in favor or New Orleans. It matters that Davis is out.
This is my interpretation of the market I see.
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03-01-20 08:20 PM #89595
Originally Posted by 19th Hole
This has to be the most incredible thread ever posted on any forum anywhere.
Fidel has an amazing talent.
Points Awarded:
19th Hole gave KVB 1 Betpoint(s) for this post.
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03-01-20 08:28 PM #89596
When I went to post that in the Gold's PT daily plays thread, I forgot to delete that GIF. Originally Posted by DiggityDaggityDo
SBR Tony went ahead and took care of that for me with an edit.
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03-01-20 09:59 PM #89597
Originally Posted by KVB
Originally Posted by KVB
Originally Posted by KVB
It's only after you can appreciate what they bring that you will truly be able to appreciate how they bring it. Originally Posted by KVB
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03-02-20 03:32 PM #89598
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03-02-20 04:34 PM #89599
The KVB NBA ATS/ML Fund has picked up...
585 2-Mar MIL -4 (-110) 589 IND -2 (-105)
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03-02-20 04:36 PM #89600
The KVB NBA Totals Fund has picked up...
580 2-Mar POR/ATL UNDER 220 (+100)
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