1. #112911
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576


  2. #112912
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    Are the Ducks (+5.5) gonna quack tomorrow?...

  3. #112913
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    y0


  4. #112914
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    STILL one of the best crossovers ever


  5. #112915
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Just laughed so hard


  6. #112916
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Hey, man

    That's Negative Negative Alpha Bisabolololololol to you.



    Bisabolol, or more formally α-(−)-bisabolol or also known as levomenol, is a natural monocyclic sesquiterpene alcohol. It is a colorless viscous oil that is the primary constituent of the essential oil from German chamomile (Matricaria recutita) and Myoporum crassifolium. It is poorly soluble in water and glycerin, but soluble in ethanol. The enantiomer, α-(+)-bisabolol, is also found naturally but is rare. Synthetic bisabolol is usually a racemic mixture of the two, α-(±)-bisabolol.

    Bisabolol has a weak sweet floral aroma and is used in various fragrances. It has also been used for hundreds of years in cosmetics because of its perceived skin healing properties. Bisabolol is known to have anti-irritant, anti-inflammatory, and anti-microbial properties. Bisabolol is also demonstrated to enhance the percutaneous absorption of certain molecules.


    Woo Woo Woo ooooh

    Woo Woo Woo ooooh

  7. #112917
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    Are the Ducks (+5.5) gonna quack tomorrow?...
    Tight line on purpose here. My stacking forecast shows Iowa winning with 76 or 77 points to Oregon's 70 or 71.

    That's Iowa winning by 5, 6 or 7 points in a 146, 147, or 148 point game.

    All of these scores with basically equal probablity.

    Iowa and Garza just might press on. They are sure to draw the money and probably the tickets with the -4 opener. Not surprised the Total crept up to the 147 and 148 range from the early opener of 145.5, not just from those numbers, but the bettors do tend to take favorite and over.

    Market wise I like Iowa, but I don't see a bet here for me.


  8. #112918
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419


  9. #112919
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Just laughed so hard


  10. #112920
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Da Manster!

  11. #112921
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419


  12. #112922
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419


  13. #112923
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Watching over the Illini game
    Loyola Chi deserves ALL THE CREDIT
    great coaching and gameplan
    TENACIOUS TENACITY
    won that game from start to finish

  14. #112924
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Here are my stacking percentages forecasts that get adjusted for this apples and oranges out of conference play based on how far teams deviate from their conference medians and how those conference medians deviate from the league as a whole across a whole spectrum of shit (all kinds of different stats, including pace and game style).

    It's crazy.

    Next to each team is the probable scores and next to that is what I would consider a probable bet using just the forecast's discrepency from the current market...
    OKLAHOMA 65 66 GONZAGA COVER
    GONZAGA 90
    OHIO 73 74 OHIO UPSET
    CREIGHTON 70 71 UNDER
    USC 72 73 USC COVER
    KANSAS 68 69 OVER
    OREGON 70 71
    IOWA 76 77
    LSU 76 LSU UPSET
    MICHIGAN 71 72
    COLORADO 74 COLO UPSET
    FLORIDA ST 70 71 OVER
    ABILENE C 79 ABILENE UPSET
    UCLA 65 66 OVER
    MARYLAND 63 64 ALABAMA COVER
    ALABAMA 72 73

  15. #112925
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    Watching over the Illini game
    Loyola Chi deserves ALL THE CREDIT
    great coaching and gameplan
    TENACIOUS TENACITY
    won that game from start to finish
    Outright wore down the Illini, they were laboring.

  16. #112926
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Smoking a blunt to this


  17. #112927
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    I'm loving Abeline Christian (+4.5)...probably my lock and best bet in the morning - afternoon slate of games....I've seen them play a couple of times this year and they are legit...they ran roughshod through the Southland conference (which gave us a Stephen F. Austin upset) so that conference is not devoid of talent...UCLA is also playing their 3rd game in 5 days so fatigue and tired legs might be an issue...the Wildcats have been good to me this year and have been one of my cash cows...I will keep riding the hot hand!...

  18. #112928
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    I'm loving Abeline Christian (+4.5)...probably my lock and best bet in the morning - afternoon slate of games....I've seen them play a couple of times this year and they are legit...they ran roughshod through the Southland conference (which gave us a Stephen F. Austin upset) so that conference is not devoid of talent...UCLA is also playing their 3rd game in 5 days so fatigue and tired legs might be an issue...the Wildcats have been good to me this year and have been one of my cash cows...I will keep riding the hot hand!...
    That post above I have Abilene winning by 13 or 14 points.

    Crazy.


  19. #112929
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Here are my stacking percentages forecasts that get adjusted for this apples and oranges out of conference play based on how far teams deviate from their conference medians and how those conference medians deviate from the league as a whole across a whole spectrum of shit (all kinds of different stats, including pace and game style).

    It's crazy.

    Next to each team is the probable scores and next to that is what I would consider a probable bet using just the forecast's discrepency from the current market...
    OKLAHOMA 65 66 GONZAGA COVER
    GONZAGA 90
    OHIO 73 74 OHIO UPSET
    CREIGHTON 70 71 UNDER
    USC 72 73 USC COVER
    KANSAS 68 69 OVER
    OREGON 70 71
    IOWA 76 77
    LSU 76 LSU UPSET
    MICHIGAN 71 72
    COLORADO 74 COLO UPSET
    FLORIDA ST 70 71 OVER
    ABILENE C 79 ABILENE UPSET
    UCLA 65 66 OVER
    MARYLAND 63 64 ALABAMA COVER
    ALABAMA 72 73
    WTF is going on here?......these results and scores are identical to oddshark.com!.......KVB, are you affiliated with them?!!...Is there any kind of relationship or correlation?...I know this can't be strictly coincidence...

  20. #112930
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Manster is all biznizz nemore

  21. #112931
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    My man ain’t fukkin with music or anything
    just cashing tickets

  22. #112932
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    WTF is going on here?......these results and scores are identical to oddshark.com!.......KVB, are you affiliated with them?!!...Is there any kind of relationship or correlation?...I know this can't be strictly coincidence...
    Strictly coincidence.

    But I wouldn't be suprised. There's many ways to reach the same numbers.

    Look how close some of them are to the market.

    A lot of cappers are very close to or in the same ball park.

    Haven't been to oddshark in ages.

    Let's see how close they are to me next round.


  23. #112933
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Strictly coincidence.

    But I wouldn't be suprised. There's many ways to reach the same numbers.

    Look how close some of them are to the market.

    A lot of cappers are very close to or in the same ball park.

    Haven't been to oddshark in ages.

    Let's see how close they are to me next round.

    Bro, I shit you not...take a look...https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/computer-picks

  24. #112934
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    I'm down with some beastie.

    The ole Beastie cover says EATME in the mirror.


  25. #112935
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Came across BrickJames at the club the other night

    he wouldn’t face the camera cuz his nose is bit crooked


  26. #112936
    Da Manster!
    Da Manster!'s Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-13-07
    Posts: 17,666
    Betpoints: 2798

    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post
    My man ain’t fukkin with music or anything
    just cashing tickets
    Dat time of year again, brother!...let's cash some mad coin first and then have some fun later!...

  27. #112937
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    Bro, I shit you not...take a look...https://www.oddsshark.com/ncaab/computer-picks
    WTF???

    They are close, but not identical.

    Interesting they have Gonzaga at 89.6. I have them at more than 90 but I cap the category at basically 90 and above.

    Other than that they are literally within my point windows on every freakin' game tomorrow.

    I'm watching that page next round.

    Unreal.

  28. #112938
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419




    <iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/fJliUiYbvEIoM" width="480" height="480" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/Obama--exercise-veep-fJliUiYbvEIoM">

  29. #112939
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    I'm not sure if this is good or bad.

    The bottom of that page shows a record ATS, it's not bad.

    I wonder if that's the last 100 tourney plays or just plays overall.

  30. #112940
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    Quote Originally Posted by Fidel_CashFlow View Post



    <iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/fJliUiYbvEIoM" width="480" height="480" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a rel="nofollow" href="https://giphy.com/gifs/Obama--exercise-veep-fJliUiYbvEIoM">


    Is he really lifting the weight there?

  31. #112941
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419

    Quote Originally Posted by Da Manster! View Post
    Dat time of year again, brother!...let's cash some mad coin first and then have some fun later!...
    Ur crazy
    dude have you ever tongued a hookers fartbox
    Last edited by Fidel_CashFlow; 03-22-21 at 12:25 AM.

  32. #112942
    KVB
    It's not what they bring...
    KVB's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 05-29-14
    Posts: 74,849
    Betpoints: 7576

    I wonder if we've exposed something there with Abilene Manster.

    I feel like the Colorado numbers are a little inflated because of the last game's 3 point performance.

    But Abilene is a more stable forecast. I don't like the spot though, I think UCLA benefits from the outlying forecast.


  33. #112943
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419




    <iframe src="https://giphy.com/embed/YpwSw00aOaoIhPVSAF" width="480" height="480" frameBorder="0" class="giphy-embed" allowFullScreen></iframe><p><a href="https://giphy.com/gifs/joebiden-joe-biden-2020election-YpwSw00aOaoIhPVSAF">

  34. #112944
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419


  35. #112945
    Fidel_CashFlow
    Fidel_CashFlow's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-03-12
    Posts: 53,995
    Betpoints: 30419


First ... 3224322532263227322832293230 ... Last
Top